Market · 17 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 23:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 512 | 99.4¢ | $507 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,880 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 200 | 99.5¢ | $198 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 5,000 | 3.8¢ | $47 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 4,473 | 3.6¢ | $42 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 2,521 | 0.7¢ | $24 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.0¢ | $24 | — |
| L82880x0b5c…3748 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,932 | 0.2¢ | $18 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 1,808 | 3.8¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 1,550 | 0.5¢ | $15 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,232 | 0.9¢ | $12 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $10 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 900 | 3.8¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 857 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 609 | 0.5¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.55 per $100 · 125,317+ bets · updating |
| Brotherinchrist0x6be9…3493 | Yes | 572 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 2,943 bets |
| DFHG40x15eb…980d | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| DFBVE0x1c50…b4c7 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| DFERT40x5862…792a | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| D43T0x87ec…866f | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| DDR530xd89e…46f8 | No | 5 | 99.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 283 | 3.8¢ | $3 | — |
| cicci0x2816…c473 | Yes | 240 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 116 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| kwcgffg0xfaa6…d822 | No | 1 | 99.6¢ | $1 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaely9720xfc02…3a9d | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 20 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| 0x2dd5…15fe | Yes | 8 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| polijet0x9268…fb13 | Yes | 5 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 2 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,681 bets |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 1 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.