Market · 11 of 23 outcomes
Will Toni Atkins win the California Governor Election in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:42 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tripping0x6480…8dc5 | Yes | 131,436 | 0.2¢ | $66 | Proven+$4.35 per $100 · 895 bets |
| pregamee0xa88d…9830 | Yes | 100,000 | 0.1¢ | $50 | — |
| tracy490xe0a0…7b91 | No | 30 | 99.9¢ | $30 | — |
| caviaro0xb36b…7804 | Yes | 48,973 | 0.1¢ | $24 | Proven+$4.76 per $100 · 867 bets |
| 64MGX75VLQ0xf4d0…4637 | No | 20 | 99.9¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.05 per $100 · 1,100 bets |
| gopay0xb9d2…fb68 | Yes | 30,000 | 0.1¢ | $15 | — |
| puipui24860x70d9…a684 | Yes | 14,357 | 2.2¢ | $7 | Positive+$28.52 per $100 · 4,039 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 8,218 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| Bigggggggg0x511f…cbe1 | Yes | 7,609 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$7.95 per $100 · 18,827 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | Yes | 7,168 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,343 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 7,101 | 2.2¢ | $4 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,480 bets |
| pmbull0x0ac6…04f7 | No | 3 | 99.8¢ | $3 | — |
| Lucerys0x1387…55f8 | Yes | 5,659 | 2.2¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.70 per $100 · 57,061 bets |
| bugSuperman0xbbfc…4ff3 | Yes | 5,530 | 0.1¢ | $3 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | Yes | 4,672 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,731 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 3,973 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,721 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | Yes | 3,587 | 2.2¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,982 bets |
| 0x9b12…c2d5 | Yes | 2,747 | 2.2¢ | $1 | — |
| giffilebo0xe2e1…82c0 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 2,287 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| lorelessopatto0x2a36…962a | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4885…42c2 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Yreliea0xa112…376c | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| Gucky-450xe613…540e | Yes | 2,000 | 0.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$9.92 per $100 · 2,566 bets |
| 0xd32c…a4c2 | Yes | 1,650 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$6.64 per $100 · 3,807 bets |
| 0x4c63…185c | Yes | 1,500 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | 1,443 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$3.97 per $100 · 66,057 bets |
| rocky420100x84d7…298f | Yes | 1,247 | 0.3¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.82 per $100 · 9,913 bets |
| 0x12356510x1bfb…8bea | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 3,956 bets |
| Gorea0x22e0…3adb | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Losing−$21.33 per $100 · 690 bets |
| labistiiia0x3879…d8c3 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.36 per $100 · 22,813 bets |
| norealtime0x56c2…6219 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$11.38 per $100 · 9,404 bets |
| karttitan0xe4f1…9833 | Yes | 1,000 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| Binotto0xdd9e…49b3 | Yes | 880 | 1.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$19.17 per $100 · 1,659 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 843 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| GingerMcKenna0x671a…2f1e | Yes | 835 | 0.4¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.81 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| northdrawer0xfd55…f905 | Yes | 791 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| avengers2357avengers0xf95e…ec50 | Yes | 724 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | Yes | 705 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.13 per $100 · 58,633+ bets · updating |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | Yes | 674 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| wch420x332b…6192 | Yes | 660 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Mladenvic0xe85c…a62c | Yes | 570 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 551 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| plainfolder0x28bf…4a4e | Yes | 535 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$2.38 per $100 · 41,591+ bets · updating |
| paspor0x3dd2…9ab1 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 50,296 bets |
| korda770xa328…4977 | Yes | 519 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.73 per $100 · 43,120 bets |
| makt9b0x7b9a…f9d7 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| thi3f0xc982…044b | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdaf9…dba5 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe77a…1382 | Yes | 500 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| mymacbook0x0999…dd96 | Yes | 455 | 0.0¢ | $0 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | Yes | 450 | 1.8¢ | $0 | — |
| merod0x8373…f0bc | Yes | 437 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$9.70 per $100 · 17,596 bets |
| godblessme20260x7dcf…a7bd | Yes | 436 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| cash-machine0x5566…7c29 | Yes | 409 | 2.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 362 | 1.6¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 334 | 0.3¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.50 per $100 · 6,078 bets |
| bado320x01cd…7f6f | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| qwen4.1.fund0xb0c8…fe7f | Yes | 319 | 2.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.48 per $100 · 118,139+ bets · updating |
| 0xf4c0…f9b2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8220…92a5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x2f6d…9e53 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd786…d09e | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa996…34b5 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9e7c…f06f | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x01d2…c603 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xde06…bcb7 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| influenz.eth0xe8dd…ec86 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 45,814 bets |
| 0x3317…76b4 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| hklcrypt0x7449…c05e | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9b4b…591c | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6cf5…4a23 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xd39c…8d35 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x6a07…2952 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x72e0…0b96 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x9120…2fcc | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xe36a…671d | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa158…1c1b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x227b…76f9 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| lonelyfighter0x97c6…6587 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| nullpointa0xc617…0d15 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| jeanmermier0x1e63…7267 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Laurentdepau0x38ab…ab66 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x1e82…af92 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| Ashik480173600x156e…1709 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| WallisKelvin0x4841…e6c2 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| PervinFarzana0x70f6…f17b | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Jewel347710xb455…7eb1 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Abhijit015867350xe13f…e560 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213210xe347…b438 | No | 0 | 99.9¢ | $0 | — |
| shine0xe4cf…78c4 | Yes | 0 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| NoMoreMister0x4df7…522d | Yes | 0 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 28,074 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 695 events · $32.6M in play
Exactly one of this event's 23 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.