Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will there be a Hormuz agreement and the Democrats win the Senate?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 19:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 9.7¢ | +0.1 pts |
| $10,000 | 10.0¢ | +0.3 pts |
| $100,000 | 24.4¢ | +14.8 pts |
| $500,000 | 30.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 10¢.
About $24.7K can be bought and $36.5K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 9.7¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 19:43 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 721 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.