Market · 6 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 52 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 11, 2026, 22:41 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
7 proven traders are on Yes, 1 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 50,000 | 9.5¢ | $3.15K | Proven+$3.66 per $100 · 1,063 bets |
| Semen-Demon0xf440…2747 | Yes | 16,211 | 11.5¢ | $1.02K | — |
| BetterFish0xc412…592d | No | 742 | 89.4¢ | $695 | — |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 715 | 94.0¢ | $670 | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| 0xcbdf…6a49 | Yes | 10,153 | 6.8¢ | $640 | New29 settled bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | No | 413 | 91.3¢ | $387 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 5,012 | 9.1¢ | $316 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 2,339 | 0.9¢ | $147 | Proven+$3.50 per $100 · 13,216 bets |
| wing12340x02ae…bad5 | Yes | 1,967 | 5.1¢ | $124 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 121 | 91.4¢ | $113 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,913 bets |
| HowBoutThemCowboys0xe091…9549 | Yes | 1,448 | 6.4¢ | $91 | New30 settled bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 1,368 | 6.1¢ | $86 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,201 | 5.5¢ | $76 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| Folletin0x08c8…1da2 | Yes | 1,000 | 13.3¢ | $63 | Proven+$5.44 per $100 · 712 bets |
| veniaminhuesos0xc0e8…fbe3 | No | 63 | 94.4¢ | $59 | — |
| BP20250x049a…b22a | Yes | 895 | 0.6¢ | $56 | Proven+$6.76 per $100 · 257 bets |
| svaga14890xb8d8…8166 | No | 60 | 94.4¢ | $56 | — |
| huietyu0x60ef…3d9b | No | 52 | 94.3¢ | $49 | — |
| jo34r0x487a…8c83 | No | 51 | 94.4¢ | $48 | — |
| JoE0x7740…cbcd | No | 49 | 92.9¢ | $46 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 652 | 5.0¢ | $41 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 42 | 87.3¢ | $40 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 192,971 bets |
| vbm0x8304…f086 | No | 40 | 91.5¢ | $37 | — |
| Razirback0x92c7…c136 | Yes | 550 | 8.9¢ | $35 | Losing−$1.17 per $100 · 4,966 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 500 | 9.1¢ | $32 | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,102 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 30 | 93.6¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| BettingBoi0xaee7…05e9 | Yes | 400 | 6.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 378 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 370 | 6.7¢ | $23 | — |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 341 | 9.1¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 308 | 0.0¢ | $19 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 100,946 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 308 | 10.1¢ | $19 | — |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 300 | 5.5¢ | $19 | — |
| rx780x5fde…cbbe | No | 20 | 90.0¢ | $19 | — |
| ChilmarkGeneralStore0x6238…57c8 | Yes | 273 | 9.2¢ | $17 | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 94.2¢ | $15 | — |
| longtermgains0xebdc…bf08 | Yes | 230 | 13.3¢ | $14 | — |
| mln190x1088…b813 | Yes | 200 | 6.4¢ | $13 | — |
| resfeber0x814d…b842 | Yes | 200 | 4.1¢ | $13 | Losing−$2.54 per $100 · 2,420 bets |
| 0xf05f…ed10 | Yes | 192 | 6.7¢ | $12 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 166 | 12.7¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 259 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 11 | 83.2¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| zooluck0x9785…8e37 | No | 11 | 92.3¢ | $10 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | Yes | 160 | 5.3¢ | $10 | — |
| pharaoh0xc433…2937 | Yes | 160 | 7.6¢ | $10 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 10 | 95.1¢ | $10 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 148 | 8.3¢ | $9 | Losing−$2.85 per $100 · 108,352+ bets · updating |
| SirReuben0x9a55…4b90 | Yes | 143 | 8.4¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xa685…c2b3 | No | 9 | 91.0¢ | $8 | — |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $8 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | Yes | 100 | 0.0¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| Gify880x6226…93a5 | Yes | 100 | 6.1¢ | $6 | — |
| hellowl0x664c…aff2 | Yes | 100 | 12.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x6e33…be80 | Yes | 100 | 10.0¢ | $6 | — |
| Lashibucapiguyonghand0x78b3…a139 | Yes | 100 | 8.2¢ | $6 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 96 | 9.1¢ | $6 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 95 | 1.0¢ | $6 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| gossipru160xf92d…bb6f | Yes | 94 | 8.3¢ | $6 | — |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $6 | — |
| gettr0x8791…6e5e | Yes | 88 | 5.9¢ | $6 | New65 settled bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 79 | 6.3¢ | $5 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| 0x1bf5…ff5e | No | 5 | 94.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 5 | 91.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xfa01…800a | No | 5 | 94.1¢ | $5 | — |
| ma990x6c37…d40f | Yes | 55 | 6.0¢ | $3 | — |
| engri0xe184…08c5 | Yes | 51 | 6.1¢ | $3 | — |
| nickzz70x446b…e7c3 | Yes | 50 | 7.0¢ | $3 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 48 | 49.9¢ | $3 | — |
| asfdt290xcdb0…1581 | Yes | 46 | 7.1¢ | $3 | — |
| guide2730xab40…9326 | No | 3 | 90.4¢ | $3 | — |
| almostChief0x9a0f…e72a | Yes | 42 | 8.3¢ | $3 | — |
| GasTransFreaks0x07c4…2c5b | Yes | 40 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| DANTOR1230xbeda…f2b4 | Yes | 40 | 13.0¢ | $2 | — |
| toothJaguar0x5234…2176 | No | 2 | 90.4¢ | $2 | — |
| bind-globe0x54ce…09ab | No | 2 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| leftHundred0xb06b…8d48 | No | 2 | 89.0¢ | $2 | — |
| breadNeglect0xd299…b988 | No | 2 | 90.9¢ | $2 | — |
| maximumGuide0xe9d0…3802 | No | 2 | 92.6¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 83.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 1 | 89.0¢ | $1 | — |
| mvmca16110x3744…d422 | No | 1 | 93.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | — |
| niceBadge0x2074…188b | No | 1 | 91.1¢ | $1 | — |
| tip-ice0x264d…39a3 | No | 1 | 90.6¢ | $1 | — |
| auto-waste0x3088…d7bd | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| sort-spike0x3a59…00c5 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Believe54500x4ac6…427d | No | 1 | 91.1¢ | $1 | — |
| skin-glare0x573e…3324 | No | 1 | 92.4¢ | $1 | — |
| object.innocent.speak0x7392…b93a | No | 1 | 92.4¢ | $1 | — |
| rippleExpress0x7dc4…0e47 | No | 1 | 90.6¢ | $1 | — |
| feeCulture0x8177…7704 | No | 1 | 92.4¢ | $1 | — |
| Harsh-Gallery0x8e07…bf5e | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| upgradeSample0xa196…3b63 | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| opinion-yellow-crouch0xba38…bcc7 | No | 1 | 92.4¢ | $1 | — |
| dog-century-mass0xbd66…0755 | No | 1 | 91.1¢ | $1 | — |
| chefjx930xbdd9…a92a | No | 1 | 91.1¢ | $1 | — |
| Libraryao250xd438…ce1a | No | 1 | 92.4¢ | $1 | — |
| First0300xe7df…c3ed | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| tattoo-praise0xea2f…da4c | No | 1 | 90.4¢ | $1 | — |
| transfer-impulse0xee58…4f9a | No | 1 | 90.6¢ | $1 | — |
| comfort08090xf669…4d34 | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 619 events · $32.1M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.