Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will there be no Hormuz agreement?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 83.2¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 83.3¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $100,000 | 83.7¢ | +0.6 pts |
| $500,000 | 84.4¢ | +1.3 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 83¢.
About $1.28M can be bought and $136K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 83.1¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 09:32 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 668 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.