Market · 2 of 3 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:28 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
4 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 1,804 | 69.0¢ | $1.69K | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | No | 535 | 93.5¢ | $501 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,741 bets |
| XavierPowers30520x252c…391a | No | 492 | 84.0¢ | $461 | — |
| 0x096e…9c9c | No | 355 | 90.2¢ | $332 | New7 settled bets |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | No | 352 | 87.1¢ | $330 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 291 | 75.4¢ | $273 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 283 | 90.4¢ | $265 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | No | 274 | 89.9¢ | $257 | — |
| JonathanThomas43690xbcac…f545 | No | 257 | 80.0¢ | $241 | — |
| CandaceSmith20760x8465…6cd7 | No | 255 | 84.0¢ | $239 | — |
| amazingfrog0x5927…672b | No | 196 | 77.2¢ | $184 | Proven+$7.71 per $100 · 509 bets |
| Rushwave0x5ca9…6ccf | No | 185 | 93.4¢ | $173 | Proven+$2.97 per $100 · 260 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 166 | 77.6¢ | $155 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 160 | 72.9¢ | $150 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 148 | 88.0¢ | $139 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| chromatose0xfbda…4fae | Yes | 1,808 | 19.8¢ | $115 | — |
| tedward1110xa218…94cd | No | 120 | 78.4¢ | $112 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 263 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | Yes | 1,565 | 10.5¢ | $99 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 105 | 94.8¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| JanetHickman72740x605c…83dc | No | 89 | 80.0¢ | $83 | — |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 80 | 91.3¢ | $75 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 1,121 | 8.0¢ | $71 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| PatriciaBlankenship90000xf75c…838d | No | 76 | 77.0¢ | $71 | — |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | No | 76 | 95.0¢ | $71 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 150 bets |
| warptrading0x6f08…54d3 | No | 75 | 67.0¢ | $70 | Losing−$1.09 per $100 · 10,198 bets |
| 0x9bbd…6e72 | No | 71 | 49.0¢ | $66 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 68 | 70.0¢ | $64 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 66 | 95.0¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 307 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 809 | 6.8¢ | $51 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,412 bets |
| 0x0da3…67fa | Yes | 773 | 24.0¢ | $49 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 50 | 83.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| ErikaBlackwell57310xca67…703c | No | 50 | 80.0¢ | $47 | — |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | Yes | 698 | 16.2¢ | $44 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,625 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 679 | 40.1¢ | $43 | — |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 39 | 90.0¢ | $37 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| BoughtTheTop0x3a56…387c | No | 37 | 76.4¢ | $35 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 523 | 6.5¢ | $33 | Losing−$1.35 per $100 · 16,297 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 506 | 3.0¢ | $32 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| 0x7b1c…7840 | No | 32 | 85.8¢ | $30 | — |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 32 | 94.3¢ | $30 | Proven+$3.96 per $100 · 66,052 bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | Yes | 462 | 7.7¢ | $29 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 443 | 5.5¢ | $28 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| mickeyB0x58c8…0300 | No | 30 | 76.6¢ | $28 | Positive+$1.06 per $100 · 19,448 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 25 | 95.1¢ | $23 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| TanyaCarrillo86970xaffd…b072 | No | 25 | 80.0¢ | $23 | — |
| needalight0xb862…5aae | No | 23 | 80.0¢ | $22 | — |
| danshanghai0x3ebd…5578 | Yes | 327 | 23.8¢ | $21 | — |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | Yes | 300 | 18.2¢ | $19 | New34 settled bets |
| goldstndrd0x1037…413f | No | 20 | 82.0¢ | $19 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | Yes | 277 | 6.2¢ | $18 | Proven+$2.90 per $100 · 8,190 bets |
| RyanMunoz36260x2abd…74eb | No | 18 | 81.0¢ | $17 | — |
| FeliciaHoffman60090x12e2…85b7 | No | 14 | 81.0¢ | $13 | — |
| qhome120x8287…f4a7 | Yes | 195 | 19.9¢ | $12 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 13 | 84.0¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| bigfunky0x1d5e…64dd | No | 13 | 80.0¢ | $12 | — |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | Yes | 186 | 6.0¢ | $12 | — |
| PAntipov0xea1d…e993 | No | 12 | 93.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x9cfb…78f9 | No | 12 | 84.5¢ | $11 | — |
| DustinCampbell75130xa9e5…d252 | No | 12 | 80.4¢ | $11 | — |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | Yes | 172 | 9.3¢ | $11 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 12 | 86.5¢ | $11 | Losing−$15.24 per $100 · 214 bets |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | Yes | 167 | 5.4¢ | $11 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,879 bets |
| BonnieHubbard81490x02a5…c0ed | No | 11 | 76.0¢ | $10 | — |
| JenniferMeyer35230xd5a7…4d86 | No | 11 | 78.0¢ | $10 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 11 | 93.7¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xf2c2…3cb6 | Yes | 158 | 18.7¢ | $10 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 153 | 7.3¢ | $10 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| ACPOH0x47a5…43d3 | Yes | 152 | 6.8¢ | $10 | New16 settled bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 148 | 4.7¢ | $9 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| SherriAllen96960x2566…7d60 | No | 10 | 80.0¢ | $9 | — |
| roblausmini0x5688…be5a | No | 10 | 93.9¢ | $9 | — |
| DaisyMacdonald28910xa488…f562 | No | 10 | 82.0¢ | $9 | — |
| JasonBrown0xbbc6…0c70 | Yes | 143 | 21.7¢ | $9 | — |
| MtPleasant0x69ef…2528 | Yes | 118 | 17.6¢ | $7 | — |
| megadarkparticle0xa67d…c6f9 | Yes | 114 | 23.5¢ | $7 | — |
| MaskedAnalyst0x8f6e…a10b | Yes | 111 | 23.5¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x0649…e49b | Yes | 107 | 23.6¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x3644…5313 | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $6 | — |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | Yes | 98 | 5.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 87 | 5.9¢ | $6 | New3 settled bets |
| 0xd356…963d | Yes | 75 | 16.5¢ | $5 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 66 | 21.2¢ | $4 | — |
| guy-who-knows0x6f46…428b | Yes | 54 | 21.7¢ | $3 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 52 | 19.2¢ | $3 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| pupu10x881a…9187 | Yes | 50 | 33.0¢ | $3 | — |
| arinardon0xfc0c…e69c | Yes | 45 | 20.6¢ | $3 | — |
| bigbiba0xbced…84e9 | Yes | 43 | 23.1¢ | $3 | — |
| BCIGROUP0x4d15…6914 | Yes | 43 | 16.5¢ | $3 | Proven+$5.18 per $100 · 681 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | 36 | 22.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 35 | 31.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 35 | 7.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| GolD.RogerJR0x09a8…aff0 | Yes | 35 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| LBZbot0x2c2a…6f46 | Yes | 30 | 17.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$1.66 per $100 · 297 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 30 | 24.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 30 | 5.9¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 33,698 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 30 | 6.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 29 | 11.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 27 | 18.4¢ | $2 | — |
| impact-edge-better0x6fc5…94ef | Yes | 25 | 22.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xfc8e…7cbd | Yes | 21 | 19.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 675 events · $32.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.