Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 23:34 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sdiff1230xd352…4ad6 | No | 20,000 | 97.1¢ | $19.2K | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 833 bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | No | 13,060 | 95.3¢ | $12.5K | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | No | 2,988 | 95.2¢ | $2.86K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 1,351 | 94.1¢ | $1.29K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,985 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 24,991 | 3.0¢ | $1.04K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | No | 764 | 95.0¢ | $732 | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 256 | 95.5¢ | $245 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 5,545 | 4.5¢ | $230 | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,284 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | No | 222 | 93.7¢ | $213 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 202 | 95.6¢ | $194 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Dr3xter0x4024…080c | Yes | 4,441 | 6.5¢ | $184 | — |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 185 | 95.2¢ | $177 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| NotAnIdiot0xbceb…0049 | No | 175 | 97.7¢ | $168 | — |
| Glome0xfcdb…c4ee | No | 169 | 97.6¢ | $162 | Positive+$1.71 per $100 · 2,651 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 3,414 | 5.3¢ | $142 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| jb19720xbc79…f792 | Yes | 3,023 | 6.9¢ | $125 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | No | 123 | 94.5¢ | $117 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 119 | 94.6¢ | $114 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,585 | 3.5¢ | $107 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 94 | 96.6¢ | $90 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,914 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 2,000 | 5.2¢ | $83 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 80 | 92.8¢ | $77 | — |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | No | 74 | 96.6¢ | $71 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 1,651 | 6.1¢ | $69 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 64 | 96.9¢ | $62 | — |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | No | 60 | 93.0¢ | $58 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 1,313 | 3.5¢ | $54 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 56 | 94.0¢ | $54 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 45 | 95.5¢ | $43 | Positive+$5.58 per $100 · 87,195 bets |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 42 | 94.8¢ | $40 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 41 | 97.2¢ | $39 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 36 | 94.5¢ | $35 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| kryme0xaef1…4fe9 | Yes | 714 | 7.0¢ | $30 | — |
| LucieC.0x983f…fd5e | No | 30 | 94.0¢ | $29 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 707 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 476 | 3.8¢ | $20 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 460 | 4.6¢ | $19 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,027 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 392 | 4.0¢ | $16 | — |
| ses06war0x67c9…1ef1 | No | 15 | 96.8¢ | $14 | — |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 15 | 96.2¢ | $14 | — |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | Yes | 339 | 6.0¢ | $14 | — |
| duncjst0x44aa…d1d5 | Yes | 313 | 5.1¢ | $13 | — |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | No | 12 | 95.4¢ | $11 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 235 | 4.2¢ | $10 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 10 | 95.8¢ | $10 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 9 | 94.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0x9297…358b | Yes | 170 | 4.4¢ | $7 | — |
| EXNIHILOFX0x10a1…c3be | No | 7 | 96.2¢ | $7 | — |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | Yes | 149 | 3.4¢ | $6 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| notatrader.online0x804c…6221 | No | 6 | 95.0¢ | $6 | — |
| karttitan0xe4f1…9833 | Yes | 143 | 7.0¢ | $6 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 6 | 95.4¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| jabbadabba0xbfba…9774 | No | 5 | 94.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 120 | 3.4¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| entvan0x5cda…6561 | No | 5 | 96.6¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2be0…6dee | No | 5 | 96.0¢ | $5 | — |
| PurpleGuy2280xa680…ee76 | No | 5 | 96.6¢ | $5 | — |
| npc.ani0xb33a…ce7d | No | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| Lofsq0xba01…b412 | No | 5 | 96.5¢ | $5 | — |
| belissimo0xc64f…a5d6 | No | 5 | 96.6¢ | $5 | — |
| hamid19190x3cbe…2520 | No | 5 | 95.3¢ | $5 | — |
| letsgetmoniesfr0x06b5…159d | Yes | 105 | 6.2¢ | $4 | — |
| c1bsegl8xscm0x1b89…5918 | No | 4 | 94.0¢ | $4 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 80 | 5.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 80 | 4.0¢ | $3 | New3 settled bets |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 74 | 4.8¢ | $3 | New44 settled bets |
| masailion870x203b…2455 | No | 3 | 96.7¢ | $3 | — |
| stark440x6881…0f5c | No | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x1036…a41f | No | 3 | 96.9¢ | $3 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 3 | 93.8¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.76 per $100 · 122,728 bets |
| 0x3ca6…732f | No | 3 | 96.8¢ | $2 | — |
| Focus930x49fa…f5ca | No | 3 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Kurdishkutch50xde42…9eab | No | 3 | 96.7¢ | $2 | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 57 | 4.3¢ | $2 | Losing−$7.14 per $100 · 15,903 bets |
| DeveloperHirthe820xc35c…c7a0 | No | 2 | 96.7¢ | $2 | — |
| limearbs0xf331…7e96 | Yes | 52 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| Vernicepollich760xad8a…b531 | Yes | 34 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Flatbalistreri870x5dbf…909d | Yes | 32 | 3.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Amid10xc2ed…2396 | Yes | 30 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| 79fsdfs0x2564…f258 | Yes | 28 | 4.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 28 | 4.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Ardtysrt010x1fc9…ace5 | Yes | 20 | 3.7¢ | $1 | — |
| alertpilot1230xb10a…5b24 | Yes | 19 | 6.2¢ | $1 | — |
| BASSATS010xe4ca…1383 | Yes | 10 | 5.2¢ | $0 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 5 | 2.1¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| Yamaraja20xf5dc…9afe | Yes | 5 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | Yes | 0 | 3.3¢ | $0 | — |
| a55330x758d…5d9e | Yes | 0 | 4.4¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.67 per $100 · 44,379+ bets · updating |
| 0xe2ed…85fc | Yes | 0 | 6.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 0 | 2.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| nhadap0x4232…4159 | Yes | 0 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Touge0x1c44…6c6b | Yes | 0 | 3.6¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 623 events · $32.1M in play