Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
Iranian Enriched Uranium Transfer to US · 3 events · $711K in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | No | 53,108 | 92.4¢ | $49.7K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| ED999990xdf17…97d1 | No | 45,590 | 88.0¢ | $42.6K |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| SwissMiss0xdbad…9c95 | No | 16,416 | 60.0¢ | $15.3K | Break-even+$0.31 per $100 · 1,076 bets |
| 0xc3db…0f98 | No | 16,131 | 66.3¢ | $15.1K | Positive+$12.78 per $100 · 405 bets |
| denizz0xbaa2…2c73 | No | 14,912 | 82.1¢ | $13.9K | Proven+$8.43 per $100 · 1,271 bets |
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | No | 9,455 | 80.6¢ | $8.84K | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |