Market · 15 of 25 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 14, 2026, 03:32 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 520 | 99.3¢ | $514 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 6,880 bets |
| Poiuztrewq0x6df7…afb0 | Yes | 5,000 | 3.8¢ | $57 | Losing−$6.74 per $100 · 2,996 bets |
| Elonurmom0x0f7f…6450 | Yes | 4,473 | 3.6¢ | $51 | — |
| Fablurou0x3256…830c | Yes | 3,015 | 0.4¢ | $35 | — |
| cool.guide0x0e70…bf72 | Yes | 2,500 | 2.0¢ | $29 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 25 | 98.9¢ | $25 | Losing−$2.53 per $100 · 125,476+ bets · updating |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | Yes | 1,857 | 0.8¢ | $21 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 99.6¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 195,833 bets |
| TweetPulse.Live0xbbdc…5d81 | Yes | 1,471 | 4.0¢ | $17 | — |
| smalltimezzz0x590e…e43d | Yes | 1,291 | 2.9¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.20 per $100 · 2,236 bets |
| Bitgod0x1e1a…7690 | Yes | 1,159 | 3.8¢ | $13 | Positive+$1.34 per $100 · 7,296 bets |
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 1,000 | 2.0¢ | $12 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 857 | 3.9¢ | $10 | — |
| mmmm123450xfa76…897e | Yes | 667 | 1.2¢ | $8 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 623 | 4.0¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| 11110x280f…1963 | Yes | 300 | 2.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Berlin40x2a70…167d | Yes | 286 | 0.7¢ | $3 | — |
| AndreaPirlo0x09b4…e56d | Yes | 283 | 3.8¢ | $3 | — |
| skold0r0xe089…ad3a | Yes | 279 | 0.8¢ | $3 | — |
| wakuwaku30x7db5…cf18 | Yes | 211 | 0.4¢ | $2 | — |
| justwant50xbc13…5578 | Yes | 200 | 3.0¢ | $2 | — |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 200 | 4.0¢ | $2 | — |
| akhk12450xca60…310d | Yes | 170 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| owla0x0517…d513 | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Kaely9720xfc02…3a9d | Yes | 100 | 1.0¢ | $1 | — |
| CashReviver0x9c6f…8b32 | Yes | 92 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 76 | 3.8¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 61 | 3.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 20 | 2.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| cicci0x2816…c473 | Yes | 20 | 0.3¢ | $0 | — |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$513.99 per $100 · 51,400 bets |
| polijet0x9268…fb13 | Yes | 5 | 0.5¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9bc0…71b6 | Yes | 5 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| manochartino0xc20e…0a5e | Yes | 0 | 0.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 1,228 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 0.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.72 per $100 · 73,733 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 200 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $1.03M in play
Exactly one of this event's 25 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.