Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by December 31?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 2 accounts that hold just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| nope30500x6114…cff0 | No | 4,500 | 86.1¢ | $3.89K | — |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 4,080 | 67.6¢ | $3.53K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| enrico-vasaio0xcc79…1c2a |
| No |
| 3,000 |
| 82.6¢ |
| $2.6K |
| Positive+$1.54 per $100 · 1,143 bets |
| hopedieslast0x5739…5f1a | No | 1,805 | 83.2¢ | $1.56K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 244 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 10,885 | 21.8¢ | $1.47K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| tr10000x8a8b…375c | No | 1,600 | 86.0¢ | $1.38K | Losing−$2.06 per $100 · 6,303 bets |
2 accounts bet both sides equally · 7 shares each side · Show
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Iranian Enriched Uranium Transfer to US · 3 events · $711K in play