Market · 18 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 21:27 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 105.4¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| L82880x0b5c…3748 | No | 20 | 99.0¢ | $20 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,513 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 4,000 | 3.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.0¢ | $9 | — |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,932 | 0.2¢ | $7 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.