Loading this topic
Topic · Geopolitics
6 markets that all win or lose on the same real-world result.
Money in play
0.2% of Polymarket
Events · markets
3 · 6
that win or lose together
Proven traders lean
5 of the 10 biggest bettors
Proven traders lean No on December 31 · 5 of the top 10 books. Proven means 100+ settled bets, more than $2 made per $100 and beating the odds when held.
Yes minus No · across the 5 main markets
| Trader | Their view | Money on it | Record |
|---|---|---|---|
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No on December 31 | $89.1K | Proven+$3.47 per $100 · 1,717 bets |
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 02:43 UTC. Chances are the market's view, not ours. Not financial advice.
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e |
| No on December 31 |
| $88.5K |
| Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No on December 31 | $74.7K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| aangelika0x2202…8787 | No on December 31 | $35.8K | New15 bets |
| 0x8b71…8044 | No on December 31 | $30.6K | Proven+$4.95 per $100 · 201 bets |
| ANGGGuess0xab01…2558 | No on December 31 | $21.5K | New10 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No on October 31 | $18.9K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 790 bets |
| Trump20280x2e0b…8070 | No on December 31 | $17.2K | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 554 bets |
| SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95 | No on December 31 | $15.3K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| 0x095d…52cf | No on December 31 | $15.2K | Losing−$2.80 per $100 · 676 bets |
| 0xc3db…0f98 | No on December 31 | $15.1K | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 405 bets |
| bullishkirby20x5d2b…cb8c | No on December 31 | $13.1K | New16 bets |
| MEPP0x6d9f…9790 | No on December 31 | $11.8K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 1,289 bets |
| 0x8b4b…541b | No on December 31 | $9.5K | Break-even−$0.72 per $100 · 868 bets |
| skibabiba0x79d9…baec | No on December 31 | $9.1K | Proven+$2.37 per $100 · 116 bets |
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | No on December 31 | $8.8K | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a | No on October 31 | $8.6K | Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | No on December 31 | $8.5K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| TradeDoggo-Elite0x0029…d342 | No on December 31 | $8.3K | New18 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | December 31 | $6.2K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| nope30500x6114…cff0 | No on December 31 | $6.0K | Losing−$1.97 per $100 · 100 bets |
| aosdijf0x1963…9bfd | December 31 | $5.9K | Positive+$11.72 per $100 · 577 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No on December 31 | $5.8K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| eCash0x62cf…5826 | No on December 31 | $5.6K | Proven+$6.07 per $100 · 625 bets |
| 0x8e77…c4f3 | No on December 31 | $4.7K | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 764 bets |
From the 20 biggest holders of each main market. Traders with money on both sides count only the difference.