Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:40 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 670 events · $32.3M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
2 proven traders are on Yes, 10 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 17,890 | 81.6¢ | $15.8K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1 | No | 15,750 | 86.4¢ | $13.9K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 3,205 bets |
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac80x64c8…73ce | No | 5,000 | 81.0¢ | $4.42K | Losing−$2.02 per $100 · 101 bets |
| ClauseAI0x8aae…918c | Yes | 37,771 | 17.8¢ | $4.34K | New0 settled bets |
| PetuniaPettigrew0xd987…ae37 | Yes | 22,467 | 19.1¢ | $2.58K | New9 settled bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 2,553 | 82.0¢ | $2.26K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 2,065 | 84.5¢ | $1.83K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | No | 2,000 | 82.1¢ | $1.77K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | No | 1,962 | 85.1¢ | $1.74K | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 3,603 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 1,846 | 85.6¢ | $1.63K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 10,613 | 13.8¢ | $1.22K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,391 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 1,219 | 82.6¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| Gmoney160xf244…9b9e | No | 521 | 85.1¢ | $461 | New20 settled bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 519 | 83.6¢ | $459 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 507 | 88.0¢ | $449 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | Yes | 3,000 | 17.9¢ | $345 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 382 | 89.0¢ | $338 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 2,578 | 15.6¢ | $296 | New3 settled bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 333 | 88.0¢ | $295 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | No | 301 | 83.0¢ | $266 | — |
| M8880x4344…f90d | Yes | 1,952 | 16.3¢ | $225 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 217 | 86.9¢ | $192 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| Gatito0xc970…b063 | Yes | 1,420 | 14.5¢ | $163 | — |
| sqlSwirepyi0xa5d5…bcc0 | No | 184 | 87.5¢ | $163 | — |
| 0xb799…06a1 | Yes | 1,296 | 15.9¢ | $149 | — |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | No | 155 | 82.4¢ | $137 | Proven+$5.84 per $100 · 723 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 149 | 81.4¢ | $132 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | No | 139 | 80.0¢ | $123 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| JohnnyBlaze10xbccb…31e2 | Yes | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $115 | — |
| ponydsb0xe8dc…3e53 | No | 126 | 87.5¢ | $112 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 827 | 12.7¢ | $95 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| BigFishHunter0x75dc…698e | No | 102 | 87.8¢ | $91 | New86 settled bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $89 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| Pondermint0x8633…a08d | No | 100 | 90.0¢ | $89 | Proven+$3.85 per $100 · 680 bets |
| GamGanapati0xbd8a…f9bd | No | 100 | 89.0¢ | $89 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 820 bets |
| 0x2d2c…00b5 | No | 72 | 84.0¢ | $64 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 9,324 bets |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 61 | 89.0¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 60 | 85.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 60 | 89.0¢ | $53 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| trader-ef5344450xef53…f599 | No | 58 | 86.2¢ | $51 | — |
| waterstar0x1401…1eac | Yes | 445 | 15.2¢ | $51 | New0 settled bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 53 | 87.5¢ | $46 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 50 | 83.9¢ | $44 | Losing−$15.24 per $100 · 214 bets |
| RobotAlpha0x5ce3…f779 | No | 50 | 87.0¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.39 per $100 · 753 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 48 | 86.0¢ | $43 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | Yes | 357 | 14.5¢ | $41 | New27 settled bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | Yes | 350 | 18.6¢ | $40 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 40 | 85.0¢ | $35 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 300 | 15.0¢ | $35 | — |
| qcp50xf664…c89b | No | 28 | 87.4¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x57b8…62b3 | Yes | 213 | 11.4¢ | $24 | — |
| gotonetry330x66e0…e8f0 | No | 25 | 87.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 729 bets |
| tttt1230xdf40…38b8 | No | 25 | 86.0¢ | $22 | Positive+$2.19 per $100 · 3,002 bets |
| berlinskies0x2d2d…b69d | No | 24 | 83.6¢ | $21 | Proven+$4.43 per $100 · 12,327 bets |
| 0x32e0…afd7 | No | 24 | 87.7¢ | $21 | — |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 182 | 18.2¢ | $21 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| big-bird10xa58f…cec8 | No | 21 | 87.2¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 12,992 bets |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $18 | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 1,132 bets |
| abhinv70xf99d…f867 | No | 20 | 85.7¢ | $18 | — |
| ACPOH0x47a5…43d3 | Yes | 143 | 14.5¢ | $16 | New16 settled bets |
| trader-3897072b0x3897…22bb | No | 17 | 82.6¢ | $15 | — |
| katanaAob0x3f4b…f574 | Yes | 110 | 18.1¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 1,254 bets |
| Boston-Ford0x0905…e5c0 | Yes | 100 | 18.6¢ | $12 | Losing−$2.64 per $100 · 7,517 bets |
| MicAllElle0x65e4…2420 | Yes | 100 | 16.5¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 268 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 100 | 16.0¢ | $12 | — |
| 0x8b76…49de | Yes | 94 | 21.3¢ | $11 | — |
| cccg0x9e05…6c90 | No | 12 | 84.5¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x6d84…4c02 | Yes | 91 | 11.4¢ | $10 | New26 settled bets |
| phcrux10xc862…3fb2 | No | 12 | 85.5¢ | $10 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 12 | 86.5¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xfa4b…e34d | Yes | 81 | 12.4¢ | $9 | — |
| bunnythumper0x682e…7655 | Yes | 80 | 15.5¢ | $9 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 77 | 50.0¢ | $9 | New0 settled bets |
| spoolz0xb682…68de | No | 9 | 90.4¢ | $8 | — |
| Ser-Wasabi0x7e6a…1cb8 | Yes | 67 | 15.5¢ | $8 | New35 settled bets |
| yewaigou0x7aee…84d2 | Yes | 67 | 15.5¢ | $8 | — |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | Yes | 63 | 15.8¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,879 bets |
| G7-Lee0xb8b6…7fc8 | Yes | 58 | 18.7¢ | $7 | — |
| BMarvDen0x6f4a…b663 | Yes | 57 | 14.5¢ | $7 | — |
| ama-tradeus0xa9b9…92b3 | No | 7 | 90.4¢ | $6 | — |
| Kutoba0x40b5…6b5f | Yes | 50 | 15.5¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.59 per $100 · 606 bets |
| ProudVirgin0xafe4…d91e | Yes | 50 | 17.0¢ | $6 | — |
| JimboFisher10xc0ce…e3aa | Yes | 50 | 17.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa00x825c…dfa0 | Yes | 50 | 17.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$8.56 per $100 · 164 bets |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | No | 6 | 81.0¢ | $6 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 42 | 15.8¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| 0xfed7…1ead | Yes | 41 | 19.0¢ | $5 | — |
| justanotherlukk0x7651…4dcc | Yes | 33 | 15.5¢ | $4 | — |
| watcher70x7f29…eb76 | Yes | 29 | 13.5¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x820b…4638 | Yes | 29 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| showmethemoneyjerry0x2c5d…bf33 | Yes | 28 | 18.6¢ | $3 | — |
| sayaakanlawannnn0xf5c6…6235 | Yes | 26 | 18.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x8801…60b7 | Yes | 23 | 18.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 23 | 18.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| 0xc03f…95fe | Yes | 22 | 13.0¢ | $3 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 20 | 14.5¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 15 | 10.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| 0xdbe1…4708 | Yes | 9 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 9 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 8 | 13.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.