Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 21:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 83.8¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 83.8¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 84.2¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $500,000 | 84.8¢ | +1.2 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 84¢.
About $686K can be bought and $140K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 83.7¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 21:55 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 726 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.