Market · 53 of 53 outcomes
Will Alex Padilla win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 15:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2028 presidential race · 13 events · $63.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 53 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 641,391 | 0.6¢ | $321 | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| petanimal0xfd69…a2e1 | Yes | 209,000 | 0.4¢ | $104 | Positive+$10.73 per $100 · 3,634 bets |
| smoltrader0x17e5…3d19 | Yes | 162,827 | 0.4¢ | $81 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 8,571 bets |
| BabyGroot0xbefa…300d | Yes | 152,187 | 0.1¢ | $76 | Positive+$12.19 per $100 · 3,934 bets |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 141,793 | 0.7¢ | $71 | Losing−$1.34 per $100 · 16,309 bets |
| 0x824a…534c | Yes | 125,000 | 0.1¢ | $63 | New68 settled bets |
| J-E-R0x612f…aa53 | Yes | 112,830 | 0.7¢ | $56 | Proven+$13.40 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0xcb31…6b02 | Yes | 106,550 | 0.4¢ | $53 | Positive+$17.31 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| JamesAltucher0xbd7d…4d56 | Yes | 102,000 | 0.6¢ | $51 | — |
| DonKarabas0x9739…159f | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | Positive+$18.10 per $100 · 982 bets |
| uprightuser0xd64e…5516 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.4¢ | $50 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 93,080 | 0.8¢ | $47 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x4737…0272 | Yes | 86,000 | 0.1¢ | $43 | — |
| 0x253d…3307 | Yes | 69,849 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 612 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 60,201 | 0.5¢ | $30 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| KiernanMeister0xb1ca…1705 | Yes | 50,000 | 0.4¢ | $25 | Positive+$2.06 per $100 · 3,296 bets |
| jeb20160x4638…d587 | Yes | 45,000 | 0.4¢ | $23 | New85 settled bets |
| 40260x01b1…0436 | No | 21 | 99.9¢ | $21 | — |
| DickTurbin0xb6be…fcfe | Yes | 40,000 | 0.0¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.56 per $100 · 5,486 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 35,337 | 0.8¢ | $18 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,020 bets |
| Prexpect0xa59c…bb62 | Yes | 35,000 | 0.4¢ | $18 | Proven+$2.27 per $100 · 4,078 bets |
| alwayslatetotheparty0xb687…aee5 | Yes | 31,713 | 0.8¢ | $16 | Positive+$79.22 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| 0x6276…2dd9 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.4¢ | $15 | Losing−$3.39 per $100 · 368 bets |
| risk-manager0xa61e…0abd | Yes | 30,000 | 0.0¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,055 bets |
| ABf890xdd5d…4de0 | No | 14 | 99.9¢ | $14 | — |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 27,945 | 0.1¢ | $14 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| Bondoooor0x5c8d…7f99 | Yes | 25,000 | 0.5¢ | $13 | Proven+$4.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| TheWolfOfPoly0x1c1e…bfe7 | Yes | 23,500 | 0.4¢ | $12 | Proven+$2.50 per $100 · 2,814 bets |
| mlferker0x3691…decd | Yes | 20,338 | 0.0¢ | $10 | New0 settled bets |
| bestfriends0x7abe…b47e | Yes | 20,270 | 0.7¢ | $10 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 1,958 bets |
| zkvo0x03b3…e865 | Yes | 20,000 | 0.1¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| Siziriv0x8e9e…38e4 | Yes | 19,849 | 0.4¢ | $10 | Positive+$7.10 per $100 · 6,762 bets |
| LeopoldArschenbrenner0x8671…d4b7 | Yes | 19,220 | 0.7¢ | $10 | New41 settled bets |
| 0x4bd4…91ab | Yes | 18,000 | 0.1¢ | $9 | — |
| CoffeeLover0xc1b3…501c | Yes | 16,777 | 0.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.49 per $100 · 2,902 bets |
| nhpx38txna05000x712f…b93b | Yes | 15,000 | 0.4¢ | $8 | Proven+$4.54 per $100 · 509 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 14,750 | 0.6¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| kqwjehrbqwemn0x92f6…bd97 | Yes | 13,300 | 0.2¢ | $7 | New65 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 12,859 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,282 bets |
| 0x7298…fcfc | Yes | 12,500 | 0.4¢ | $6 | Positive+$7.47 per $100 · 908 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 12,250 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 11,346 | 0.6¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| 0xC03cE4d8Af842Ca6251Ac57228B3Ffb166ed50A0xa3a4…5106 | Yes | 11,000 | 0.8¢ | $6 | Positive+$121.33 per $100 · 627 bets |
| Asperatus0x36a7…1aea | Yes | 10,500 | 0.2¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 735 bets |
| luna620x7415…43c0 | Yes | 10,500 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 10,150 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| odod0x1321…3116 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| gandalf0x21f9…ed12 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.38 per $100 · 1,386 bets |
| asdf88880x46d6…8d38 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$38.70 per $100 · 241 bets |
| Liquidifier0x4818…bf0b | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.27 per $100 · 3,668 bets |
| Bains0x93b1…7649 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.1¢ | $5 | — |
| ChetterHummin0xc406…07d9 | Yes | 10,000 | 0.7¢ | $5 | — |
| Andrea91890xb5f3…bd4d | No | 5 | 99.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xebf1…817e | No | 4 | 99.9¢ | $4 | — |
| Danielle83260xe1ea…9235 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| JFJDHE0x56d1…0cb9 | No | 3 | 99.9¢ | $3 | — |
| BrandonLogan8270xbbfb…a6dd | No | 2 | 99.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Aaron25880x1468…817e | No | 1 | 99.9¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.