Market · 17 of 26 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 19:38 UTC. Not financial advice.
14 more outcomes in this event.
These 26 outcomes add up to 105.6¢. Only one can win, so a fair set adds up to about 100¢.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,457 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 3,137 | 3.8¢ | $14 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 2,765 | 0.4¢ | $12 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,584 | 0.9¢ | $7 | — |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $7 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 1,291 | 2.9¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
| |||||
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $896K in play
Exactly one of this event's 26 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.