Market · 10 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 56 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 16:31 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $350 | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 149 | 99.0¢ | $148 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,947 bets |
| Semen-Demon0xf440…2747 | Yes | 10,905 | 2.6¢ | $76 | — |
| Predictive-Market0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | 9,100 | 0.5¢ | $64 | — |
| juliaharrys0xfca0…b8dd | No | 50 | 98.8¢ | $50 | — |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 6,982 | 1.6¢ | $49 | — |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 5,465 | 1.1¢ | $38 | Losing−$12.89 per $100 · 792 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 4,972 | 0.4¢ | $35 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| MarketSmithBrad0x576e…f1cd | Yes | 3,153 | 2.2¢ | $22 | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 97.8¢ | $16 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 869 | 1.6¢ | $6 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 800 | 0.2¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 652 | 5.1¢ | $5 | New0 settled bets |
| ThompsonScor0x5a01…3aa6 | No | 3 | 95.6¢ | $3 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 3 | 99.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 405 | 0.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 341 | 9.1¢ | $2 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,415 bets |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | Yes | 302 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| mln190x1088…b813 | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xed88…0dfd | Yes | 282 | 1.0¢ | $2 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 253 | 0.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,566 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 248 | 5.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 154 | 1.4¢ | $1 | New65 settled bets |
| 843Cc4C8e6dc29A4581126660814B0a6eF6A0734.0x843c…0734 | Yes | 150 | 0.5¢ | $1 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| 0x8e1a…e252 | Yes | 125 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 122 | 2.2¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,518 bets |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 102 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.97 per $100 · 7,458 bets |
| fm140x4b91…982d | Yes | 100 | 1.4¢ | $1 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 4,018 bets |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.83 per $100 · 9,510 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 99.8¢ | $1 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 91 | 9.1¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 98.0¢ | $1 | — |
| jackli0030x550f…7dad | Yes | 80 | 0.2¢ | $1 | — |
| edvpettersen0x4315…698a | Yes | 77 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Rubic0070x486e…5534 | Yes | 71 | 1.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$78.50 per $100 · 822 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 68 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.01 per $100 · 5,266 bets |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 42 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 41 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 40 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 32 | 5.4¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 26 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 0 | 97.6¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,323 bets |
| 0x151b…c6ca | Yes | 25 | 4.9¢ | $0 | — |
| sanduspace0x4aa3…11ce | Yes | 25 | 0.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$44.40 per $100 · 11,985 bets |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.84 per $100 · 18,336 bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 20 | 3.2¢ | $0 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 19 | 1.2¢ | $0 | — |
| Gumballer0x400d…f372 | Yes | 14 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nexusoptimus0xa994…19a6 | Yes | 13 | 0.7¢ | $0 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x827d…c558 | Yes | 10 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 6 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| pg31410x7eaf…99e9 | Yes | 5 | 49.0¢ | $0 | — |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 4 | 3.9¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 99.1¢ | $0 | — |
| chuby92080xb0c7…6fa8 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 13,173 bets |
| dicen250x1a38…d8c3 | No | 0 | 98.6¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.8¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 98.9¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,772 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 703 events · $32.7M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.