Market · 12 of 21 outcomes
Will SpaceXAI be the second-best AI lab at the end of October 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
Exactly one of this event's 21 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,129 bets |
| 11B7c7e5D9610xaee8…1154 | Yes | 456 | 0.3¢ | $1 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 421 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 127,877 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 394 | 2.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.58 per $100 · 123,998 bets |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 200 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xf03d…21fb | Yes | 163 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
9 more outcomes in this event.
These 21 outcomes add up to 101.3¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.