Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 04:54 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 652 events · $32.2M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 13 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac80x64c8…73ce | No | 123,397 | 69.3¢ | $72.2K | — |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | No | 60,474 | 72.1¢ | $35.4K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | Yes | 79,478 | 33.2¢ | $33K | New74 settled bets |
| Krang0xa577…91e3 | Yes | 40,127 | 42.6¢ | $16.7K | Positive+$9.00 per $100 · 152 bets |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | No | 20,000 | 68.2¢ | $11.7K | Proven+$4.85 per $100 · 2,382 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 17,471 | 63.2¢ | $10.2K | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 23,642 | 32.0¢ | $9.81K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| The Spirit of Ukraine>UMA0x0c0e…434e | Yes | 21,368 | 37.6¢ | $8.87K | Proven+$4.10 per $100 · 2,050 bets |
| 0x1997…2e36 | No | 13,272 | 64.6¢ | $7.76K | Losing−$4.84 per $100 · 693 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 15,000 | 31.6¢ | $6.22K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Parliament0x5e38…a1db | Yes | 13,822 | 29.8¢ | $5.74K | Proven+$13.31 per $100 · 285 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 13,597 | 33.6¢ | $5.64K | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 9,344 | 58.8¢ | $5.47K | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 12,969 | 32.3¢ | $5.38K | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 12,661 | 29.5¢ | $5.25K | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 8,234 | 58.0¢ | $4.82K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 10,320 | 31.1¢ | $4.28K | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 7,183 | 66.4¢ | $4.2K | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,254 bets |
| 0xf559…f462 | Yes | 9,277 | 34.8¢ | $3.85K | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 742 bets |
| pmtosat-0x0c93…a00b | Yes | 9,125 | 32.2¢ | $3.79K | Losing−$7.03 per $100 · 485 bets |
| 0xd459…13f9 | Yes | 8,724 | 37.5¢ | $3.62K | New56 settled bets |
| ethBELIVER0x05f6…25a1 | No | 6,000 | 72.8¢ | $3.51K | New55 settled bets |
| HorribleWork0x7804…7025 | Yes | 8,057 | 33.4¢ | $3.34K | Losing−$1.90 per $100 · 1,375 bets |
| estateshomer0xca22…2ee7 | No | 5,701 | 62.9¢ | $3.33K | — |
| VorVZakone0xe4c9…6ef7 | Yes | 7,995 | 32.3¢ | $3.32K | — |
| Insider20240x319d…2538 | Yes | 7,590 | 34.2¢ | $3.15K | New39 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 7,165 | 30.0¢ | $2.97K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | Yes | 7,000 | 29.4¢ | $2.9K | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 4,496 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 7,000 | 33.4¢ | $2.9K | New3 settled bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | No | 4,917 | 59.2¢ | $2.88K | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc8 | No | 4,304 | 65.7¢ | $2.52K | Proven+$2.40 per $100 · 217 bets |
| pyoi0x202d…2dcd | Yes | 6,028 | 42.7¢ | $2.5K | Losing−$4.49 per $100 · 101 bets |
| 0xcb14…bd17 | Yes | 6,000 | 36.5¢ | $2.49K | Break-even−$0.06 per $100 · 916 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 5,500 | 32.8¢ | $2.28K | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 4,782 | 40.7¢ | $1.98K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| rebotsliaf0x2061…8ec9 | No | 3,333 | 59.0¢ | $1.95K | Positive+$3.46 per $100 · 888 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | No | 3,300 | 59.0¢ | $1.93K | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 4,371 | 37.3¢ | $1.81K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| bullishkirby0x515e…8309 | Yes | 4,356 | 29.8¢ | $1.81K | Losing−$1.42 per $100 · 227 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 4,333 | 42.4¢ | $1.8K | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| baran-ludoman0xc0bf…2032 | Yes | 3,799 | 36.0¢ | $1.58K | Proven+$11.48 per $100 · 198 bets |
| MalikNabers0x034f…f8b4 | No | 2,521 | 63.3¢ | $1.47K | Positive+$1.88 per $100 · 268 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 3,252 | 30.0¢ | $1.35K | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 2,222 | 62.0¢ | $1.3K | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| 0xb799…06a1 | Yes | 3,105 | 30.1¢ | $1.29K | — |
| 0x9a09…60eb | Yes | 3,030 | 33.9¢ | $1.26K | New19 settled bets |
| 0x5f38…1853 | No | 2,100 | 67.9¢ | $1.23K | — |
| 8811120xd426…334a | Yes | 2,903 | 36.4¢ | $1.2K | Proven+$15.37 per $100 · 1,938 bets |
| GG111GG0xfbfc…92ff | Yes | 2,857 | 41.4¢ | $1.19K | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 2,000 | 60.0¢ | $1.17K | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Sayl7Seas0x77a6…3606 | Yes | 2,815 | 31.9¢ | $1.17K | New19 settled bets |
| randomWalkingShrimp0x30d1…4525 | No | 1,929 | 68.7¢ | $1.13K | Proven+$8.22 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 2,561 | 29.3¢ | $1.06K | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| Isengard10x9032…b5c3 | No | 1,798 | 68.7¢ | $1.05K | — |
| MMH50x551d…4afe | Yes | 2,500 | 43.2¢ | $1.04K | New15 settled bets |
| Reavel0x68db…ed44 | Yes | 2,500 | 43.0¢ | $1.04K | — |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | Yes | 2,500 | 26.8¢ | $1.04K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 2,347 | 30.2¢ | $974 | — |
| smakmasta0x7883…172f | Yes | 2,143 | 43.0¢ | $889 | — |
| 0xcb58…0160 | No | 1,511 | 76.3¢ | $884 | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 113 bets |
| nijikaijichi0x7fb8…d906 | No | 1,500 | 69.0¢ | $878 | — |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 2,015 | 38.3¢ | $836 | New29 settled bets |
| yuhyuhyuhy3523520xbd04…fbb0 | Yes | 2,012 | 37.9¢ | $835 | Proven+$13.58 per $100 · 548 bets |
| sunsanity0x0f79…c23e | Yes | 1,937 | 42.0¢ | $804 | New12 settled bets |
| kukushuqian0xb147…4143 | Yes | 1,891 | 42.0¢ | $785 | — |
| 0x98e7…af19 | Yes | 1,847 | 55.1¢ | $766 | — |
| HowBoutThemCowboys0xe091…9549 | Yes | 1,820 | 42.2¢ | $755 | New30 settled bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,807 | 40.2¢ | $750 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| blockbyblockAI0xc92d…2339 | Yes | 1,779 | 43.1¢ | $738 | — |
| VorpalQuark0x4bb2…a656 | Yes | 1,755 | 30.0¢ | $728 | Positive+$2.90 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 1,716 | 36.3¢ | $712 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| ImBruceWayne0x0097…4a1d | Yes | 1,714 | 35.9¢ | $711 | Proven+$53.98 per $100 · 416 bets |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | No | 1,212 | 74.4¢ | $709 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | No | 1,200 | 67.0¢ | $702 | New39 settled bets |
| 0x3c64…09cd | No | 1,000 | 58.0¢ | $585 | — |
| Abandoned-Property0x9fea…7375 | No | 1,000 | 66.9¢ | $585 | — |
| 0xebd5…094c | No | 1,000 | 66.0¢ | $585 | — |
| 0x43ab…a0ef | No | 1,000 | 59.0¢ | $585 | New94 settled bets |
| 0xf80e…2af8 | No | 1,000 | 69.0¢ | $585 | Proven+$16.72 per $100 · 124 bets |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | No | 900 | 70.7¢ | $527 | New18 settled bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 896 | 67.1¢ | $524 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 851 | 66.4¢ | $498 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| WhoseHouseRamsHouse0x3825…04e8 | No | 800 | 57.7¢ | $468 | Losing−$2.94 per $100 · 1,162 bets |
| VerilyWinningly0x6276…9db5 | No | 744 | 59.0¢ | $435 | Positive+$27.82 per $100 · 1,250 bets |
| Jellow20x6640…2202 | No | 719 | 68.3¢ | $420 | Proven+$3.91 per $100 · 575 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 705 | 59.0¢ | $413 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | No | 603 | 59.0¢ | $353 | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| thefakenick0x85b9…906d | No | 600 | 72.0¢ | $351 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 2,711 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 570 | 58.2¢ | $334 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Catfly0xd8dc…0222 | No | 560 | 62.4¢ | $328 | New8 settled bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 552 | 61.0¢ | $323 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 550 | 62.9¢ | $322 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | No | 500 | 64.1¢ | $293 | — |
| Sydnar0xc561…fa80 | No | 500 | 58.0¢ | $293 | — |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | No | 483 | 67.5¢ | $282 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,874 bets |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | No | 450 | 58.6¢ | $263 | — |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 438 | 61.0¢ | $256 | Proven+$7.88 per $100 · 526 bets |
| rocky420240x391d…def1 | No | 430 | 60.8¢ | $251 | — |
| doBRO110xb816…fab9 | No | 373 | 68.7¢ | $218 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.