Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republican Party win the NJ-08 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 09:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| byu50x9f4e…f8af | No | 15,740 | 97.0¢ | $15.2K | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 13,483 | 97.1¢ | $13.1K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | No | 1,500 | 95.2¢ | $1.45K | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 25,000 | 3.0¢ | $788 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| UntitledUser10x43b9…5db9 | Yes | 5,513 | 3.1¢ | $174 | Break-even+$0.47 per $100 · 569 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 168 | 95.1¢ | $163 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 47 | 96.2¢ | $46 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| 0x71e1…45f0 | No | 30 | 95.2¢ | $29 | Proven+$4.44 per $100 · 735 bets |
| Nadmi0xe154…0b7f | Yes | 412 | 1.0¢ | $13 | Positive+$11.65 per $100 · 5,809 bets |
| stggfdliu5fh0x5b2d…2229 | No | 6 | 98.3¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9297…358b | Yes | 175 | 4.1¢ | $6 | — |
| lmhjyg0x0ca4…190e | No | 5 | 98.1¢ | $5 | — |
| jgsfsdhtrhvh660xc6ef…d114 | No | 5 | 98.5¢ | $5 | — |
| BSS370x1e98…6345 | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.13 per $100 · 15,893 bets |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 100 | 6.2¢ | $3 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| Biver520xec82…6eaa | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$3.72 per $100 · 13,010 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 100 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$2.67 per $100 · 123,278+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | Yes | 86 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | Yes | 72 | 5.2¢ | $2 | New44 settled bets |
| crossFiter0x1284…3694 | Yes | 67 | 2.3¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 3,178 bets |
| Trunks32830x3b53…879c | Yes | 35 | 3.0¢ | $1 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 1 | 91.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,224 bets |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 16 | 1.8¢ | $1 | — |
| hesure0xbe0e…d429 | Yes | 10 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| maomao2280xfe46…6133 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 668 events · $32.3M in play