Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RLWR0x3cd0…64df | No | 7,302 | 62.0¢ | $4.93K | New45 settled bets |
| ghfjnfgjkgk0x22b0…14b3 | Yes | 9,807 | 63.7¢ | $3.19K | — |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 7,715 | 39.0¢ | $2.51K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| 0x7726…4aee | No | 3,623 | 48.7¢ | $2.45K | Proven+$17.44 per $100 · 324 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | No | 3,082 | 54.8¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 6,250 | 48.1¢ | $2.03K | New3 settled bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | No | 2,972 | 56.3¢ | $2.01K | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| BillyRios0x33de…e384 | No | 2,726 | 55.0¢ | $1.84K | — |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | Yes | 5,000 | 61.0¢ | $1.62K | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| pop0x6404…f250 | No | 2,187 | 63.4¢ | $1.48K | Proven+$2.06 per $100 · 351 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 1,666 | 67.4¢ | $1.12K | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | No | 1,661 | 60.5¢ | $1.12K | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| liruihao0x35dc…b9ef | Yes | 3,128 | 66.5¢ | $1.02K | New12 settled bets |
| VLONA0x7b60…f259 | Yes | 3,000 | 38.0¢ | $975 | Losing−$3.26 per $100 · 126 bets |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | No | 1,372 | 56.5¢ | $926 | — |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 1,300 | 27.1¢ | $877 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | Yes | 2,662 | 31.5¢ | $865 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 1,238 | 59.5¢ | $836 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,931 bets |
| 202510210x3abf…b143 | No | 1,120 | 34.2¢ | $756 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 2,220 | 78.0¢ | $721 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | Yes | 2,151 | 32.0¢ | $699 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 2,031 | 32.2¢ | $660 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| Jesetrading0xce60…6705 | No | 900 | 67.5¢ | $608 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 898 | 25.8¢ | $606 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 1,774 | 35.2¢ | $576 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| Optimus-0xd5b9…e44e | No | 833 | 61.0¢ | $562 | Proven+$7.77 per $100 · 3,039 bets |
| Oneko0xb6ac…6b83 | Yes | 1,642 | 40.1¢ | $534 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 810 bets |
| FlippingTables0x942f…9a38 | No | 725 | 69.9¢ | $489 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 1,500 | 44.4¢ | $487 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 693 | 45.9¢ | $468 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,034 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 1,387 | 35.0¢ | $451 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | Yes | 1,309 | 33.9¢ | $425 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| DonnieBannon0xf5c8…430c | No | 626 | 68.9¢ | $422 | — |
| ForTheWin19840x9cd5…9f12 | Yes | 1,263 | 32.8¢ | $411 | New12 settled bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 1,087 | 35.6¢ | $353 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 500 | 34.1¢ | $338 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | No | 489 | 68.0¢ | $330 | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 1,000 | 40.0¢ | $325 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| Metusalem0xa65c…32fb | Yes | 1,000 | 39.6¢ | $325 | — |
| l3t00xd14a…a8ad | No | 476 | 64.4¢ | $321 | Proven+$6.10 per $100 · 109 bets |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | No | 462 | 52.8¢ | $312 | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | No | 444 | 61.0¢ | $299 | Proven+$5.27 per $100 · 3,127 bets |
| Tewathia0xc90e…9e4c | Yes | 918 | 52.2¢ | $298 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 859 | 41.0¢ | $279 | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,293 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 368 | 42.0¢ | $248 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | No | 361 | 53.0¢ | $243 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 327 | 28.3¢ | $220 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| numerology0xabd3…637f | No | 311 | 47.8¢ | $210 | — |
| MrNFT0xb8e6…9767 | Yes | 620 | 45.0¢ | $202 | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 2,095 bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | Yes | 610 | 41.4¢ | $198 | — |
| 4i1V2b6d7o3l8r0x3d29…a996 | No | 290 | 69.9¢ | $196 | New89 settled bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 280 | 60.1¢ | $189 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| junderwood0xc906…6d2f | Yes | 519 | 62.6¢ | $169 | — |
| cheezzydad0xcf7e…d8af | No | 247 | 49.5¢ | $167 | — |
| PancraceRoyer0x29d3…b2ed | Yes | 500 | 47.0¢ | $162 | Proven+$11.54 per $100 · 638 bets |
| BlondBeast0x852a…3188 | No | 221 | 67.7¢ | $149 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | No | 200 | 52.0¢ | $135 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 403 | 71.5¢ | $131 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 400 | 48.7¢ | $130 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| GreatAgain280x681d…4cbf | No | 172 | 59.0¢ | $116 | — |
| DeezNuggies0x8333…eb93 | No | 169 | 47.7¢ | $114 | Losing−$1.24 per $100 · 247 bets |
| gooseknuckle0x833b…d4bb | No | 166 | 67.0¢ | $112 | — |
| miaogongzhu0xce53…d32d | Yes | 325 | 53.9¢ | $106 | New22 settled bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 325 | 34.6¢ | $106 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| djl6050x942b…e25e | Yes | 315 | 63.0¢ | $102 | — |
| Clesta0x92c4…8767 | Yes | 306 | 50.6¢ | $99 | — |
| Awestin.eth0xb779…ab22 | Yes | 300 | 51.0¢ | $97 | — |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | Yes | 284 | 35.5¢ | $92 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,118 bets |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Yes | 245 | 32.9¢ | $80 | — |
| 15billionplus0x6406…bc04 | No | 114 | 68.0¢ | $77 | — |
| barcodesellout0xe5a3…44ed | Yes | 231 | 63.4¢ | $75 | — |
| Minecraft0x094e…f10b | Yes | 222 | 61.0¢ | $72 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 106 | 68.9¢ | $72 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 212 | 50.0¢ | $69 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| webot-ai0xc2a5…0ce9 | Yes | 208 | 0.0¢ | $68 | New25 settled bets |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 100 | 67.9¢ | $68 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 100 | 46.2¢ | $68 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 100 | 47.0¢ | $68 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| viix0xcba5…e036 | No | 100 | 38.0¢ | $68 | — |
| Hippopo0xcd0b…4857 | No | 100 | 54.0¢ | $68 | — |
| WhoIsMakingTheseMarkets0xe065…d25f | No | 100 | 53.1¢ | $68 | — |
| AgricultureSecretary0x6ffb…a834 | No | 100 | 53.0¢ | $67 | Break-even+$0.75 per $100 · 13,568 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | Yes | 200 | 70.0¢ | $65 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | Yes | 200 | 40.0¢ | $65 | — |
| 0xf80e…2af8 | No | 93 | 50.0¢ | $63 | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 92 | 48.2¢ | $62 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| qqqmmmccc0x6d72…a399 | No | 88 | 55.5¢ | $59 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 182 | 68.0¢ | $59 | — |
| ClintonCrimeFamily0xc2b5…68e1 | Yes | 152 | 50.9¢ | $50 | — |
| fhkoey90bsdcqx47w0x5831…3f6c | Yes | 127 | 46.8¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x906a…714e | Yes | 120 | 33.9¢ | $39 | — |
| low-prob-test-1-kes0xa6e5…28a0 | Yes | 117 | 31.9¢ | $38 | — |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 109 | 32.9¢ | $36 | — |
| 2025alfonsoreyes20260x6cb6…fa76 | Yes | 106 | 58.6¢ | $35 | — |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 100 | 42.2¢ | $33 | — |
| Boston-Ford0x0905…e5c0 | Yes | 100 | 45.1¢ | $33 | — |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | Yes | 14 | 48.6¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 646 events · $32.2M in play