Market · 1 of 4 outcomes
Will the next Claude Opus model debut with a Humanity’s Last Exam score of 45% or higher?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 00:23 UTC. Not financial advice.
| If you bet | You pay | Moves the price |
|---|---|---|
| $1,000 | 92.7¢ | +1.3 pts |
| $10,000 | 94.9¢ | +3.5 pts |
| $100,000 | 95.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
| $500,000 | 95.3¢ | Not enough on offer |
Right now you can buy Yes at and sell at 90¢.
About $4.35K can be bought and $285 sold within 2¢ of today's price, so bigger bets move the price.
Measured from 91.4¢, the middle of buy and sell. As of 00:21 UTC.
Anthropic valuation & IPO · 102 events · $6.08M in play