Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 655 events · $32.2M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xc8b9…b836 | No | 17,481 | 77.0¢ | $14.2K | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 68,451 | 22.4¢ | $12.7K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | No | 8,145 | 80.0¢ | $6.64K | Proven+$4.89 per $100 · 2,385 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 6,394 | 80.5¢ | $5.21K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| JoeWillens570xd8fa…198e | No | 2,365 | 83.6¢ | $1.93K | — |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | No | 1,951 | 82.6¢ | $1.59K | Proven+$2.35 per $100 · 2,451 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 7,000 | 19.0¢ | $1.29K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 5,383 | 28.0¢ | $996 | New3 settled bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | Yes | 5,300 | 28.3¢ | $980 | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| crypto-basenji0x72f7…92f7 | Yes | 5,249 | 24.7¢ | $971 | Proven+$3.15 per $100 · 460 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 1,050 | 79.0¢ | $856 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 4,458 | 18.5¢ | $825 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 4,078 | 20.4¢ | $754 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| troim0x4a2b…af20 | Yes | 4,000 | 23.0¢ | $740 | Positive+$2.88 per $100 · 1,252 bets |
| LiquidatedDegen0xc7e5…2d3a | Yes | 3,571 | 21.7¢ | $661 | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 4,541 bets |
| 0xabb9…2b63 | No | 765 | 77.9¢ | $624 | — |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | No | 704 | 52.3¢ | $574 | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| deltasniper0x0826…0b32 | Yes | 3,000 | 17.0¢ | $555 | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 494 bets |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 2,444 | 19.6¢ | $452 | Proven+$9.78 per $100 · 302 bets |
| GamGanapati0xbd8a…f9bd | No | 505 | 80.6¢ | $412 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 820 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 500 | 79.0¢ | $408 | — |
| StraddleSeller0x5207…686b | Yes | 2,123 | 24.6¢ | $393 | Proven+$18.06 per $100 · 506 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 2,108 | 20.6¢ | $390 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| profit4real0x14bc…3904 | Yes | 2,083 | 24.7¢ | $385 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 672 bets |
| TruongMyLan0x6978…08d8 | Yes | 2,000 | 18.0¢ | $370 | Positive+$6.58 per $100 · 1,267 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 439 | 78.7¢ | $358 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 1,881 | 19.8¢ | $348 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | No | 424 | 56.0¢ | $346 | Proven+$3.30 per $100 · 956 bets |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | No | 400 | 80.2¢ | $326 | — |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | Yes | 1,750 | 19.0¢ | $324 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 1,609 | 14.2¢ | $298 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 343 | 78.9¢ | $280 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 334 | 38.0¢ | $272 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 319 | 54.8¢ | $260 | — |
| elkoslao0xd77e…43b3 | No | 315 | 85.0¢ | $256 | — |
| 0x8b8b…2512 | No | 310 | 80.3¢ | $252 | — |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 308 | 81.0¢ | $251 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 1,293 | 19.3¢ | $239 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 286 | 80.0¢ | $233 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| iadme0x0770…184b | Yes | 1,231 | 19.4¢ | $228 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 2,502 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 1,139 | 21.6¢ | $211 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 1,114 | 15.0¢ | $206 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| Pbankster0x56cb…9550 | Yes | 1,087 | 23.7¢ | $201 | — |
| VOrban0x6ae4…d4ce | Yes | 1,076 | 24.5¢ | $199 | — |
| JacobThomas78120xf085…a01f | No | 243 | 83.0¢ | $198 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | No | 200 | 77.0¢ | $163 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,596 bets |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | Yes | 847 | 24.7¢ | $157 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 180 | 77.8¢ | $147 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 176 | 85.0¢ | $143 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 166 | 45.9¢ | $136 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,625 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 711 | 16.7¢ | $132 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| ryzt0x75bb…0ac5 | Yes | 681 | 15.5¢ | $126 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 450 bets |
| OscarConner97250xc666…7130 | No | 151 | 70.0¢ | $123 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 143 | 81.6¢ | $116 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 139 | 48.8¢ | $113 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | No | 138 | 77.7¢ | $112 | Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 1,527 bets |
| CarolBeer0x8fce…2566 | Yes | 600 | 16.9¢ | $111 | — |
| anonsubmarine0xed98…8dfc | No | 130 | 77.7¢ | $106 | — |
| JeffreyRodriguez50820x168e…aa56 | No | 126 | 71.0¢ | $103 | — |
| HolyKnight0x8296…e9cb | Yes | 535 | 18.6¢ | $99 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 112 | 60.9¢ | $92 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| runechiters0x2213…492c | No | 100 | 0.0¢ | $82 | Positive+$2.46 per $100 · 627 bets |
| 0x4bac…5e79 | No | 99 | 82.1¢ | $81 | — |
| BrendaRichardson69210xd320…81a5 | No | 91 | 82.0¢ | $74 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 393 | 15.0¢ | $73 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| mickeyB0x58c8…0300 | No | 80 | 71.5¢ | $65 | — |
| ForTheWin19840x9cd5…9f12 | Yes | 346 | 18.0¢ | $64 | New12 settled bets |
| LariXen0x3cee…bd00 | Yes | 300 | 17.0¢ | $56 | Proven+$14.88 per $100 · 248 bets |
| ansatz0x5fa4…cd4e | Yes | 300 | 20.0¢ | $56 | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 320 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 300 | 33.0¢ | $56 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x7726…4aee | Yes | 290 | 60.0¢ | $54 | Proven+$17.44 per $100 · 324 bets |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | Yes | 282 | 24.7¢ | $52 | — |
| BobbyBrant0x9028…8608 | Yes | 282 | 24.7¢ | $52 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 63 | 80.7¢ | $51 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | No | 60 | 51.5¢ | $49 | Proven+$5.84 per $100 · 723 bets |
| Sc2012m0x82fb…0b6e | Yes | 263 | 19.6¢ | $49 | — |
| AustinWhitaker30690x7039…2d8a | No | 56 | 71.0¢ | $46 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 245 | 14.0¢ | $45 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | No | 54 | 82.0¢ | $44 | — |
| 7576770x7b98…5cfa | No | 53 | 71.0¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,528 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 224 | 38.6¢ | $41 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 50 | 51.0¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| Fishcup0xd031…f613 | Yes | 208 | 24.7¢ | $39 | — |
| ShannonTorres74770x10bc…0451 | No | 47 | 83.0¢ | $38 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 205 | 19.7¢ | $38 | New44 settled bets |
| zk19840x0049…6034 | Yes | 200 | 23.7¢ | $37 | Proven+$4.64 per $100 · 604 bets |
| 0x3436…4ff0 | Yes | 200 | 23.0¢ | $37 | — |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | Yes | 200 | 19.0¢ | $37 | — |
| anticapitalism0xb7eb…9063 | Yes | 200 | 23.7¢ | $37 | — |
| PROPHET.NOTES0xcb11…0d5e | Yes | 200 | 19.6¢ | $37 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 543 bets |
| crackedbusdriver0x85ad…6849 | Yes | 178 | 28.1¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x2f61…a33b | Yes | 173 | 58.2¢ | $32 | Proven+$12.73 per $100 · 112 bets |
| djl6050x942b…e25e | Yes | 150 | 50.0¢ | $28 | — |
| Peaven0x4b48…35d0 | No | 30 | 77.7¢ | $24 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 30 | 84.1¢ | $24 | — |
| 0x7ee9…4b53 | No | 28 | 89.1¢ | $23 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 25 | 43.7¢ | $21 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| choubd0xf57f…a7a7 | No | 24 | 82.6¢ | $20 | — |
| spoolz0xb682…68de | No | 24 | 82.6¢ | $19 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | No | 6 | 59.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.