Market · 9 of 9 outcomes
Will the Fed Hike-Pause-Hike in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 03:45 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
1 proven trader is on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| yoyobb20180x832b…5c91 | No | 95 | 96.2¢ | $92 | Break-even−$0.11 per $100 · 1,008 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 12 | 91.4¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,833+ bets · updating |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 145 | 10.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,642 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | Yes | 102 | 6.3¢ | $3 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| rainbowlilies0x2106…4dea | Yes | 100 | 6.3¢ | $3 | Positive+$7.23 per $100 · 10,676 bets |
| tradetosurvive10x30fb…7db4 | Yes | 65 | 8.8¢ | $2 | — |
| vlospa0x5814…cb14 | Yes | 60 | 11.1¢ | $2 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | Yes | 40 | 1.6¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| Pitosyflautas0x9f3e…5bc9 | No | 1 | 99.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 1 | 94.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 2B9S0x8765…ed81 | Yes | 25 | 5.1¢ | $1 | Positive+$14.54 per $100 · 54,353 bets |
| galhammerman0xdc05…9a76 | Yes | 25 | 4.0¢ | $1 | — |
| simpleman0xbe89…b88c | Yes | 20 | 1.5¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.51 per $100 · 1,506 bets |
| lifeisahighway0x6a5a…ac7d | No | 0 | 91.4¢ | $0 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | Yes | 12 | 9.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| bjprolo0x46b3…d3de | Yes | 10 | 1.0¢ | $0 | Positive+$503.23 per $100 · 49,800+ bets · updating |
| SebW0xf2f2…d1f0 | Yes | 9 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
Fed decision · January 2027 · 3 events · $72.6K in play
Exactly one of this event's 9 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.