Market · 7 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 53 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 00:58 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
3 proven traders are on Yes, 2 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| tmoneeey0xa974…ef79 | Yes | 51,630 | 5.3¢ | $2.63K | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 753 bets |
| Semen-Demon0xf440…2747 | Yes | 16,078 | 5.7¢ | $820 | — |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 600 | 95.7¢ | $569 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | No | 500 | 95.0¢ | $475 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | No | 387 | 90.3¢ | $367 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 5,735 | 3.5¢ | $292 | New29 settled bets |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 5,623 | 4.3¢ | $287 | — |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 5,534 | 9.1¢ | $282 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 3,347 | 3.0¢ | $171 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 155 | 95.2¢ | $147 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,918 bets |
| HowBoutThemCowboys0xe091…9549 | Yes | 1,938 | 4.3¢ | $99 | New30 settled bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 100 | 96.7¢ | $95 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| y5ephe650x5570…f033 | No | 100 | 97.1¢ | $95 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 1,474 | 9.1¢ | $75 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| ambussing0x52e4…2168 | No | 65 | 98.7¢ | $62 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 93.6¢ | $57 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 1,093 | 5.9¢ | $56 | — |
| granat05290xde04…d63b | No | 58 | 95.2¢ | $55 | — |
| loctar00450x07ae…a897 | No | 57 | 95.2¢ | $54 | — |
| koiv4rt0xf485…be61 | No | 51 | 96.3¢ | $48 | — |
| lohcvetochniy0xe407…a7e9 | No | 50 | 97.1¢ | $47 | — |
| Sambutterfllly0xe77d…df5c | No | 50 | 98.4¢ | $47 | — |
| 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | 863 | 4.8¢ | $44 | — |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 723 | 1.1¢ | $37 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 652 | 5.0¢ | $33 | — |
| 0x413b…b488 | Yes | 573 | 3.6¢ | $29 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 96.1¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 30 | 96.9¢ | $28 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | No | 27 | 92.0¢ | $26 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| 0xc6f6…f13c | No | 23 | 92.0¢ | $22 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 424 | 4.4¢ | $22 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| BettingBoi0xaee7…05e9 | Yes | 400 | 3.1¢ | $20 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 378 bets |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 397 | 0.9¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | Yes | 345 | 1.0¢ | $18 | Positive+$6.72 per $100 · 6,725 bets |
| cvhfdh0x81ab…2ae0 | No | 18 | 0.0¢ | $17 | — |
| mln190x1088…b813 | Yes | 300 | 3.8¢ | $15 | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 94.1¢ | $15 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 225 | 0.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 206 | 7.6¢ | $11 | — |
| jabbadabba0xbfba…9774 | No | 11 | 94.0¢ | $10 | — |
| trader-8feda3800x8fed…a1f9 | No | 10 | 96.8¢ | $10 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 10 | 98.0¢ | $10 | — |
| cerwinwattsug0xd7c0…cde5 | No | 10 | 95.2¢ | $9 | — |
| pharaoh0xc433…2937 | Yes | 160 | 3.9¢ | $8 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $6 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| AttilaBot10x7954…48dc | No | 6 | 97.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Gify880x6226…93a5 | Yes | 117 | 5.1¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x9afd…c377 | Yes | 106 | 4.4¢ | $5 | — |
| akunai0x7ac4…4f44 | Yes | 100 | 3.7¢ | $5 | — |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | Yes | 99 | 4.1¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| Lashibucapiguyonghand0x78b3…a139 | Yes | 97 | 4.4¢ | $5 | — |
| VioletTrunks0x92b0…7582 | No | 5 | 96.8¢ | $5 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x2be0…6dee | No | 5 | 95.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x05ae…5323 | No | 5 | 97.7¢ | $5 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 85 | 9.1¢ | $4 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 78 | 3.6¢ | $4 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | Yes | 76 | 4.1¢ | $4 | — |
| MarcellusKnight0xb95e…6cff | No | 3 | 95.0¢ | $3 | — |
| BangsarJames0x93b0…40f4 | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $3 | — |
| asfdt290xcdb0…1581 | Yes | 52 | 6.8¢ | $3 | — |
| ox7a8Fe7b6934c1B5CdA555FBD5731a57E2683D9ee0x7a8f…d9ee | No | 2 | 98.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 90.0¢ | $2 | — |
| jjeeesusssus0x59fe…14fd | No | 2 | 94.0¢ | $2 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 36 | 0.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 8mqyda30rr9v0xadfa…7070 | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Gohst0x2d4b…ca7a | Yes | 32 | 18.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$80.31 per $100 · 2,060 bets |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $2 | — |
| fatdwarf0xaac4…3595 | Yes | 29 | 3.5¢ | $1 | — |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 29 | 3.6¢ | $1 | New65 settled bets |
| Melsonism0x230a…b9c6 | Yes | 27 | 3.8¢ | $1 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | Yes | 26 | 9.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mvmca16110x3744…d422 | No | 1 | 95.0¢ | $1 | — |
| plystrat090xcec3…ae92 | No | 1 | 95.2¢ | $1 | — |
| trader-c3f626da0xc3f6…060f | No | 1 | 96.8¢ | $1 | — |
| alemania920x4fc2…05ee | Yes | 19 | 5.4¢ | $1 | — |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 1 | 92.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x359d…dd5e | Yes | 17 | 6.0¢ | $1 | — |
| MaskedAnalyst0x8f6e…a10b | Yes | 15 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 13 | 5.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 96.2¢ | $1 | — |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 87.8¢ | $1 | — |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 0 | 87.1¢ | $0 | — |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 7 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Sm10x215a…6bcd | Yes | 7 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 7 | 0.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| 3-mil-on-tour0x7595…872e | Yes | 6 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| a5tthsyuo3c0x841c…b20d | Yes | 6 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| NewsGurus0xc278…a116 | Yes | 5 | 4.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 96.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 97.5¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,489 bets |
| 0x39b2…157c | No | 0 | 96.3¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 97.1¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| kriperpapai0x9ad6…c1f2 | No | 0 | 94.9¢ | $0 | — |
| strayjaw0x1720…be3f | No | 0 | 94.4¢ | $0 | — |
| dicen250x1a38…d8c3 | No | 0 | 97.0¢ | $0 | — |
| skyrocks0xa3cf…1a67 | No | 0 | 98.8¢ | $0 | — |
| kfg10x68b2…a397 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 626 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.