Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 15:43 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
15 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 42,449 | 79.9¢ | $34.2K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | Yes | 29,926 | 55.5¢ | $24.1K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| 0xcb58…0160 | Yes | 13,801 | 81.7¢ | $11.1K | Break-even+$0.18 per $100 · 113 bets |
| Yirmeyahu0x55f3…cada | Yes | 10,034 | 82.3¢ | $8.08K | Positive+$1.73 per $100 · 157 bets |
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 10,000 | 81.0¢ | $8.05K | New84 settled bets |
| PolBandit0x15fd…cc95 | Yes | 9,153 | 81.0¢ | $7.37K | New86 settled bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 32,163 | 19.4¢ | $6.27K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| HilelTheElder0x7d23…c660 | Yes | 7,212 | 83.6¢ | $5.81K | New48 settled bets |
| Flipbandit0x7ce8…7772 | Yes | 6,200 | 82.4¢ | $4.99K | New52 settled bets |
| BuddhaYTorrance0x9e87…caa2 | Yes | 5,036 | 81.6¢ | $4.05K | New88 settled bets |
| AuspiciousArt0x30b7…e81c | Yes | 5,000 | 81.6¢ | $4.03K | New44 settled bets |
| FDTpuissance0x17c6…8aca | Yes | 4,400 | 81.0¢ | $3.54K | New59 settled bets |
| danypotter0x9ac5…917b | Yes | 3,800 | 81.0¢ | $3.06K | New52 settled bets |
| 0x91c3…409f | Yes | 3,519 | 82.6¢ | $2.83K | New0 settled bets |
| JoeWillens570xd8fa…198e | Yes | 3,118 | 84.0¢ | $2.51K | — |
| scottorhino0x7965…09d9 | Yes | 2,741 | 81.0¢ | $2.21K | New42 settled bets |
| cambridgeisaac0xb51b…b4d9 | Yes | 2,240 | 81.6¢ | $1.8K | Proven+$2.33 per $100 · 2,457 bets |
| 0x9eb4…89b0 | Yes | 2,070 | 80.7¢ | $1.67K | Proven+$2.07 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 2,000 | 82.5¢ | $1.61K | Proven+$2.01 per $100 · 20,221 bets |
| 0xe4a2…4763 | Yes | 1,784 | 79.2¢ | $1.44K | — |
| PEYZ-BIGGEST-FAN0xdaef…54e9 | Yes | 1,779 | 77.6¢ | $1.43K | Proven+$5.02 per $100 · 2,399 bets |
| 0xc8b9…b836 | Yes | 1,753 | 76.0¢ | $1.41K | Proven+$18.90 per $100 · 507 bets |
| Giannis20260xe5b4…1e3e | Yes | 1,700 | 41.0¢ | $1.37K | Proven+$13.43 per $100 · 350 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 1,667 | 79.0¢ | $1.34K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| HD450x600e…7aac | No | 6,030 | 17.7¢ | $1.18K | New21 settled bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 5,844 | 19.1¢ | $1.14K | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 28,050 bets |
| Bertapotamous0x134a…9e42 | Yes | 1,313 | 55.3¢ | $1.06K | Proven+$2.56 per $100 · 4,216 bets |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | No | 5,240 | 19.6¢ | $1.02K | Break-even−$0.49 per $100 · 1,160 bets |
| Overlord369120x8bd8…12df | Yes | 1,266 | 79.7¢ | $1.02K | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 5,139 | 19.6¢ | $1K | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 23,026 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 1,236 | 73.6¢ | $995 | New66 settled bets |
| 0xc978…aa84 | Yes | 1,226 | 80.2¢ | $987 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 1,153 | 77.3¢ | $928 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 23,002 bets |
| StraddleSeller0x5207…686b | Yes | 1,144 | 81.6¢ | $921 | Proven+$18.06 per $100 · 506 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 4,600 | 19.8¢ | $897 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,049 bets |
| gh6y0omxinx80x0d83…8eb4 | Yes | 1,040 | 80.0¢ | $837 | Losing−$4.67 per $100 · 1,570 bets |
| 0x4bd8…5c53 | Yes | 1,000 | 78.7¢ | $805 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 437 bets |
| BiDiFakePolls0xd24b…ef76 | Yes | 1,000 | 77.0¢ | $805 | Proven+$13.32 per $100 · 375 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 4,100 | 30.5¢ | $799 | New3 settled bets |
| Roht0x4fc1…ec92 | Yes | 860 | 81.6¢ | $692 | Break-even+$0.61 per $100 · 8,838 bets |
| 0xb6ce…895d | Yes | 847 | 81.1¢ | $682 | Positive+$1.74 per $100 · 1,065 bets |
| estateshomer0xca22…2ee7 | Yes | 838 | 79.7¢ | $675 | — |
| HongKongMenace0x7919…72b2 | Yes | 816 | 76.5¢ | $657 | New60 settled bets |
| lug0xe0db…f44e | No | 3,000 | 19.0¢ | $585 | Break-even+$0.57 per $100 · 4,515 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 2,972 | 21.7¢ | $579 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| 0xce06…9a1e | Yes | 705 | 48.8¢ | $568 | — |
| EasyCredit0x7795…d4d5 | Yes | 695 | 80.0¢ | $559 | — |
| MrMarket0xf769…0114 | Yes | 669 | 75.6¢ | $539 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 755 bets |
| 0x598e…9d4f | Yes | 641 | 78.7¢ | $516 | New95 settled bets |
| BikesAreTheBikes0x215a…254c | No | 2,463 | 19.0¢ | $480 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 6,756 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | No | 2,114 | 20.5¢ | $412 | Proven+$3.54 per $100 · 13,320 bets |
| GamGanapati0xbd8a…f9bd | Yes | 505 | 79.7¢ | $407 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 820 bets |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | Yes | 500 | 79.9¢ | $403 | Losing−$8.63 per $100 · 872 bets |
| Abandoned-Property0x9fea…7375 | Yes | 500 | 46.0¢ | $403 | — |
| pnsam0x749d…1fb3 | Yes | 499 | 80.9¢ | $401 | — |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | No | 2,046 | 20.3¢ | $399 | Proven+$5.77 per $100 · 1,117 bets |
| Dondigidin0x07b9…0fbb | Yes | 495 | 76.5¢ | $398 | Positive+$1.72 per $100 · 993 bets |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 493 | 57.2¢ | $397 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 959 bets |
| marksman0xb7d5…0789 | No | 1,981 | 19.6¢ | $386 | Break-even+$0.23 per $100 · 8,159 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | Yes | 465 | 44.6¢ | $374 | Break-even−$0.47 per $100 · 2,637 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 1,894 | 16.0¢ | $369 | Break-even−$0.41 per $100 · 14,285 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 450 | 72.2¢ | $363 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 1,808 | 14.5¢ | $353 | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| 1nvoker10x748a…3c56 | Yes | 410 | 79.5¢ | $330 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 934 bets |
| operationcastle0xd3a6…fd55 | No | 1,673 | 54.8¢ | $326 | Proven+$16.97 per $100 · 1,137 bets |
| boring9990x2140…5790 | No | 1,651 | 23.7¢ | $322 | Proven+$7.89 per $100 · 270 bets |
| SusanWarrenHR0x22db…190f | No | 1,588 | 23.3¢ | $310 | Proven+$4.72 per $100 · 8,312 bets |
| 0xf27d…e6d3 | No | 1,500 | 23.7¢ | $293 | Positive+$7.37 per $100 · 1,338 bets |
| ryzt0x75bb…0ac5 | No | 1,494 | 15.5¢ | $291 | Positive+$1.35 per $100 · 450 bets |
| Fulgurator0x0130…274c | No | 1,481 | 59.0¢ | $289 | New88 settled bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 1,145 | 15.4¢ | $223 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,100 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | No | 1,000 | 20.0¢ | $195 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | No | 1,000 | 21.0¢ | $195 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| 0xba38…f74d | No | 756 | 17.0¢ | $147 | Positive+$9.17 per $100 · 908 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 687 | 19.7¢ | $134 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| WalterSobchack0x64be…c653 | Yes | 166 | 74.4¢ | $133 | Losing−$1.06 per $100 · 1,976 bets |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 503 | 19.2¢ | $98 | Losing−$5.39 per $100 · 213 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 500 | 21.2¢ | $97 | New34 settled bets |
| VolynMolfar0x6c2a…b7b5 | No | 467 | 23.4¢ | $91 | Positive+$1.70 per $100 · 1,449 bets |
| KjerstinDellert0x2d1b…5adb | No | 430 | 19.0¢ | $84 | Proven+$10.99 per $100 · 319 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 407 | 15.0¢ | $79 | Losing−$7.00 per $100 · 51,215 bets |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 385 | 19.0¢ | $75 | Positive+$2.72 per $100 · 12,552 bets |
| GrokEnjoyer0x92e5…efee | No | 333 | 28.0¢ | $65 | Positive+$1.17 per $100 · 833 bets |
| WatchTheTape0xdd28…374a | No | 323 | 20.6¢ | $63 | Losing−$1.82 per $100 · 2,234 bets |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | No | 316 | 19.6¢ | $62 | New92 settled bets |
| rocky420110xe1f1…3a05 | No | 292 | 31.7¢ | $57 | — |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | No | 280 | 20.1¢ | $55 | — |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 271 | 18.2¢ | $53 | Positive+$5.54 per $100 · 87,699 bets |
| 0x0E7Fa09bF44514634293b5ecC2420C50AB0x9a46…1d99 | No | 255 | 20.0¢ | $50 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 225 | 24.0¢ | $44 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,659 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 193 | 22.0¢ | $38 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 195,229 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 159 | 36.0¢ | $31 | — |
| TaylorSchifff0xaa68…94a7 | No | 158 | 45.9¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.39 per $100 · 1,115 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 158 | 19.9¢ | $31 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| 0x3ad1…b4c5 | No | 148 | 23.7¢ | $29 | Losing−$6.12 per $100 · 2,243 bets |
| PBot-100x5d63…9075 | No | 144 | 20.6¢ | $28 | Break-even−$0.30 per $100 · 61,151 bets |
| AAA11100x0c01…797d | No | 141 | 19.6¢ | $27 | Losing−$41.17 per $100 · 169 bets |
| BobbyBrant0x9028…8608 | No | 135 | 20.6¢ | $26 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 110 | 34.7¢ | $21 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 762 events · $33.5M in play