Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republicans win the Florida governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 14:55 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 695 events · $32.6M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 7 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | Yes | 10,138 | 79.4¢ | $7.96K | New20 settled bets |
| Outsid3rTrading0xf1ef…8cd6 | Yes | 9,999 | 74.0¢ | $7.85K | Break-even+$0.77 per $100 · 2,138 bets |
| NotHarrisonHohman0xe72e…282d | Yes | 6,366 | 79.2¢ | $5K | New8 settled bets |
| Hoch0x72e2…6610 | Yes | 6,163 | 81.7¢ | $4.84K | Break-even+$0.22 per $100 · 562 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 3,745 | 78.3¢ | $2.94K | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| 0x4488…e319 | Yes | 3,621 | 76.7¢ | $2.84K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 7,574 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | 2,707 | 77.1¢ | $2.12K | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 2,547 | 75.5¢ | $2K | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| enekestomi0xed7e…2fe2 | Yes | 2,507 | 79.0¢ | $1.97K | — |
| 0xSuperRekt0xdd5d…1614 | Yes | 1,500 | 77.0¢ | $1.18K | — |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 5,000 | 23.0¢ | $1.07K | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 1,247 | 73.8¢ | $979 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| benjamin20480x2286…c31f | Yes | 1,224 | 80.2¢ | $961 | New94 settled bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 1,217 | 77.7¢ | $955 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | No | 4,389 | 26.8¢ | $944 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| HerlihyM920x1970…398d | Yes | 1,200 | 79.0¢ | $942 | Proven+$8.37 per $100 · 538 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 1,005 | 75.7¢ | $789 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | No | 3,333 | 21.3¢ | $717 | Positive+$1.89 per $100 · 4,098 bets |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 859 | 81.9¢ | $674 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | No | 2,480 | 21.4¢ | $533 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 612 | 78.8¢ | $481 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 564 | 90.0¢ | $443 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| theginth0xbd62…6a7e | Yes | 500 | 78.2¢ | $392 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | No | 1,800 | 22.6¢ | $387 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| MateisLostDog0xe274…ee86 | No | 1,763 | 24.3¢ | $379 | — |
| Rr550xb8ad…ff58 | Yes | 400 | 77.5¢ | $314 | — |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | Yes | 372 | 81.3¢ | $292 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 347 | 77.3¢ | $272 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | No | 1,162 | 21.0¢ | $250 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 263 | 78.7¢ | $206 | New66 settled bets |
| Zzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzzz0xa374…ed09 | Yes | 262 | 82.8¢ | $206 | — |
| Robbb0x9cdd…3e97 | Yes | 256 | 78.7¢ | $201 | Proven+$5.15 per $100 · 4,527 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 781 | 20.1¢ | $168 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 743 | 21.0¢ | $160 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 732 | 22.0¢ | $157 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| OkayAlright0x2873…4ad3 | Yes | 200 | 78.0¢ | $157 | — |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | Yes | 200 | 76.5¢ | $157 | New34 settled bets |
| acc420200xeab6…d4c6 | No | 645 | 23.6¢ | $139 | — |
| DennisC0x0f83…5acd | Yes | 169 | 92.0¢ | $132 | — |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | No | 616 | 23.7¢ | $132 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| Mr.BigBaller0xfac3…1bec | Yes | 155 | 84.5¢ | $121 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 150 | 73.8¢ | $118 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| kukushuqian0xb147…4143 | Yes | 150 | 78.7¢ | $118 | — |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Yes | 145 | 77.7¢ | $114 | — |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 143 | 79.7¢ | $112 | — |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | No | 500 | 18.7¢ | $108 | — |
| GekkeHenkie230x5c3a…d4f4 | Yes | 128 | 78.7¢ | $101 | New27 settled bets |
| Jake2220x116b…0930 | Yes | 125 | 77.7¢ | $98 | — |
| Praescientia0x94bb…c320 | No | 454 | 23.5¢ | $98 | Break-even+$0.39 per $100 · 6,664 bets |
| Polyscam0x3ef0…f1a9 | Yes | 123 | 77.9¢ | $97 | — |
| SH1L0H0x92f1…8232 | Yes | 122 | 82.6¢ | $96 | — |
| leorainer0xcc49…e883 | Yes | 122 | 82.6¢ | $96 | — |
| AndrewivxApprentice0x3395…e2ff | Yes | 120 | 83.6¢ | $95 | — |
| YonSchwim0x2c73…cb5b | Yes | 102 | 83.5¢ | $80 | — |
| mikecoin10x34b0…d620 | Yes | 100 | 83.0¢ | $79 | Proven+$5.87 per $100 · 253 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | No | 353 | 26.0¢ | $76 | Proven+$7.84 per $100 · 1,852 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 350 | 21.8¢ | $75 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| haimshor0xb26a…c542 | Yes | 90 | 78.7¢ | $70 | — |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | Yes | 80 | 81.0¢ | $63 | — |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | Yes | 80 | 81.5¢ | $62 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 2,635 bets |
| SaylorMoon0xecb1…5da3 | Yes | 73 | 77.0¢ | $58 | Positive+$1.32 per $100 · 2,899 bets |
| justbetmore0x6e78…5aec | Yes | 70 | 80.0¢ | $55 | — |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | No | 250 | 22.7¢ | $54 | — |
| tony7780xd286…d55d | Yes | 68 | 77.7¢ | $53 | — |
| igotrobbedbycryptoscum0x1ed8…3aff | Yes | 64 | 78.7¢ | $50 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 228 | 24.9¢ | $49 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,945 bets |
| siick0xf9b7…60a4 | No | 222 | 18.6¢ | $48 | Proven+$3.60 per $100 · 1,967 bets |
| 0x6d84…4c02 | No | 208 | 24.7¢ | $45 | New26 settled bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | No | 200 | 20.0¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.58 per $100 · 931 bets |
| Nobody230410x45cc…6400 | No | 200 | 22.0¢ | $43 | Break-even+$0.54 per $100 · 2,121 bets |
| PutsOnPeace0x635d…5025 | Yes | 53 | 71.0¢ | $42 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 2,042 bets |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | Yes | 49 | 75.7¢ | $39 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 178 | 8.0¢ | $38 | — |
| BadLuk0x175b…b14c | No | 177 | 26.7¢ | $38 | — |
| commiehater20250x2220…b887 | No | 100 | 19.6¢ | $22 | — |
| keepingitral0xf26c…d5c5 | No | 100 | 23.7¢ | $22 | — |
| smye1000xfb8e…3dc3 | No | 99 | 18.6¢ | $21 | Losing−$3.44 per $100 · 5,616 bets |
| jnmtm0x0ef5…e92f | No | 80 | 25.8¢ | $17 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 72 | 23.0¢ | $16 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,693+ bets · updating |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 60 | 22.0¢ | $13 | Break-even−$0.62 per $100 · 14,498 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 50 | 21.5¢ | $11 | — |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 50 | 23.7¢ | $11 | — |
| 0xfa4b…e34d | No | 44 | 22.7¢ | $9 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 37 | 16.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| l4920x7efb…68a1 | No | 36 | 28.2¢ | $8 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 31 | 8.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| Arbga20260xaea0…0dec | No | 30 | 21.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xe252…a642 | No | 23 | 21.7¢ | $5 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | No | 21 | 22.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x4732…838e | No | 20 | 23.1¢ | $4 | — |
| GingerCat0x5403…b62c | No | 18 | 22.4¢ | $4 | — |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 15 | 23.4¢ | $3 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | No | 11 | 19.3¢ | $2 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| 0x39b3…c82c | No | 10 | 10.0¢ | $2 | — |
| lll918dd0x6250…f49a | No | 10 | 26.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.63 per $100 · 3,025 bets |
| 0xf9b5…1212 | No | 7 | 25.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xd81e…0fe5 | No | 7 | 18.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x7562…0681 | No | 6 | 17.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xedd8…013b | No | 6 | 27.0¢ | $1 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 8 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.