Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 07:29 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 88.5¢ | +7.2 pts |
| $10,000 | 94.1¢ | +12.8 pts |
| $100,000 | 96.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 96.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 78¢.
About $519 can be bought and $58 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 81.3¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 07:25 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 106 events · $6.1M in play