Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Republican Party win the CA-36 House seat?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 23:22 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
0 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1239050x7b1f…1ea7 | No | 35,912 | 97.1¢ | $35K | — |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 14,601 | 96.2¢ | $14.2K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 51,290 | 3.4¢ | $1.28K | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 1,002 | 95.2¢ | $977 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 120 | 95.1¢ | $117 | Break-even+$0.01 per $100 · 6,265 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | No | 61 | 92.0¢ | $60 | — |
| thecaricature0x66a1…80d9 | Yes | 260 | 5.2¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.94 per $100 · 8,489 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 6.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 39 | 7.4¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.52 per $100 · 124,445 bets |
| ivybaby020x9771…db67 | Yes | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jksdnf0xb6bf…c1c1 | Yes | 15 | 3.2¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 474 bets |
| 0xe85d…4e7f | Yes | 5 | 50.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 16r0ob0x0b34…ffc3 | Yes | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
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