Market · 2 of 5 outcomes
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:52 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 29.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $10,000 | 29.0¢ | +0.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 29.8¢ | +1.3 pts |
| $500,000 | 30.5¢ | +2.0 pts |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 28¢.
About $546K can be bought and $167K sold within 2¢ of today's price, so most bets get in close to it.
Measured from 28.5¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 14:52 UTC.
US 2026 midterms · 695 events · $32.6M in play
Adding up this event's outcomes gives Democrats a chance of the Senate. The Senate market itself says 63.5%.
197 traders bet this week. 10 bets were $10K or more, and $135K of that went on Yes, mostly on Oct 7.