Market · 15 of 25 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 04:53 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| hetacz0x6864…294b | No | 331 | 99.4¢ | $326 | Positive+$1.03 per $100 · 8,527 bets |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 300 | 99.4¢ | $296 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,882 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 5,000 | 3.8¢ | $65 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 4,473 | 3.6¢ | $58 | — |
| shaiuu0xce7a…5b28 | No | 43 | 99.6¢ | $43 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.0¢ | $33 | New94 settled bets |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 2,193 | 0.4¢ | $29 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,766 | 0.6¢ | $23 | Break-even+$0.44 per $100 · 1,112 bets |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 1,646 | 0.6¢ | $21 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.5¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 1,152 | 3.8¢ | $15 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| LordYeah0xfd07…6bb7 | Yes | 1,111 | 0.3¢ | $14 | — |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $13 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 891 | 3.8¢ | $12 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 888 | 3.9¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 5,153 bets |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.24 per $100 · 1,384 bets |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 283 | 3.8¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.23 per $100 · 4,921 bets |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 200 | 3.0¢ | $3 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $3 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| AzuureSerenity0x20ed…223e | Yes | 150 | 0.1¢ | $2 | — |
| CashReviver0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | 125 | 0.8¢ | $2 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 116 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| rains450x5fff…3cf1 | Yes | 110 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 0.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| s0lar1st0x4590…932e | Yes | 100 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaely9720xfc02…3a9d | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| CrysttalCasscade0x0d3d…1880 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| flyh1gher0x332e…0ae6 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Electric4Each0x67a6…04e8 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| harv3ster0xd06b…823a | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| creativeM1nd0xe272…aed2 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Shadd0wWalker0xff2f…c2c2 | Yes | 50 | 0.1¢ | $1 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 42 | 0.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.60 per $100 · 54,599 bets |
| MiddnightWanderer0xe759…cf83 | Yes | 32 | 0.1¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 30 | 2.9¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 3.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| polijet0x9268…fb13 | Yes | 5 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| TheGreatBeta0xf322…ebf9 | Yes | 5 | 2.1¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 1 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 0 | 99.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 102,823 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 25 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.