Market · 2 of 11 outcomes
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 48 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 744 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 11 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 48,779 | 9.5¢ | $8.05K | Proven+$4.87 per $100 · 1,085 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 14,575 | 9.1¢ | $2.4K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| RememberAmalek0x6139…6b7a | Yes | 8,428 | 10.0¢ | $1.39K | Proven+$3.87 per $100 · 2,103 bets |
| 0x0b91…ae77 | Yes | 6,569 | 14.8¢ | $1.08K | Proven+$10.22 per $100 · 659 bets |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 4,264 | 12.2¢ | $704 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| eNakeVets0x3f3b…1d77 | No | 525 | 86.3¢ | $438 | Losing−$2.00 per $100 · 1,563 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 485 | 81.6¢ | $405 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| IV70x5d05…aee5 | Yes | 2,224 | 16.7¢ | $367 | — |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | Yes | 2,202 | 13.6¢ | $363 | Positive+$3.08 per $100 · 1,178 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 409 | 81.6¢ | $341 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| MasonsConqueredRome0x357e…2a0c | No | 333 | 91.0¢ | $278 | Losing−$1.92 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 1,632 | 11.8¢ | $269 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| .0.0x6cf8…042f | Yes | 1,564 | 12.4¢ | $258 | Proven+$13.65 per $100 · 155 bets |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 1,433 | 13.1¢ | $236 | — |
| Golftango0x5e53…922d | Yes | 769 | 13.5¢ | $127 | Losing−$7.11 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| Keparo0xbc17…289a | Yes | 760 | 12.6¢ | $125 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 133 | 88.4¢ | $111 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 600 | 12.0¢ | $99 | — |
| Tuoppias0xc903…ed01 | Yes | 588 | 17.6¢ | $97 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | Yes | 445 | 0.0¢ | $74 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 73 | 87.1¢ | $61 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 363 | 13.7¢ | $60 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,692 bets |
| BettingBoi0xaee7…05e9 | Yes | 304 | 11.0¢ | $50 | Positive+$1.67 per $100 · 378 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 60 | 88.3¢ | $50 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,899+ bets · updating |
| Akarac0x89a3…70c0 | Yes | 300 | 15.5¢ | $50 | — |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | Yes | 292 | 12.4¢ | $48 | — |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | No | 56 | 82.0¢ | $46 | — |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 279 | 9.9¢ | $46 | Losing−$15.24 per $100 · 214 bets |
| MrPOMU10x8d8e…7408 | Yes | 252 | 20.5¢ | $42 | — |
| longtermgains0xebdc…bf08 | Yes | 210 | 12.4¢ | $35 | — |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 40 | 80.5¢ | $33 | Positive+$1.64 per $100 · 30,002+ bets · updating |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 40 | 84.5¢ | $33 | Losing−$3.77 per $100 · 23,410 bets |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | Yes | 200 | 15.0¢ | $33 | — |
| jutneqewj0xf0a5…92ba | Yes | 193 | 13.0¢ | $32 | — |
| ChilmarkGeneralStore0x6238…57c8 | Yes | 167 | 12.4¢ | $27 | — |
| Better-better0xd9ec…da36 | Yes | 167 | 12.4¢ | $27 | — |
| 0xbeef…620e | No | 30 | 84.5¢ | $25 | — |
| ImNotBetting0x686d…1a68 | Yes | 151 | 13.7¢ | $25 | — |
| LinaBell0xf0ed…47d8 | Yes | 150 | 12.0¢ | $25 | Positive+$4.84 per $100 · 2,416 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | Yes | 126 | 7.3¢ | $21 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | Yes | 123 | 9.1¢ | $20 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| oogg0x8696…9101 | No | 22 | 89.0¢ | $19 | — |
| SenatorPalpatine0x7ab8…eb56 | Yes | 111 | 18.4¢ | $18 | — |
| Camara28670x3133…fcdd | No | 20 | 89.0¢ | $17 | New69 settled bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | Yes | 100 | 15.0¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| jennylulu20160xa19f…ddc2 | Yes | 94 | 5.0¢ | $16 | — |
| nryy0xafbc…18c6 | No | 16 | 87.9¢ | $13 | — |
| Aikos0x56f1…485c | Yes | 69 | 14.4¢ | $11 | Losing−$45.33 per $100 · 350 bets |
| NothingEverHappens120x407d…efcd | Yes | 57 | 17.5¢ | $9 | Proven+$4.99 per $100 · 294 bets |
| gatogordo0x00ee…4a08 | Yes | 56 | 18.6¢ | $9 | — |
| Touch0fgrey0x05e6…8d44 | Yes | 56 | 9.0¢ | $9 | New27 settled bets |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 10 | 84.0¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.88 per $100 · 1,656 bets |
| conherence0xfd59…0231 | No | 10 | 82.6¢ | $8 | — |
| YungCapital0xdc89…ccea | Yes | 50 | 12.4¢ | $8 | — |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 47 | 14.9¢ | $8 | Losing−$3.01 per $100 · 5,266 bets |
| yewaigou0x7aee…84d2 | Yes | 35 | 19.6¢ | $6 | — |
| 0xc04f…0c47 | Yes | 33 | 16.1¢ | $6 | — |
| mustbethewater0xc518…2594 | Yes | 30 | 7.4¢ | $5 | — |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | Yes | 28 | 17.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$7.40 per $100 · 88,855+ bets · updating |
| 0x62bd…3dfb | Yes | 23 | 13.0¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x0eb1…b1d3 | Yes | 23 | 13.5¢ | $4 | — |
| human.bean0x39fd…849e | Yes | 21 | 5.0¢ | $3 | — |
| pd.unique0x27ab…e521 | Yes | 17 | 0.0¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.09 per $100 · 30,792 bets |
| 0xb687…2325 | No | 2 | 87.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xc7ff…1326 | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | Yes | 9 | 0.0¢ | $1 | Break-even+$0.35 per $100 · 44,557 bets |
| 0x7562…0681 | Yes | 8 | 14.0¢ | $1 | — |
| BigTailFOX0x0cea…8853 | Yes | 8 | 13.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dicar0x26e2…aed7 | No | 1 | 87.0¢ | $1 | — |
| bulbnbob0x77b5…9170 | No | 1 | 86.9¢ | $1 | — |
| itsjustcheddar0x2a31…f2f0 | No | 1 | 81.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.03 per $100 · 20,331 bets |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 80.0¢ | $1 | Positive+$7.68 per $100 · 28,611+ bets · updating |
| poshanka0x99d4…c2c6 | No | 1 | 86.9¢ | $1 | — |
| newtonsladel50x9646…d98d | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | — |
| PX53000xd6ee…37a2 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,825 bets |
| dicen250x1a38…d8c3 | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bigbrainchad0x113f…ae4d | No | 0 | 88.4¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 131,223 bets |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | No | 0 | 87.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,106 bets |
| UbuntuTrading0xc3cd…816c | No | 0 | 81.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$1.63 per $100 · 9,376 bets |
| 0x15db…41ee | No | 0 | 88.0¢ | $0 | — |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 0 | 90.4¢ | $0 | Positive+$8.68 per $100 · 128,177 bets |
| 333tdd0x72ab…1a3e | No | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | — |
| napamen0x8494…814a | No | 0 | 83.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 1ppq0xe8a7…46c4 | No | 0 | 85.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.