Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:57 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
11 proven traders are on Yes, 9 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 8,294 | 73.4¢ | $6.22K | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| flawfence0x23d8…0288 | No | 5,708 | 75.0¢ | $4.28K | Proven+$3.89 per $100 · 729 bets |
| 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | 2,069 | 75.2¢ | $1.55K | Proven+$3.95 per $100 · 66,043 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | Yes | 5,543 | 27.7¢ | $1.39K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| 0x39fd…7d31 | Yes | 5,335 | 18.2¢ | $1.34K | Positive+$2.28 per $100 · 337 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 1,560 | 77.4¢ | $1.17K | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 4,174 | 25.3¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 1,132 | 76.2¢ | $849 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,625 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 2,945 | 9.9¢ | $738 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No | 939 | 73.9¢ | $704 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 799 | 79.2¢ | $599 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 2,021 | 23.9¢ | $506 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Pbankster0x56cb…9550 | Yes | 1,993 | 12.3¢ | $499 | — |
| TheImpasse0x2824…a954 | No | 653 | 77.1¢ | $489 | Losing−$25.55 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 1,932 | 16.0¢ | $484 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 513 | 81.4¢ | $385 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| sollydisa0x1c76…c23e | Yes | 1,331 | 21.1¢ | $333 | Proven+$17.74 per $100 · 133 bets |
| plumbis0x77fb…266c | Yes | 1,300 | 19.6¢ | $326 | Proven+$3.38 per $100 · 136 bets |
| Lehamous0xad82…421a | No | 389 | 77.4¢ | $292 | — |
| dips.0xc785…4ef2 | Yes | 1,045 | 25.3¢ | $262 | Break-even−$0.53 per $100 · 30,440+ bets · updating |
| claudeagent870xd65c…502f | No | 253 | 79.2¢ | $190 | — |
| DanRonSantis0x86c2…41be | Yes | 755 | 15.9¢ | $189 | Proven+$7.41 per $100 · 140 bets |
| Sleepyfan0x6b34…4c88 | No | 224 | 73.6¢ | $168 | — |
| longdated-poli0x167a…91d5 | Yes | 660 | 25.4¢ | $165 | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 4,676 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 200 | 75.0¢ | $150 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 198 | 76.6¢ | $148 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 552 | 8.2¢ | $138 | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 156 | 74.7¢ | $117 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| Ddonineteen0xbe3d…4dc6 | Yes | 464 | 26.7¢ | $116 | — |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | No | 150 | 85.0¢ | $112 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,373 bets |
| GUINESS1230x2f26…0d8f | No | 141 | 82.4¢ | $106 | Losing−$2.11 per $100 · 28,108 bets |
| NotAnIdiot0xbceb…0049 | No | 135 | 77.5¢ | $101 | — |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 400 | 25.7¢ | $100 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 400 | 23.2¢ | $100 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 397 | 24.3¢ | $99 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | No | 130 | 80.1¢ | $97 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 120 | 82.0¢ | $90 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 326 | 22.9¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| 202604050x7511…582e | No | 106 | 79.2¢ | $79 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | No | 101 | 84.3¢ | $76 | — |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 100 | 75.0¢ | $75 | — |
| 0xc925…6d24 | No | 93 | 75.1¢ | $70 | — |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 267 | 26.2¢ | $67 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| criollo0x82fc…565c | Yes | 260 | 27.7¢ | $65 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 85 | 79.0¢ | $63 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| idl0x726c…6bfd | Yes | 222 | 27.0¢ | $56 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 70 | 79.0¢ | $53 | — |
| 0xb7de…b802 | No | 70 | 79.0¢ | $53 | Proven+$2.99 per $100 · 625 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 69 | 76.3¢ | $52 | Positive+$5.60 per $100 · 87,250 bets |
| Rebecca-950x5082…049d | Yes | 190 | 25.0¢ | $48 | Positive+$9.18 per $100 · 165 bets |
| 0x1aac…66fb | Yes | 188 | 21.9¢ | $47 | — |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Yes | 180 | 23.0¢ | $45 | — |
| DrNee0xba62…58e9 | Yes | 180 | 19.8¢ | $45 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 331 bets |
| slavik13370xe18d…e1f5 | No | 54 | 93.3¢ | $41 | — |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 53 | 88.0¢ | $40 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | Yes | 140 | 14.1¢ | $35 | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 129 | 17.1¢ | $32 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| 0x9297…358b | No | 40 | 85.6¢ | $30 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 36 | 82.8¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 119 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 104 | 9.8¢ | $26 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| 0x8db5…fa3e | Yes | 100 | 21.0¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x906a…714e | Yes | 100 | 25.9¢ | $25 | — |
| 0x5f59…e61d | Yes | 99 | 12.3¢ | $25 | — |
| spoolz0xb682…68de | No | 31 | 75.7¢ | $23 | — |
| frenchflair30xbe6d…fb55 | No | 30 | 79.1¢ | $23 | — |
| 0xe627…e145 | No | 30 | 81.0¢ | $22 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 80 | 18.7¢ | $20 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 0x87f7…8f45 | Yes | 79 | 20.3¢ | $20 | — |
| etghzcer0x7b89…ddae | No | 24 | 88.3¢ | $18 | — |
| 0xead9…ab20 | Yes | 69 | 21.9¢ | $17 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | No | 22 | 75.6¢ | $17 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| BreakEven0x5838…367c | Yes | 62 | 22.8¢ | $16 | — |
| StormRazer0xa937…4152 | No | 20 | 75.3¢ | $15 | — |
| solder0x727e…8b9d | No | 20 | 89.1¢ | $15 | — |
| LuizBonfa0xf31b…241b | Yes | 51 | 18.0¢ | $13 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 14 | 72.9¢ | $11 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| HerrieDavis0xac4a…bf1e | Yes | 42 | 17.3¢ | $11 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 13,256 bets |
| jefftko0xa797…a15e | Yes | 40 | 26.0¢ | $10 | — |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 13 | 76.0¢ | $10 | — |
| mangoking050x442c…3db8 | No | 12 | 83.1¢ | $9 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 10,157 bets |
| animal.bean0x2a25…8055 | Yes | 33 | 20.0¢ | $8 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 33 | 26.7¢ | $8 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,934 bets |
| lolzzzlol0x7b25…e4be | Yes | 31 | 25.0¢ | $8 | — |
| BIGMONEYGAMBLER0x08aa…f1f0 | Yes | 30 | 24.0¢ | $8 | — |
| bertross0x5fa5…b7a7 | Yes | 30 | 13.1¢ | $8 | — |
| pentacap0x34c1…8454 | No | 10 | 97.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0xaf05…33e2 | No | 10 | 85.0¢ | $7 | — |
| obvalny0x44a5…b0e5 | Yes | 30 | 25.2¢ | $7 | — |
| Norso210x17fc…caf4 | No | 8 | 77.8¢ | $6 | Losing−$2.73 per $100 · 530 bets |
| Samji0x9824…d18e | Yes | 23 | 22.9¢ | $6 | — |
| avkppa180evo0x63da…586b | No | 7 | 75.2¢ | $5 | — |
| q27n8hk3rnkr0x6564…47ce | No | 7 | 75.2¢ | $5 | — |
| jc8wupvy5r560x7919…ee88 | No | 7 | 75.2¢ | $5 | — |
| anonymousey0x8fdf…af9e | No | 7 | 74.0¢ | $5 | — |
| eaglefox0xb92d…1b33 | Yes | 20 | 19.1¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xd827…fe79 | Yes | 18 | 17.1¢ | $4 | — |
| rchok840x2942…c7fe | Yes | 17 | 27.4¢ | $4 | Losing−$10.82 per $100 · 203 bets |
| uyn0j3vtvru70x6677…801b | Yes | 17 | 27.6¢ | $4 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 6 | 84.0¢ | $4 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,457 bets |
| icecode0x8ecd…84b4 | Yes | 15 | 21.0¢ | $4 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 655 events · $32.2M in play