Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Texas governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 01:15 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 6 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NotHarrisonHohman0xe72e…282d | No | 11,614 | 86.1¢ | $9.18K | New8 settled bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 7,111 | 73.9¢ | $5.62K | — |
| WongKimArk0x7bb2…682c | Yes | 22,477 | 18.6¢ | $4.72K | Positive+$3.29 per $100 · 449 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 4,116 | 79.2¢ | $3.25K | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,011 bets |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | Yes | 15,000 | 20.0¢ | $3.15K | Proven+$13.67 per $100 · 222 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 3,320 | 79.0¢ | $2.62K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 11,996 | 23.7¢ | $2.52K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| joepublic800xf1c4…d965 | Yes | 10,891 | 18.3¢ | $2.29K | — |
| M88800x44da…e225 | No | 2,631 | 80.4¢ | $2.08K | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 159 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,666 | 90.2¢ | $1.32K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| seal70x2b9d…adc0 | Yes | 5,532 | 22.8¢ | $1.16K | Proven+$9.63 per $100 · 898 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,411 | 77.6¢ | $1.11K | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Heskel20xcfee…ffcd | No | 1,327 | 76.1¢ | $1.05K | — |
| MilitantCentrist0x7421…095c | No | 1,110 | 92.7¢ | $877 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 4,147 | 29.5¢ | $871 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| HD450x600e…7aac | Yes | 4,057 | 24.7¢ | $852 | — |
| Hyperlong0x014c…820c | Yes | 3,398 | 20.5¢ | $714 | Break-even−$0.64 per $100 · 1,141 bets |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | Yes | 2,836 | 27.1¢ | $596 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 2,552 | 21.7¢ | $536 | Losing−$7.03 per $100 · 15,917 bets |
| letsgetmoniesfr0x06b5…159d | No | 673 | 85.5¢ | $532 | — |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | Yes | 2,020 | 18.6¢ | $424 | New3 settled bets |
| Thanevor0xe633…c0fe | No | 498 | 73.1¢ | $393 | — |
| AnonymousUsername0x9703…69c2 | Yes | 1,857 | 20.8¢ | $390 | Losing−$1.32 per $100 · 16,257 bets |
| bnbaltz0x8181…a32c | Yes | 1,794 | 28.7¢ | $377 | — |
| cosmicsteaks0xf4f8…5bf1 | Yes | 1,613 | 17.8¢ | $339 | — |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 1,549 | 5.9¢ | $325 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| chacmool0xe215…a3d9 | No | 400 | 78.0¢ | $316 | — |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 1,488 | 21.0¢ | $313 | — |
| RobotBeta0xf379…c1ca | No | 395 | 80.4¢ | $312 | — |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | Yes | 1,479 | 21.6¢ | $311 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | No | 370 | 73.8¢ | $292 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 1,368 | 25.0¢ | $287 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| Cyclone0xf454…7ecc | No | 360 | 75.5¢ | $284 | — |
| mountaindewd0x944e…8c94 | Yes | 1,349 | 12.2¢ | $283 | Proven+$9.46 per $100 · 748 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 352 | 77.7¢ | $278 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,087 bets |
| saqwer5550x275a…ca2b | No | 339 | 80.7¢ | $267 | — |
| sollydisa0x1c76…c23e | Yes | 1,160 | 24.7¢ | $244 | Proven+$17.74 per $100 · 133 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 284 | 91.0¢ | $225 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 1,046 | 15.4¢ | $220 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| Tenebrus70xa8c6…44e8 | Yes | 1,000 | 25.5¢ | $210 | Break-even+$0.85 per $100 · 5,672 bets |
| green90x6d79…ae69 | Yes | 1,000 | 27.0¢ | $210 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| Zohmentum0x9fc1…0c67 | Yes | 944 | 21.8¢ | $198 | — |
| QuteAnon0xb950…4dd4 | Yes | 940 | 27.2¢ | $197 | — |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 939 | 8.2¢ | $197 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| claudeagent870xd65c…502f | No | 246 | 78.0¢ | $194 | — |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 242 | 73.4¢ | $191 | — |
| neutralwave230x5b63…11a4 | No | 237 | 80.2¢ | $187 | Losing−$6.87 per $100 · 49,874+ bets · updating |
| Snoopyfan0x6291…cc47 | Yes | 800 | 22.9¢ | $168 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 211 | 79.1¢ | $166 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 749 | 16.7¢ | $157 | Losing−$3.09 per $100 · 5,111 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 700 | 19.0¢ | $147 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 700 | 22.8¢ | $147 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| neverhackme0x7df0…0dfe | No | 180 | 81.2¢ | $142 | — |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 620 | 10.0¢ | $130 | — |
| bakayo33 - 99340x343d…cd2e | No | 153 | 78.1¢ | $121 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 510 | 9.4¢ | $107 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 500 | 22.4¢ | $105 | Positive+$1.44 per $100 · 5,411 bets |
| 0xA4D9e3B72F6c18a0xc65b…bbf3 | Yes | 500 | 10.0¢ | $105 | — |
| gohier0x82fd…db2e | No | 131 | 76.4¢ | $104 | — |
| Newshound0x5e73…6697 | Yes | 425 | 15.9¢ | $89 | Proven+$5.54 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| sweetj0x39a5…87f2 | Yes | 406 | 18.6¢ | $85 | Break-even+$0.80 per $100 · 3,603 bets |
| Nobody230410x45cc…6400 | Yes | 400 | 26.0¢ | $84 | — |
| ITHINKTHISISGODLOVER0xecf4…9979 | Yes | 400 | 25.0¢ | $84 | — |
| JosephTrump0x97af…9bc6 | No | 100 | 85.0¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.25 per $100 · 470 bets |
| juno0xdab7…fb0b | Yes | 370 | 21.4¢ | $78 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 343 | 18.5¢ | $72 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | Yes | 339 | 27.0¢ | $71 | — |
| Sp0rtBaby0x8482…3f7a | No | 81 | 79.0¢ | $64 | — |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | Yes | 300 | 33.6¢ | $63 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | No | 78 | 80.0¢ | $61 | Proven+$2.08 per $100 · 19,488 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 277 | 18.0¢ | $58 | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| 0x843e…e477 | No | 68 | 74.8¢ | $54 | — |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 250 | 25.4¢ | $53 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,596 bets |
| g1280x88d7…5762 | Yes | 250 | 21.0¢ | $53 | — |
| JohnP920x9163…82ae | Yes | 250 | 26.0¢ | $53 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | Yes | 240 | 25.2¢ | $50 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | Yes | 223 | 24.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 8dcc906a9b0xdbd0…8c1c | Yes | 223 | 18.9¢ | $47 | Losing−$19.90 per $100 · 244 bets |
| 0xb8ee…9e81 | No | 50 | 82.6¢ | $40 | Break-even+$0.91 per $100 · 19,474 bets |
| choclopolis0xd449…450f | No | 50 | 75.0¢ | $40 | — |
| OneLastHurrah0x7803…9e91 | No | 43 | 78.1¢ | $34 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 37 | 86.0¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| Leclerc040x38cf…d885 | No | 33 | 75.8¢ | $26 | Losing−$4.46 per $100 · 1,422 bets |
| spoolz0xb682…68de | No | 33 | 80.6¢ | $26 | — |
| Gaditima0x7e59…7b8b | No | 31 | 79.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$3.82 per $100 · 22,723 bets |
| rocky420010x5028…91c5 | No | 30 | 81.1¢ | $24 | — |
| ArbitrageFund0x21c2…6749 | No | 30 | 82.0¢ | $24 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | No | 30 | 73.5¢ | $24 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| Arbga20260xaea0…0dec | No | 30 | 82.0¢ | $24 | — |
| cs160x917b…cb42 | No | 27 | 92.2¢ | $21 | — |
| 0xedd8…013b | No | 25 | 79.0¢ | $20 | — |
| cryptoqan0n0xcc78…d202 | No | 25 | 79.7¢ | $20 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 25 | 90.7¢ | $20 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | No | 22 | 84.2¢ | $17 | — |
| steverichie0xc838…1263 | No | 19 | 77.5¢ | $15 | — |
| cassandrasmith0x79a4…fbfb | No | 17 | 76.0¢ | $13 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 627 events · $32.1M in play