Market · 24 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 16:26 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 111.7¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 100 | 99.5¢ | $100 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,613 | 0.4¢ | $5 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $4 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 1,040 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 891 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 869 | 3.8¢ | $3 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.