Market · 53 of 53 outcomes
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:33 UTC. Not financial advice.
41 more outcomes in this event.
These 53 outcomes add up to 91.9¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
US 2028 presidential race · 12 events · $64.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 641,391 | 0.6¢ | $321 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 209,000 | 0.4¢ | $104 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| smoltrader0x17e5…3d19 | Yes | 162,827 | 0.4¢ | $81 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 8,571 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 152,187 | 0.1¢ | $76 | Positive+$12.16 per $100 · 3,926 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 141,793 | 0.7¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,243 bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 125,000 | 0.1¢ | $63 | New68 settled bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.