Market · 1 of 10 outcomes
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 05:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
Elon Musk tweet volume · 92 overlapping windows · 11 events · $832K in play
Exactly one of this event's 10 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kaiji1230xe5bd…339a | Yes | 3,499 | 6.4¢ | $2.2K | — |
| Sugarina0x8288…5519 | Yes | 3,000 | 5.6¢ | $1.89K | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| Yes |
| 2,789 |
| 5.6¢ |
| $1.76K |
| — |
| amy8880xc3cf…51d2 | Yes | 898 | 40.8¢ | $565 | — |
| Mei-ji0x2924…dcde | Yes | 700 | 11.0¢ | $441 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,268 bets |
| Feracios0xb816…9e90 | Yes | 500 | 5.6¢ | $315 | — |
| 0xf452…8ff9 | Yes | 400 | 57.2¢ | $252 | — |
| Honeybabylove0x8a84…3788 | Yes | 308 | 62.8¢ | $194 | — |
| NotCopeGotHacked0xb017…e1e3 | Yes | 300 | 5.6¢ | $189 | — |
| SupremeGambler0xf2bf…66c7 | Yes | 272 | 11.1¢ | $171 | — |
| ComradeCat0x60ec…8d4c | Yes | 251 | 11.1¢ | $158 | — |
| bipbipbop0xc4d5…87cf | No | 343 | 44.5¢ | $127 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 6,865 bets |
| Kamenshyk220x93fd…7e2f | Yes | 200 | 57.4¢ | $126 | — |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 194 | 50.4¢ | $122 | Losing−$7.62 per $100 · 411,170 bets |
| 0x8673…59a5 | No | 222 | 46.2¢ | $82 | — |
| reefv0x8d2c…465d | Yes | 130 | 25.8¢ | $82 | — |
| gordontradedc0x04a2…e16c | No | 218 | 69.9¢ | $81 | — |
| updownsloped0x574b…57c9 | Yes | 104 | 58.8¢ | $66 | — |
| Oboltusova0xfb2b…cadf | Yes | 103 | 30.0¢ | $65 | — |
| wenzys0x35dd…75f3 | Yes | 100 | 50.0¢ | $63 | — |
| Demet3r0x40e6…459f | Yes | 100 | 5.6¢ | $63 | — |
| CaprioDiLeo0x2eb6…3e31 | No | 150 | 51.9¢ | $55 | — |
| anon2648110xae34…3a8a | No | 142 | 71.1¢ | $53 | — |
| goodman-10xb575…87ec | Yes | 79 | 31.6¢ | $50 | — |
| LineEditor0x04f6…311a | Yes | 78 | 33.1¢ | $49 | — |
| Iryna2k0x6da8…ec45 | Yes | 77 | 65.8¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 862 bets |
| bbynepo0x37b6…661f | Yes | 69 | 30.0¢ | $43 | — |
| exponentially0xa2d7…e3b7 | No | 113 | 62.1¢ | $42 | — |
| 0x43cb…84df | Yes | 66 | 48.9¢ | $42 | Positive+$6.88 per $100 · 30,110 bets |
| 4ever010xd5f5…0d3d | Yes | 51 | 60.2¢ | $32 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 48 | 38.0¢ | $30 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| oboltusovao0x4a67…65c8 | Yes | 35 | 11.1¢ | $22 | — |
| 1x6891589732cf8beaaf424b117d5c5c20919f6bb90x6891…6bb9 | Yes | 34 | 54.7¢ | $21 | Break-even−$0.13 per $100 · 29,966+ bets · updating |
| kaikaishiyi0x8762…3535 | Yes | 34 | 60.2¢ | $21 | — |
| jinwei1220x5c04…6587 | Yes | 31 | 59.8¢ | $19 | — |
| 7r4d3rdaag0x20c7…64d4 | Yes | 30 | 30.0¢ | $19 | — |
| 0x0a16…1cb2 | No | 50 | 54.2¢ | $19 | — |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 50 | 70.0¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| IgorBgd0xd5dc…17d8 | Yes | 28 | 30.0¢ | $17 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 46 | 38.2¢ | $17 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| 0xc44a…0f0e | Yes | 25 | 56.2¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xcd0f…2154 | No | 41 | 51.0¢ | $15 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | No | 38 | 36.9¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.96 per $100 · 93,070 bets |
| Lazygoth310x792e…e25d | Yes | 22 | 46.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | Yes | 20 | 40.0¢ | $13 | — |
| whereismymoney0x6d6b…0420 | Yes | 20 | 11.0¢ | $13 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 20 | 41.3¢ | $13 | Positive+$8.67 per $100 · 128,135 bets |
| WanderingPanda0x74ff…be5b | No | 34 | 53.8¢ | $13 | — |
| televisionloud0x6c1c…1ac2 | No | 34 | 38.9¢ | $12 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 1,838 bets |
| SmartBoyBilly0x1491…fd70 | No | 30 | 73.0¢ | $11 | Losing−$7.91 per $100 · 3,067 bets |
| navber0xbcfe…2d00 | Yes | 16 | 31.4¢ | $10 | Losing−$1.65 per $100 · 613 bets |
| radeksaturka0xa98c…5173 | No | 27 | 65.0¢ | $10 | — |
| jkerkela0xde18…7ca8 | No | 27 | 73.0¢ | $10 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | Yes | 16 | 65.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.47 per $100 · 1,204 bets |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 26 | 78.2¢ | $9 | — |
| Cabjez0xf829…0688 | Yes | 15 | 29.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xffae…5c98 | No | 24 | 41.9¢ | $9 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 20 | 50.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| mmy260x19da…82aa | Yes | 12 | 5.6¢ | $8 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 20 | 70.1¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,869 bets |
| zeitfi-vault-v20x6ae0…b747 | Yes | 10 | 52.2¢ | $6 | — |
| ttabbbb0x1b53…e3fd | Yes | 10 | 55.0¢ | $6 | — |
| sdfasfddd0x4cd4…8a5c | Yes | 10 | 38.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 29,022 bets |
| dddd111dd0x568c…29ec | Yes | 10 | 55.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 10,501 bets |
| asdfdd9180x5d3d…8105 | Yes | 10 | 36.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.12 per $100 · 11,893 bets |
| aaadda0xa840…87f7 | Yes | 10 | 36.0¢ | $6 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 4,316 bets |
| ddddd340xc652…8387 | Yes | 10 | 55.0¢ | $6 | — |
| sdssds0x813f…26ec | No | 17 | 41.0¢ | $6 | — |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | No | 14 | 61.2¢ | $5 | — |
| bbbd340x06ad…6b2f | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 15,104 bets |
| JoyL0x0862…9a02 | No | 10 | 68.1¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfsadfddd0x0be6…caa6 | No | 10 | 53.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 8,012 bets |
| kk819ddd0x4b58…dd1a | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.76 per $100 · 7,969 bets |
| aaab3410x5303…5b7a | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$1.46 per $100 · 9,333 bets |
| Balfang0x58b9…e3ca | No | 10 | 60.2¢ | $4 | — |
| sdafsafd0x8513…6a53 | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| aaabbasdfcc0x8b30…876e | No | 10 | 51.0¢ | $4 | — |
| asdfsadfccc10xb0da…15b9 | No | 10 | 37.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x60ea…d120 | No | 8 | 73.0¢ | $3 | — |
| darkcore320x0b24…c7ab | No | 5 | 47.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x4f45…783b | No | 5 | 43.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7c14…5783 | No | 5 | 42.2¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.32 per $100 · 1,978 bets |
| cybersys225zv0xa978…8d76 | No | 5 | 47.2¢ | $2 | — |
| h40lzqzm0xeffd…5aa6 | No | 4 | 46.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ddd13421b0x1292…b00b | No | 3 | 37.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 9,059 bets |
| flux.evan.atkins0x47d5…fda9 | No | 3 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
| fluxernova130x4aa7…d745 | No | 3 | 50.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x1f32…e9d5 | No | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5a39…1a91 | No | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x5f07…2da2 | No | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x7d0b…ad47 | No | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xac7b…93ea | No | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc256…3725 | No | 2 | 47.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x030d…f512 | No | 1 | 71.0¢ | $1 | — |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 80 shares each side · Show
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