Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:39 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 692 events · $32.4M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
19 proven traders are on Yes, 11 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| lomneivan0x1fee…ed5e | No | 211,133 | 86.3¢ | $178K | New74 settled bets |
| Eatpraylove0xc021…1fa8 | No | 26,082 | 85.5¢ | $22K | Proven+$2.20 per $100 · 1,792 bets |
| 0x4488…e319 | No | 15,000 | 84.0¢ | $12.7K | Positive+$1.31 per $100 · 7,574 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 14,265 | 86.4¢ | $12.1K | Losing−$7.36 per $100 · 1,392 bets |
| wan1230xde7b…5f4b | No | 12,764 | 84.5¢ | $10.8K | Proven+$8.03 per $100 · 528 bets |
| DirkDiggler670xaab9…a08d | Yes | 54,218 | 13.5¢ | $8.4K | Proven+$5.81 per $100 · 1,116 bets |
| Railcool0x94c4…43ca | Yes | 50,000 | 14.3¢ | $7.75K | Proven+$13.67 per $100 · 222 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 50,000 | 14.5¢ | $7.75K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | No | 7,265 | 85.0¢ | $6.14K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| Tigerofthehood0x9c26…74bc | No | 7,000 | 84.0¢ | $5.92K | Positive+$1.01 per $100 · 237 bets |
| lastminwin0xb5d1…6e35 | Yes | 24,609 | 13.8¢ | $3.81K | New6 settled bets |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 23,951 | 14.8¢ | $3.71K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | No | 4,047 | 85.2¢ | $3.42K | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| Jellow20x6640…2202 | No | 4,000 | 84.0¢ | $3.38K | Proven+$3.91 per $100 · 575 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 3,637 | 79.9¢ | $3.07K | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 3,634 | 83.0¢ | $3.07K | New3 settled bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | No | 3,479 | 88.2¢ | $2.94K | Proven+$3.58 per $100 · 489 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | Yes | 17,000 | 13.4¢ | $2.63K | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | Yes | 15,000 | 13.0¢ | $2.33K | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| bosshog0x47ab…95df | No | 2,500 | 86.0¢ | $2.11K | Positive+$1.02 per $100 · 1,839 bets |
| alfabetica0x116a…6226 | Yes | 10,200 | 16.0¢ | $1.58K | New0 settled bets |
| Warren-Buffett0x4478…02a4 | Yes | 10,000 | 16.0¢ | $1.55K | Proven+$3.05 per $100 · 1,767 bets |
| notssf30x5a7b…e9eb | Yes | 10,000 | 19.0¢ | $1.55K | Proven+$9.69 per $100 · 213 bets |
| BreakTheBank0xf031…c80c | Yes | 8,549 | 13.6¢ | $1.33K | Proven+$4.09 per $100 · 1,073 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 1,555 | 89.0¢ | $1.31K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Mac-Gyver0x524d…4495 | Yes | 7,799 | 17.5¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$12.04 per $100 · 581 bets |
| M88800x44da…e225 | No | 1,429 | 86.8¢ | $1.21K | Proven+$3.19 per $100 · 161 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | No | 1,000 | 88.0¢ | $845 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| gateway-0xa20c…451a | Yes | 5,236 | 14.0¢ | $812 | Losing−$1.87 per $100 · 224 bets |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | No | 833 | 85.7¢ | $704 | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| zzzx20x26a9…f6b7 | No | 825 | 81.5¢ | $697 | Positive+$1.29 per $100 · 935 bets |
| DumbMoney22220xcfca…8b3a | Yes | 4,079 | 15.8¢ | $632 | — |
| 0xa7517ed74c6b07843946e0e69cad10a9fa94e050xe234…304a | Yes | 4,000 | 13.5¢ | $620 | Positive+$1.66 per $100 · 636 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 655 | 86.9¢ | $554 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Javier777Milei0x2e61…19bd | Yes | 3,454 | 14.7¢ | $535 | Positive+$1.85 per $100 · 844 bets |
| lava-lava0x629b…995a | Yes | 3,333 | 13.0¢ | $517 | Proven+$7.83 per $100 · 1,847 bets |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | No | 600 | 82.5¢ | $507 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 2,743 | 10.5¢ | $425 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| fanmt0x6bad…4d53 | Yes | 2,572 | 15.1¢ | $399 | Losing−$21.30 per $100 · 801 bets |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 453 | 84.0¢ | $383 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | Yes | 2,313 | 12.4¢ | $359 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | No | 424 | 88.6¢ | $358 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | Yes | 2,280 | 8.8¢ | $353 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 2,000 | 13.0¢ | $310 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| BFBB0x5754…e515 | Yes | 1,974 | 17.3¢ | $306 | Proven+$5.09 per $100 · 2,491 bets |
| ydxistheking0xdbf7…fbea | No | 332 | 80.0¢ | $280 | — |
| Keparo0xbc17…289a | Yes | 1,778 | 21.5¢ | $276 | — |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | No | 314 | 88.4¢ | $265 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| rexcom0xde09…dbde | No | 270 | 85.0¢ | $228 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | No | 250 | 91.0¢ | $211 | — |
| 0x42a0…1cd2 | Yes | 1,223 | 13.5¢ | $190 | New0 settled bets |
| Mmtst40x1d43…cf5f | No | 201 | 83.6¢ | $170 | New79 settled bets |
| Zhaowei0x1f13…3a2d | No | 200 | 86.0¢ | $169 | Losing−$1.21 per $100 · 657 bets |
| 0xff7c…b233 | Yes | 1,080 | 16.5¢ | $167 | Proven+$5.56 per $100 · 3,198 bets |
| Zohmentum0x9fc1…0c67 | Yes | 1,063 | 16.5¢ | $165 | — |
| Forrester260x1a85…c99a | Yes | 1,062 | 15.1¢ | $165 | New1 settled bet |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | No | 189 | 83.6¢ | $160 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| 50degrees0x3f44…fa88 | Yes | 1,000 | 16.5¢ | $155 | — |
| 0x720a…40f1 | Yes | 1,000 | 15.5¢ | $155 | New19 settled bets |
| Voland67770xc23e…6499 | Yes | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $155 | New18 settled bets |
| PavtheGreat0x048a…9be4 | Yes | 1,000 | 19.0¢ | $155 | Losing−$1.76 per $100 · 325 bets |
| g1280x88d7…5762 | Yes | 905 | 15.4¢ | $140 | — |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 154 | 77.3¢ | $130 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| flow-trader-at-optiver0x1584…71b6 | No | 141 | 89.0¢ | $119 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 6,776 bets |
| 0xa848…8a1f | No | 131 | 76.0¢ | $110 | — |
| ponydsb0xe8dc…3e53 | No | 129 | 85.5¢ | $109 | — |
| lizzyb0xd3e3…67dc | No | 127 | 79.0¢ | $107 | — |
| Fishcup0xd031…f613 | Yes | 667 | 15.5¢ | $103 | — |
| u289260xe682…a082 | No | 117 | 86.0¢ | $99 | Positive+$1.00 per $100 · 430 bets |
| data-sync0x21ad…10d2 | No | 115 | 87.5¢ | $97 | New43 settled bets |
| Wan2340x0ebf…5bfa | Yes | 625 | 16.5¢ | $97 | Losing−$10.11 per $100 · 183 bets |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | No | 114 | 87.5¢ | $96 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 500 | 16.3¢ | $78 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| DonPanic0x50b2…c94a | Yes | 500 | 20.0¢ | $78 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 2,020 bets |
| Sleepyfan0x6b34…4c88 | Yes | 500 | 16.5¢ | $78 | — |
| PROPHET.NOTES0xcb11…0d5e | Yes | 500 | 16.5¢ | $78 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 543 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 500 | 12.0¢ | $78 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 500 | 14.5¢ | $78 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| Snoopyfan0x6291…cc47 | Yes | 500 | 18.0¢ | $77 | Proven+$3.43 per $100 · 2,013 bets |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | Yes | 500 | 19.2¢ | $77 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,875 bets |
| Golftango0x5e53…922d | Yes | 462 | 13.7¢ | $72 | Losing−$7.11 per $100 · 1,166 bets |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | No | 80 | 76.3¢ | $68 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,048 bets |
| K1ngN0rth0x04ec…580f | Yes | 433 | 13.0¢ | $67 | Proven+$3.32 per $100 · 957 bets |
| 0x8351…9beb | Yes | 417 | 12.4¢ | $65 | Losing−$3.23 per $100 · 2,922 bets |
| PMTraderAdam0x1547…d066 | Yes | 400 | 10.0¢ | $62 | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 1,415 bets |
| 0x4049…4db4 | Yes | 333 | 15.5¢ | $52 | New19 settled bets |
| suntori0xe907…cff6 | Yes | 332 | 14.8¢ | $52 | Losing−$7.52 per $100 · 263,521+ bets · updating |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | No | 60 | 82.0¢ | $51 | Break-even+$0.81 per $100 · 69,025+ bets · updating |
| kiohssudhhd0xd0a5…3e7f | No | 59 | 84.0¢ | $50 | — |
| hp2102100x2ef8…b0f4 | Yes | 317 | 16.5¢ | $49 | Losing−$1.53 per $100 · 351 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 57 | 92.3¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,452 bets |
| InsiderrrZ0x69e7…d3b0 | No | 55 | 81.0¢ | $47 | Positive+$1.62 per $100 · 1,156 bets |
| 0xe34e…bd53 | No | 50 | 89.4¢ | $42 | — |
| cooljit0xa917…4e8d | No | 49 | 86.5¢ | $41 | — |
| 0x5317…9a3b | No | 48 | 85.0¢ | $41 | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 9,833 bets |
| neskipa0xc289…04f1 | No | 48 | 84.5¢ | $40 | — |
| EconProf0x2811…6818 | No | 47 | 85.5¢ | $39 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 519 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 41 | 85.0¢ | $34 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,327 bets |
| pppnn0x4c9a…0cd4 | No | 40 | 85.5¢ | $34 | Losing−$6.78 per $100 · 32,308 bets |
| gaut63750x5874…05f7 | No | 40 | 85.5¢ | $34 | Positive+$3.88 per $100 · 2,453 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.