Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 02:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
of the biggest Yes money sits with 1 account that holds just as much No. They keep the market running rather than pick a side, so we set them aside. Below is the money that's actually betting.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | No | 19,741 | 94.8¢ | $19K | New84 settled bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | No | 15,959 | 85.4¢ | $15.4K | Proven |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
| truthteller0x30e4…5102 | No | 9,916 | 94.1¢ | $9.56K | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 3,480 bets |
| MrNoItAll0x836f…906e | No | 4,053 | 96.8¢ | $3.91K | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 499 bets |
| StudentMoney0xfb51…742d | No | 3,230 | 93.6¢ | $3.12K | Break-even−$0.69 per $100 · 1,766 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | No | 1,752 | 86.1¢ | $1.69K | New66 settled bets |
| gopfan20xf2f6…5817 | No | 1,200 | 74.0¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$5.39 per $100 · 2,338 bets |
| thoodr0x3eae…e2ed | No | 1,000 | 95.1¢ | $965 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 776 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | Yes | 24,010 | 14.2¢ | $852 | New3 settled bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 16,456 | 5.2¢ | $584 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No | 539 | 89.3¢ | $520 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| Pondermint0x8633…a08d | No | 500 | 93.1¢ | $482 | Proven+$3.85 per $100 · 680 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 494 | 90.1¢ | $477 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,920 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 427 | 84.0¢ | $412 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| 0xabb9…2b63 | No | 303 | 86.4¢ | $293 | — |
| Mmtst40x1d43…cf5f | No | 302 | 86.2¢ | $291 | — |
| zthunderfury0xc682…17bb | No | 300 | 75.0¢ | $289 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 497 bets |
| sono.pazzo0x98f2…3992 | Yes | 8,007 | 9.0¢ | $284 | — |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 7,988 | 6.2¢ | $284 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Talophex0xd0db…b117 | No | 250 | 97.0¢ | $241 | Proven+$2.05 per $100 · 1,929 bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | No | 201 | 86.2¢ | $194 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 871 bets |
| ilovepepefrog0xc6cb…bbf0 | No | 200 | 75.0¢ | $193 | — |
| sharingan-kakashi0x1c70…4c51 | No | 190 | 83.6¢ | $183 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | No | 145 | 93.5¢ | $140 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| pcb8970xc213…1388 | No | 122 | 81.9¢ | $118 | New1 settled bet |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | Yes | 3,078 | 8.8¢ | $109 | Losing−$17.29 per $100 · 7,293 bets |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | No | 100 | 97.0¢ | $96 | New62 settled bets |
| 0x4793…1d39 | No | 96 | 82.7¢ | $93 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | Yes | 2,561 | 6.1¢ | $91 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| alexhamilton0xd1e8…27b1 | Yes | 2,553 | 14.8¢ | $91 | New3 settled bets |
| djl6050x942b…e25e | Yes | 2,340 | 23.9¢ | $83 | — |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | No | 74 | 97.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 64 | 97.0¢ | $62 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 45 | 76.7¢ | $44 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| Boey0x0539…70f9 | Yes | 1,200 | 13.2¢ | $43 | Positive+$20.65 per $100 · 454 bets |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 41 | 96.5¢ | $40 | — |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | Yes | 1,000 | 6.3¢ | $35 | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| 0x6706…2341 | No | 34 | 85.8¢ | $33 | — |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | Yes | 845 | 3.9¢ | $30 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| 0x5375…aeea | Yes | 817 | 16.8¢ | $29 | Losing−$5.54 per $100 · 8,517 bets |
| waterstar0x1401…1eac | Yes | 663 | 3.1¢ | $24 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 21 | 80.3¢ | $20 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 500 | 21.4¢ | $18 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| algaaaaa0xeb70…f9d5 | No | 17 | 94.1¢ | $17 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 468 | 6.6¢ | $17 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| daniel1221340x09fe…76ee | No | 17 | 85.1¢ | $16 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | No | 17 | 90.4¢ | $16 | — |
| 0x0f18…5b28 | No | 16 | 95.1¢ | $15 | — |
| ACPOH0x47a5…43d3 | Yes | 410 | 5.1¢ | $15 | — |
| pompey0xbbae…13f8 | Yes | 335 | 15.4¢ | $12 | — |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | Yes | 320 | 17.9¢ | $11 | — |
| Willsomthinghappen0x2186…2948 | No | 12 | 86.5¢ | $11 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 10 | 96.4¢ | $10 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 10 | 86.2¢ | $10 | — |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 10 | 94.4¢ | $10 | — |
| SenatorPalpatine0x7ab8…eb56 | No | 10 | 94.5¢ | $10 | — |
| Viewbot0xdbe5…72da | No | 9 | 87.0¢ | $9 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 251 | 4.0¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,170 bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | Yes | 226 | 17.8¢ | $8 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 225 | 3.0¢ | $8 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | Yes | 217 | 18.4¢ | $8 | — |
| Gxcho0x4839…775a | Yes | 200 | 4.7¢ | $7 | New37 settled bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | Yes | 200 | 17.2¢ | $7 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| 0x5778…a0e7 | No | 7 | 87.3¢ | $7 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 160 | 3.3¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0x00fd…c640 | No | 6 | 87.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5e7b…17c8 | No | 6 | 87.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x8499…5a9f | No | 6 | 87.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xe69f…9040 | No | 6 | 87.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x5d98…d1cd | No | 6 | 87.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4390…a0b7 | No | 6 | 87.3¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4500…25a3 | No | 6 | 87.2¢ | $5 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 143 | 3.6¢ | $5 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 141 | 5.6¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| spacexstar0xb06c…b574 | Yes | 140 | 4.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.94 per $100 · 614 bets |
| 0x7b82…8d9f | No | 5 | 97.5¢ | $5 | — |
| sayaakanlawannnn0xf5c6…6235 | Yes | 139 | 14.9¢ | $5 | — |
| CapeCalibratedPM0x1d2a…7682 | No | 5 | 86.5¢ | $5 | — |
| jiffyjoker668880x162e…7cf3 | Yes | 98 | 5.3¢ | $3 | — |
| quitecatis0xbc17…c01c | Yes | 95 | 15.6¢ | $3 | — |
| l4920x7efb…68a1 | Yes | 91 | 17.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 86 | 26.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 72 | 15.2¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 65 | 6.8¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.69 per $100 · 122,985 bets |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | Yes | 57 | 18.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| 0x9297…358b | Yes | 50 | 5.7¢ | $2 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 39 | 26.0¢ | $1 | — |
| napejigers0xbac9…420c | Yes | 36 | 14.3¢ | $1 | — |
| showmethemoneyjerry0x2c5d…bf33 | Yes | 35 | 14.6¢ | $1 | — |
| 111220x011f…1122 | Yes | 32 | 2.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.55 per $100 · 5,659 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | Yes | 31 | 3.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | Yes | 30 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 30 | 5.2¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x35df…cf97 | Yes | 30 | 16.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Linkofsunshine0xf517…a70e | Yes | 28 | 21.3¢ | $1 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 28 | 11.6¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| jose.prietogz0x28e2…4d8b | Yes | 27 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 23 | 5.4¢ | $1 | New44 settled bets |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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US 2026 midterms · 642 events · $32.1M in play