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Topic · Geopolitics
6 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.2% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 6
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
5 of the 10 biggest bettors
Biggest first · chance of Yes
| Market | Event | Chance | This week | Ends | Money in play |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| December 31 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? | 5.5¢ | – | Jan 1 | $0.40M |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:33 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? |
| 6.5¢ |
| down 1 point this week |
| Jan 1 |
| $0.26M |
| October 31 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...? | 1.3¢ | down 2.9 points this week | Nov 1 | $25.2K |
| December 31 | IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...? | 13.5¢ | down 2 points this week | Jan 1 | $15.2K |
| October 31 | Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by...? | 0.5¢ | down 2.1 points this week | Nov 1 | $11.2K |
| July 31 | US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by...? | – | no change this week | Aug 1 | $0 |