Market · 9 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 55 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:46 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $675 | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 400 | 95.2¢ | $395 | — |
| Semen-Demon0xf440…2747 | Yes | 12,811 | 3.0¢ | $173 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 148 | 98.8¢ | $146 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| Predictive-Market0x4cd9…35b9 | Yes | 7,644 | 0.9¢ | $103 | — |
| MarketSmithBrad0x576e…f1cd | Yes | 4,952 | 1.6¢ | $67 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 98.4¢ | $59 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,334 bets |
| jenya13040x5e4e…ebe8 | No | 50 | 98.5¢ | $49 | — |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 3,275 | 2.2¢ | $44 | — |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 2,725 | 1.3¢ | $37 | Losing−$12.89 per $100 · 792 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 2,206 | 9.1¢ | $30 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| HowBoutThemCowboys0xe091…9549 | Yes | 2,084 | 2.5¢ | $28 | New30 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 1,637 | 1.1¢ | $22 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| AttilaBot10x7954…48dc | No | 20 | 98.8¢ | $20 | — |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | No | 18 | 94.6¢ | $18 | Positive+$3.09 per $100 · 1,177 bets |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 95.8¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xc84c…2092 | Yes | 1,113 | 1.9¢ | $15 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,048 | 1.7¢ | $14 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 933 | 8.1¢ | $13 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| 0x413b…b488 | Yes | 926 | 2.3¢ | $13 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 11 | 99.3¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 652 | 5.0¢ | $9 | — |
| offroadtms0x73d7…11b2 | Yes | 642 | 1.9¢ | $9 | — |
| cobble0xe5c2…cfb5 | Yes | 606 | 2.5¢ | $8 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 422 | 2.1¢ | $6 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 389 | 0.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$3.81 per $100 · 101,137 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 379 | 0.5¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| grinder10110xeed7…16b2 | Yes | 366 | 3.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$3.98 per $100 · 356 bets |
| reganvegan0x682c…c888 | Yes | 357 | 1.5¢ | $5 | — |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 357 | 1.5¢ | $5 | New65 settled bets |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 5 | 98.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 5 | 95.3¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| mln190x1088…b813 | Yes | 300 | 1.6¢ | $4 | — |
| OpheliaMist0x2f10…dc6d | No | 3 | 97.9¢ | $3 | — |
| Seraphinaysander0x507a…86f8 | No | 3 | 98.8¢ | $3 | — |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | Yes | 157 | 2.0¢ | $2 | — |
| CelandineWillow0xc4a1…25da | No | 2 | 98.2¢ | $2 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 149 | 8.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.70 per $100 · 123,093 bets |
| anxiety530x21c4…7771 | No | 2 | 93.4¢ | $2 | — |
| liar080x787d…b46d | No | 2 | 94.3¢ | $2 | — |
| decide110xd460…267d | No | 2 | 96.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 99.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 141 | 0.6¢ | $2 | Positive+$6.99 per $100 · 29,969+ bets · updating |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $2 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Gumballer0x400d…f372 | Yes | 114 | 4.9¢ | $2 | — |
| Lashibucapiguyonghand0x78b3…a139 | Yes | 100 | 1.5¢ | $1 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | Yes | 91 | 2.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
| BangsarJames0x93b0…40f4 | Yes | 77 | 3.9¢ | $1 | — |
| Pjchougule - 13260x2998…b425 | No | 1 | 99.2¢ | $1 | — |
| tomato-settle0x2b01…01dc | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| casualWeird0x3374…ebdf | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| because-grief-urban0x55cd…f8d8 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| when050x629d…9eb3 | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| lizardif250x65db…62d3 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| attract9230x6a95…d39f | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Reducerule0x7942…1e88 | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | — |
| amateur-poverty-offer0x8150…98a4 | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| Motorcountry0xbc51…d99a | No | 1 | 98.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Stool-Actress-Invest0xf5da…2bf4 | No | 1 | 93.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 234ksdj3s33sfe33rf0x8f38…7af9 | Yes | 65 | 2.0¢ | $1 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 61 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 1 | 94.2¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.62 per $100 · 20,907 bets |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | Yes | 55 | 6.4¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 98.8¢ | $1 | — |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 98.3¢ | $1 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 42 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.06 per $100 · 30,847 bets |
| 73f44919CE0143F0e9a05F531f7C8B15c8a483a0.0x73f4…83a0 | Yes | 40 | 1.1¢ | $1 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 40 | 1.8¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| smileudance0xaa73…c2c4 | Yes | 30 | 3.4¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x151b…c6ca | Yes | 30 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 26 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| Tee10000x5edc…bbad | Yes | 25 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 24 | 2.3¢ | $0 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 22 | 9.1¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0xc64b…516d | Yes | 12 | 1.4¢ | $0 | — |
| LetTheGoodTimesRoll0x1408…b4f8 | No | 0 | 98.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 6 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | — |
| 0x39b2…157c | No | 0 | 98.3¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa39f…fbdb | Yes | 5 | 0.6¢ | $0 | — |
| ElectionBetter12340xb29a…ae79 | Yes | 5 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 4 | 6.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 99.0¢ | $0 | — |
| nutshack0xc73e…1b1c | No | 0 | 97.8¢ | $0 | — |
| JordanMooney0x5136…0e4f | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.37 per $100 · 13,129 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 98.7¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.63 per $100 · 127,579 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 659 events · $32.2M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.