Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the New York governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 10:59 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
16 proven traders are on Yes, 0 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0x502b…3b15 | Yes | 3,305 | 91.5¢ | $3.17K | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 42,765+ bets · updating |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 2,549 | 95.0¢ | $2.44K | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,414 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 2,482 | 87.6¢ | $2.38K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | Yes | 2,445 | 93.2¢ | $2.34K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 1,885 | 94.2¢ | $1.81K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 1,751 | 84.2¢ | $1.68K | New66 settled bets |
| Donny.T0x8190…b247 | Yes | 1,400 | 84.9¢ | $1.34K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 764 bets |
| Thombg0x09e4…93aa | Yes | 1,275 | 94.4¢ | $1.22K | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 115 bets |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | Yes | 1,162 | 89.7¢ | $1.11K | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| Paeniscus.0x111e…3753 | Yes | 1,149 | 89.4¢ | $1.1K | New94 settled bets |
| andy290xa75c…895e | Yes | 898 | 46.4¢ | $861 | — |
| TheFOMCGambler0x1693…5d20 | Yes | 860 | 88.6¢ | $825 | Proven+$16.41 per $100 · 184 bets |
| Jjw0xb1a1…d308 | Yes | 662 | 94.1¢ | $635 | Positive+$1.30 per $100 · 2,249 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | Yes | 566 | 89.3¢ | $542 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| green90x6d79…ae69 | Yes | 527 | 88.9¢ | $505 | Proven+$7.75 per $100 · 149 bets |
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 517 | 92.2¢ | $495 | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 509 | 90.0¢ | $488 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 421 | 88.9¢ | $404 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| carkiller5300xef2f…8b9c | Yes | 337 | 89.0¢ | $323 | New20 settled bets |
| il10x198a…3ca3 | Yes | 301 | 91.3¢ | $288 | Break-even−$0.71 per $100 · 872 bets |
| nicoco890x7ac8…77cd | Yes | 300 | 82.1¢ | $288 | Proven+$9.43 per $100 · 2,475 bets |
| tiduspercivalez0x9e26…bd05 | No | 4,237 | 14.6¢ | $176 | — |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 139 | 94.0¢ | $133 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| varch010x0362…449e | Yes | 117 | 85.8¢ | $112 | Losing−$1.95 per $100 · 13,127 bets |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | Yes | 110 | 81.5¢ | $105 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| JPLP0x0e32…535b | Yes | 100 | 87.0¢ | $96 | Proven+$2.15 per $100 · 1,597 bets |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | Yes | 100 | 96.2¢ | $96 | New62 settled bets |
| rx780x5fde…cbbe | Yes | 100 | 89.0¢ | $96 | — |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | Yes | 96 | 86.0¢ | $92 | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| pvzergrush0x3f7d…191a | No | 1,974 | 14.6¢ | $82 | — |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | Yes | 75 | 96.4¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | Yes | 64 | 97.1¢ | $61 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 307 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 60 | 94.7¢ | $58 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| BalancedFury0x8e83…bdd4 | Yes | 60 | 88.4¢ | $58 | — |
| MaximusGluteusDumpTruckus0x9d69…ab3a | Yes | 60 | 88.4¢ | $58 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,166 | 5.0¢ | $48 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| Sylar0120x9b7b…ec5b | Yes | 50 | 95.0¢ | $48 | — |
| PickyF0xb5aa…c200 | Yes | 50 | 87.0¢ | $48 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 1,146 | 9.0¢ | $48 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 44 | 94.0¢ | $42 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 40 | 93.0¢ | $38 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 39 | 89.5¢ | $38 | Losing−$15.24 per $100 · 214 bets |
| 0x275c…6090 | Yes | 32 | 88.3¢ | $31 | — |
| amazingfrog0x5927…672b | Yes | 30 | 86.0¢ | $29 | Proven+$7.71 per $100 · 509 bets |
| Freecoin10x01c7…4da2 | No | 654 | 7.6¢ | $27 | — |
| Anon2340xf3ac…f23d | Yes | 28 | 89.0¢ | $27 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 3,578 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 26 | 78.4¢ | $25 | — |
| Feifeiliu0x032f…2c0b | Yes | 23 | 86.2¢ | $22 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 426 | 7.4¢ | $18 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,940 bets |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 401 | 8.1¢ | $17 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| 0xa0f2…1848 | No | 380 | 5.4¢ | $16 | Losing−$17.35 per $100 · 7,305 bets |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | Yes | 15 | 96.3¢ | $14 | — |
| bunnythumper0x682e…7655 | No | 325 | 5.1¢ | $13 | — |
| peepeepooppoop0xa5e3…4d7e | Yes | 12 | 86.8¢ | $12 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 11,046 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 283 | 6.2¢ | $12 | — |
| Cassandra-Unchained0x4e48…a96d | Yes | 11 | 90.4¢ | $11 | — |
| 0x3222…4c75 | Yes | 11 | 90.4¢ | $11 | Proven+$2.62 per $100 · 147 bets |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | Yes | 11 | 92.0¢ | $10 | — |
| tradingjoe190x05cf…5fa9 | Yes | 10 | 97.1¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.32 per $100 · 119 bets |
| HankS0xc877…05b4 | Yes | 10 | 86.0¢ | $10 | — |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 192 | 3.7¢ | $8 | Positive+$3.80 per $100 · 101,311 bets |
| 0x4df7…c1bd | No | 142 | 8.0¢ | $6 | — |
| himken0x115a…9d44 | No | 79 | 3.5¢ | $3 | Losing−$6.27 per $100 · 2,058 bets |
| usdu.e0xa557…d95c | No | 75 | 27.1¢ | $3 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 72 | 3.4¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 48 | 6.2¢ | $2 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 44 | 5.5¢ | $2 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x5533…51ba | No | 43 | 3.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$3.43 per $100 · 18,435 bets |
| mmtrading0x5a0c…9db8 | No | 29 | 7.2¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.32 per $100 · 14,879 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 27 | 6.7¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.66 per $100 · 123,344 bets |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 22 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| ngok9960xe1a9…339e | No | 15 | 11.4¢ | $1 | — |
| KickstandBot0xca1f…d282 | No | 10 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| MaskedAnalyst0x8f6e…a10b | No | 8 | 13.0¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 7 | 3.3¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| pootytherewardfarmer0xa3e2…fdf8 | No | 4 | 13.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$9.59 per $100 · 59,724+ bets · updating |
| 0x1fd0…c6a7 | Yes | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Losing−$1.45 per $100 · 1,279 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 2 | 9.5¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.78 per $100 · 59,136+ bets · updating |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 0 | 87.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| richyee0xcdf5…e344 | No | 0 | 5.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 54sfds0x3de2…d073 | No | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xdad6…0d14 | No | 0 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| i18z0xd49b…bdf9 | No | 0 | 14.5¢ | $0 | — |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 0 | 11.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| depeer0x5567…aeed | No | 0 | 14.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Anon3213213210x98ac…40d9 | No | 0 | 11.2¢ | $0 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 5 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 679 events · $32.3M in play