Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Ohio governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 05:30 UTC. Not financial advice.
US 2026 midterms · 654 events · $32.2M in play
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
9 proven traders are on Yes, 4 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| MJB0x394e…b5bf | Yes | 9,897 | 64.1¢ | $6.68K | New2 settled bets |
| SquirrelTheMerchant0xfb59…83f9 | Yes | 6,457 | 68.6¢ | $4.36K | Proven+$19.44 per $100 · 263 bets |
| qawfdawda2e0xf07f…d791 | Yes | 5,144 | 50.1¢ | $3.47K | — |
| mombil0x68c2…1711 | Yes | 3,606 | 61.3¢ | $2.43K | Proven+$5.25 per $100 · 3,129 bets |
| GollumGekko0x0845…6b6f | Yes | 3,119 | 54.2¢ | $2.11K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 4,060 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 2,947 | 58.9¢ | $1.99K | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| chromatose0xfbda…4fae | Yes | 2,486 | 11.2¢ | $1.68K | — |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 5,116 | 50.7¢ | $1.66K | New3 settled bets |
| JishWa0xf1fc…0ec1 | No | 5,000 | 61.0¢ | $1.62K | Losing−$2.20 per $100 · 233 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 4,413 | 36.0¢ | $1.43K | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | No | 4,000 | 51.0¢ | $1.3K | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| whispercatalyst0x460a…d738 | Yes | 1,648 | 39.3¢ | $1.11K | Break-even−$0.54 per $100 · 3,695 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 3,220 | 81.8¢ | $1.05K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| lonehighway0x0778…73d1 | No | 3,156 | 30.8¢ | $1.03K | Losing−$3.90 per $100 · 327 bets |
| Bperil0xc624…ee24 | Yes | 1,519 | 50.4¢ | $1.03K | Proven+$3.56 per $100 · 1,974 bets |
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | No | 3,107 | 33.1¢ | $1.01K | New20 settled bets |
| BTCisaHarshMistress0xbdd1…0c4f | No | 3,043 | 32.0¢ | $989 | Losing−$1.18 per $100 · 3,375 bets |
| windscreenwipers0xa8f3…e544 | Yes | 1,365 | 48.6¢ | $921 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 7,716 bets |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | 1,215 | 68.0¢ | $820 | Break-even−$0.89 per $100 · 130,584 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 1,191 | 33.4¢ | $804 | — |
| 0x670b…c31f | Yes | 1,100 | 56.0¢ | $743 | — |
| Echelonprt0x516d…03e5 | Yes | 1,063 | 53.5¢ | $718 | — |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 1,045 | 53.2¢ | $706 | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| neuroplasticompany0x2458…f8e7 | Yes | 1,000 | 50.4¢ | $675 | New43 settled bets |
| Nicksypoo0xcbb5…5ed9 | No | 1,974 | 38.2¢ | $642 | Losing−$1.10 per $100 · 1,398 bets |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 908 | 43.0¢ | $613 | Break-even+$0.71 per $100 · 30,038+ bets · updating |
| DBomb0x03e7…9948 | Yes | 897 | 39.0¢ | $605 | New54 settled bets |
| bartimusmaximus0xaf81…e317 | Yes | 840 | 56.0¢ | $567 | — |
| StarMaster0xeca0…e8f8 | Yes | 750 | 63.7¢ | $506 | Proven+$2.31 per $100 · 4,789 bets |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 666 | 67.3¢ | $450 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| barcodesellout0xe5a3…44ed | Yes | 617 | 42.0¢ | $416 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 603 | 45.7¢ | $407 | Proven+$95.13 per $100 · 197 bets |
| datperson0x5d2f…24de | Yes | 600 | 37.0¢ | $405 | — |
| thursdays0x04dc…2387 | Yes | 592 | 42.1¢ | $400 | Positive+$1.41 per $100 · 3,275 bets |
| pieped0xf440…b009 | Yes | 565 | 56.3¢ | $381 | Break-even−$0.12 per $100 · 179 bets |
| Ignacio060xcdaf…eff6 | Yes | 500 | 51.3¢ | $337 | — |
| nnimrodd0x09bb…f8b1 | Yes | 492 | 56.2¢ | $332 | Losing−$3.50 per $100 · 496 bets |
| IKnowBetter0x0c36…207d | Yes | 414 | 49.3¢ | $279 | — |
| buoys0x7e35…1a6c | Yes | 400 | 47.0¢ | $270 | Positive+$11.47 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 368 | 56.4¢ | $248 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| 0xf9d9…1ff9 | Yes | 353 | 57.6¢ | $239 | New63 settled bets |
| TouchdownTerryDunk0xd4e9…d89f | Yes | 328 | 62.0¢ | $221 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 665 | 30.8¢ | $216 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| test.saveliyb.test0x6358…cc23 | Yes | 314 | 35.0¢ | $212 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 311 | 53.0¢ | $210 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Heskel20xcfee…ffcd | Yes | 305 | 68.7¢ | $206 | — |
| johnsmith6660x654b…dc29 | Yes | 294 | 67.9¢ | $198 | — |
| 0xTrinity0xac80…97b1 | Yes | 273 | 34.0¢ | $184 | — |
| ifyouloveme0x5a0d…fa97 | Yes | 272 | 54.0¢ | $184 | Positive+$2.57 per $100 · 549 bets |
| nufonehudis670x6b44…be1e | Yes | 267 | 46.2¢ | $180 | — |
| AnEggplant0xc97d…732b | Yes | 250 | 58.8¢ | $169 | — |
| Seattle-Gangsta0x1d90…a17e | Yes | 250 | 40.0¢ | $169 | — |
| snols0x7664…2e50 | Yes | 240 | 52.0¢ | $162 | — |
| henriksson0xf937…53a1 | No | 487 | 35.6¢ | $158 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 461 | 40.9¢ | $150 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | No | 436 | 39.0¢ | $142 | — |
| johnnath12220x4b28…15df | Yes | 200 | 68.9¢ | $135 | — |
| 0x38a5…5eb9 | Yes | 187 | 54.5¢ | $126 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 383 | 46.4¢ | $124 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 193,297 bets |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | Yes | 182 | 42.9¢ | $123 | Proven+$11.02 per $100 · 220 bets |
| Kyran52470x2afd…9ce1 | Yes | 179 | 57.0¢ | $120 | — |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 176 | 68.9¢ | $119 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 361 | 52.7¢ | $117 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 568 bets |
| 0x9c25…ff9b | Yes | 173 | 58.7¢ | $117 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 171 | 37.0¢ | $115 | Proven+$11.16 per $100 · 2,363 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 300 | 40.8¢ | $98 | — |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 294 | 83.4¢ | $96 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | No | 250 | 34.0¢ | $81 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 232 | 31.0¢ | $75 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,304 bets |
| Minecraft0x094e…f10b | No | 222 | 61.0¢ | $72 | — |
| William2025100x5343…0b0f | No | 200 | 76.5¢ | $65 | — |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 170 | 33.5¢ | $55 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 161 | 62.0¢ | $52 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 147 | 30.8¢ | $48 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| TheImpasse0x2824…a954 | No | 128 | 39.2¢ | $42 | Losing−$25.55 per $100 · 1,875 bets |
| 0x4e25…d7a7 | No | 127 | 70.0¢ | $41 | Break-even−$0.16 per $100 · 10,029 bets |
| Mmtst50x9d99…4439 | No | 110 | 58.0¢ | $36 | — |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | No | 100 | 44.0¢ | $33 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 95 | 62.8¢ | $31 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| Hourglass0x1d8c…757a | No | 90 | 39.0¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 23,981 bets |
| victortrader0xc534…b734 | No | 90 | 36.0¢ | $29 | — |
| 0xf656…782a | No | 86 | 58.9¢ | $28 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 84 | 52.5¢ | $27 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| overfatting0xddea…1ec6 | No | 70 | 39.0¢ | $23 | New3 settled bets |
| StaticHarbour0x0a1c…d19f | No | 50 | 36.2¢ | $16 | — |
| ktv.politics0xc2d7…deb5 | Yes | 24 | 66.7¢ | $16 | — |
| 0xfa4b…e34d | No | 30 | 32.9¢ | $10 | — |
| 0x61f2…e77a | No | 30 | 51.0¢ | $10 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 1,637 bets |
| tompekka70xb268…8399 | No | 27 | 37.9¢ | $9 | — |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 22 | 42.0¢ | $7 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 2,625 bets |
| Bsau40x8b44…63fb | No | 21 | 45.2¢ | $7 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | No | 21 | 52.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x2a93…b7ac | No | 20 | 49.0¢ | $7 | — |
| Raketa090x1790…6fd2 | No | 20 | 58.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$8.54 per $100 · 1,256 bets |
| bunnythumper0x682e…7655 | No | 20 | 33.9¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x887d…bf10 | No | 16 | 47.0¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x48e4…201c | No | 15 | 56.3¢ | $5 | — |
| BIGMONEYGAMBLER0x08aa…f1f0 | No | 15 | 33.9¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x3609…02d5 | No | 15 | 56.5¢ | $5 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 80 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.