Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:56 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 713 events · $33.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 17 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 121,309 | 85.8¢ | $103K | New74 settled bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 40,904 | 86.5¢ | $34.6K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 16,946 | 84.9¢ | $14.3K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0x4488…e319 | Yes | 11,705 | 84.3¢ | $9.89K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 7,574 bets |
| InsiderrrZ0x69e7…d3b0 | Yes | 10,335 | 87.1¢ | $8.73K | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| mr.ozi0x614d…1546 | Yes | 8,000 | 85.2¢ | $6.76K | Proven+$4.92 per $100 · 2,289 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | No | 41,051 | 14.0¢ | $6.36K | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | No | 30,000 | 13.7¢ | $4.65K | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| NotHarrisonHohman0xe72e…282d | Yes | 4,657 | 86.4¢ | $3.94K | New8 settled bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 24,608 | 13.8¢ | $3.81K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | 3,851 | 80.9¢ | $3.25K | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 20,000 | 14.5¢ | $3.1K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 3,113 | 87.1¢ | $2.63K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,456 bets |
| TR4220xcf40…004c | No | 16,119 | 15.9¢ | $2.5K | — |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | No | 15,000 | 13.0¢ | $2.32K | Proven+$13.67 per $100 · 222 bets |
| DumbMoney22220xcfca…8b3a | No | 14,727 | 14.6¢ | $2.28K | — |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | Yes | 2,500 | 83.0¢ | $2.11K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 2,487 | 84.9¢ | $2.1K | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| RR344KK0x52b9…df61 | Yes | 2,000 | 86.7¢ | $1.69K | New26 settled bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | No | 10,000 | 13.2¢ | $1.55K | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| fullamount0x9a06…3800 | No | 9,878 | 10.4¢ | $1.53K | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 1,700 | 88.0¢ | $1.44K | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | No | 8,978 | 17.6¢ | $1.39K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| Rpzcz0x76f9…f701 | Yes | 1,609 | 87.5¢ | $1.36K | New71 settled bets |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | Yes | 1,500 | 85.0¢ | $1.27K | New60 settled bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 1,275 | 83.0¢ | $1.08K | New3 settled bets |
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | Yes | 1,176 | 85.5¢ | $994 | New20 settled bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 1,173 | 88.2¢ | $991 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| Sagand0xa181…ece8 | Yes | 1,153 | 87.2¢ | $974 | — |
| MAGURO0xa6d7…9db4 | Yes | 1,103 | 90.6¢ | $932 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,054 | 85.0¢ | $891 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 5,500 | 13.4¢ | $852 | Losing−$5.66 per $100 · 1,489 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | Yes | 781 | 81.9¢ | $660 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | Yes | 667 | 87.2¢ | $564 | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | No | 3,333 | 13.0¢ | $517 | Proven+$7.84 per $100 · 1,852 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | 575 | 87.5¢ | $486 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | No | 3,100 | 12.3¢ | $480 | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 507 | 84.7¢ | $429 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| Mecky0xa82b…5220 | Yes | 500 | 85.0¢ | $423 | Positive+$3.98 per $100 · 2,984 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 477 | 86.2¢ | $403 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | Yes | 450 | 80.7¢ | $380 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 2,192 | 13.0¢ | $340 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | Yes | 401 | 91.3¢ | $339 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 383 | 86.0¢ | $323 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,393 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 2,000 | 14.5¢ | $310 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | No | 2,000 | 12.0¢ | $310 | New18 settled bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 1,676 | 9.7¢ | $260 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| Glome0xfcdb…c4ee | No | 1,636 | 14.5¢ | $254 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 2,651 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | Yes | 292 | 88.1¢ | $246 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | No | 1,484 | 15.1¢ | $230 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| john876314500x0162…3d19 | Yes | 249 | 85.5¢ | $210 | New41 settled bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 1,337 | 15.0¢ | $207 | Positive+$11.50 per $100 · 2,033 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | No | 1,248 | 16.5¢ | $193 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| 0xb66c…a0f5 | Yes | 228 | 86.0¢ | $193 | Break-even−$0.78 per $100 · 14,833 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 225 | 89.4¢ | $190 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 1,170 | 15.0¢ | $181 | — |
| TTdes0x2586…c893 | No | 1,124 | 20.6¢ | $174 | Proven+$7.37 per $100 · 1,368 bets |
| BFBB0x5754…e515 | No | 1,109 | 19.5¢ | $172 | Proven+$5.09 per $100 · 2,491 bets |
| Zhaowei0x1f13…3a2d | Yes | 200 | 86.5¢ | $169 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 657 bets |
| i2ra40xfa28…bf30 | Yes | 200 | 91.3¢ | $169 | — |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | Yes | 200 | 82.5¢ | $169 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | Yes | 199 | 81.9¢ | $168 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| Man00000010x76a4…578c | Yes | 188 | 88.7¢ | $159 | New42 settled bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 1,012 | 10.9¢ | $157 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 1,000 | 13.0¢ | $155 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 977 | 13.8¢ | $151 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | Yes | 174 | 86.5¢ | $147 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | Yes | 163 | 82.7¢ | $138 | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 778 | 14.9¢ | $121 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | No | 700 | 15.5¢ | $109 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| Eire0xda66…3f38 | Yes | 123 | 81.6¢ | $104 | Losing−$8.38 per $100 · 434 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 669 | 12.5¢ | $104 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| GarlicVillage0x29b8…b564 | Yes | 117 | 85.5¢ | $99 | New54 settled bets |
| letsgetmoniesfr0x06b5…159d | Yes | 103 | 80.6¢ | $87 | New10 settled bets |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | No | 560 | 18.0¢ | $87 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 100 | 86.5¢ | $85 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| apmt0x328d…f7a9 | Yes | 100 | 87.5¢ | $85 | Proven+$9.98 per $100 · 114 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | Yes | 100 | 75.0¢ | $85 | New34 settled bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 507 | 15.4¢ | $79 | — |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 463 | 12.4¢ | $72 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| ox01e607d27875e10bb09FcF3309C899a6643136410x01e6…3641 | Yes | 80 | 86.0¢ | $68 | Proven+$2.24 per $100 · 153 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 80 | 87.0¢ | $68 | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 80 | 80.5¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| coshi0x3e71…f97b | No | 400 | 15.0¢ | $62 | New86 settled bets |
| iadme0x0770…184b | No | 340 | 13.5¢ | $53 | Break-even+$0.76 per $100 · 2,502 bets |
| QuteAnon0xb950…4dd4 | No | 301 | 15.5¢ | $47 | — |
| ragutwo0x7db8…ed19 | No | 300 | 13.1¢ | $47 | Proven+$8.47 per $100 · 976 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | No | 300 | 14.5¢ | $46 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| GeniusIntelligence0xff22…7945 | No | 274 | 13.0¢ | $42 | — |
| whaleP10x5b1d…8895 | No | 264 | 13.5¢ | $41 | Losing−$5.72 per $100 · 586 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | No | 260 | 5.0¢ | $40 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa00x825c…dfa0 | No | 250 | 14.0¢ | $39 | Losing−$8.56 per $100 · 164 bets |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | No | 250 | 15.7¢ | $39 | — |
| James-Talarico0x4262…abaa | No | 200 | 13.0¢ | $31 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 1,617 bets |
| MARW-2026-Piotr0xb326…d18b | No | 200 | 15.5¢ | $31 | — |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 200 | 15.5¢ | $31 | — |
| 0x9e3e…f882 | No | 188 | 15.8¢ | $29 | Losing−$9.60 per $100 · 56,831+ bets · updating |
| g1280x88d7…5762 | No | 186 | 15.5¢ | $29 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 174 | 15.2¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | No | 138 | 17.5¢ | $21 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.