Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 20:35 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 94.4¢ | +5.7 pts |
| $10,000 | 96.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $100,000 | 96.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 96.9¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 85¢.
About $370 can be bought and $145 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 88.8¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 20:34 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 101 events · $6.08M in play