Market · 17 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 22:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 665 | 99.4¢ | $661 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,879 bets |
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 200 | 99.5¢ | $199 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| shaiuu0xce7a…5b28 | No | 43 | 99.6¢ | $43 | — |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 4,473 | 3.6¢ | $29 | — |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 4,000 | 3.8¢ | $26 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,771 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 103.0¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.