Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the New Hampshire Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 06:02 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
14 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Seutervoinen0xfaf6…cc47 | Yes | 13,105 | 84.2¢ | $11.6K | Proven+$3.63 per $100 · 488 bets |
| Do-Not-Redeem0xad89…f6e1 | Yes | 10,337 | 87.3¢ | $9.15K | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 3,205 bets |
| DBomb0x03e7…9948 | Yes | 5,193 | 84.9¢ | $4.6K | New54 settled bets |
| 0xfcb034ffesa540c81ad37321212f6e0c762feac80x64c8…73ce | Yes | 5,000 | 81.0¢ | $4.42K | — |
| dzsibenaja0x59a5…afc8 | Yes | 4,877 | 85.0¢ | $4.32K | Proven+$2.40 per $100 · 217 bets |
| scottilicious0x000d…758e | Yes | 4,500 | 88.9¢ | $3.98K | Proven+$2.76 per $100 · 1,310 bets |
| tunatyler0xf1f9…1245 | Yes | 4,000 | 83.0¢ | $3.54K | Proven+$6.66 per $100 · 2,308 bets |
| inrock300xd576…d5e3 | Yes | 3,836 | 87.5¢ | $3.39K | New97 settled bets |
| M88800x44da…e225 | Yes | 3,239 | 82.6¢ | $2.87K | Proven+$3.17 per $100 · 159 bets |
| Gmoney160xf244…9b9e | Yes | 3,000 | 85.0¢ | $2.65K | New20 settled bets |
| Billy20250xd77b…24ab | Yes | 2,917 | 82.4¢ | $2.58K | New66 settled bets |
| PetuniaPettigrew0xd987…ae37 | No | 21,946 | 19.3¢ | $2.52K | New9 settled bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | Yes | 2,722 | 84.6¢ | $2.41K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 2,140 | 85.0¢ | $1.89K | — |
| PMTraderAdam0x1547…d066 | Yes | 2,000 | 85.0¢ | $1.77K | Proven+$2.64 per $100 · 1,415 bets |
| 456ythgbvcadscvb0xeb6f…25f0 | Yes | 1,749 | 82.0¢ | $1.55K | Positive+$1.24 per $100 · 1,517 bets |
| Rpzcz0x76f9…f701 | Yes | 1,604 | 87.7¢ | $1.42K | — |
| 0x919d…60e1 | Yes | 1,600 | 87.4¢ | $1.42K | Break-even+$0.98 per $100 · 1,345 bets |
| 0xSuperRekt0xdd5d…1614 | Yes | 1,500 | 82.0¢ | $1.33K | — |
| 0xfb24…ac2c | Yes | 1,443 | 84.5¢ | $1.28K | — |
| fullamount0x9a06…3800 | No | 10,000 | 14.0¢ | $1.15K | — |
| cocococococo0xbad2…5296 | Yes | 1,111 | 89.4¢ | $983 | Positive+$1.80 per $100 · 4,082 bets |
| M8880x4344…f90d | No | 8,208 | 17.0¢ | $944 | Proven+$3.72 per $100 · 1,941 bets |
| aenews20x44c1…ebc1 | Yes | 1,066 | 80.0¢ | $943 | Positive+$1.65 per $100 · 4,115 bets |
| Thombg0x09e4…93aa | Yes | 1,044 | 86.7¢ | $924 | Proven+$2.16 per $100 · 115 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 991 | 84.4¢ | $877 | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| anoin1230x9648…6825 | No | 7,421 | 13.0¢ | $853 | Losing−$7.35 per $100 · 1,389 bets |
| efghvcdbjkpqwo0xe0a5…f6a4 | Yes | 900 | 81.6¢ | $796 | New78 settled bets |
| Gamble.and.bankurpt0x9fd4…325c | Yes | 769 | 91.3¢ | $681 | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 595 bets |
| ScottyNooo0xbacd…ab35 | Yes | 666 | 88.5¢ | $589 | Positive+$1.43 per $100 · 5,413 bets |
| Snarfsnarfsnarf0x9536…7e50 | No | 5,000 | 15.5¢ | $575 | New3 settled bets |
| anciano0xa8b7…ee3c | Yes | 636 | 88.5¢ | $563 | Break-even−$0.07 per $100 · 6,243 bets |
| sqlSwirepyi0xa5d5…bcc0 | Yes | 617 | 88.4¢ | $546 | — |
| SirHarryOakes0x5685…62e2 | Yes | 584 | 86.1¢ | $517 | Proven+$5.58 per $100 · 297 bets |
| Overlord369120x8bd8…12df | Yes | 544 | 90.4¢ | $482 | — |
| 0xca3e…0986 | Yes | 521 | 81.6¢ | $461 | New3 settled bets |
| KeithStarmer0x7ae8…5a42 | Yes | 504 | 87.0¢ | $446 | — |
| Trevor-Philips0x45e3…1d9c | Yes | 500 | 89.0¢ | $443 | Proven+$2.02 per $100 · 132 bets |
| Mangy620xcc50…df9b | Yes | 500 | 85.0¢ | $442 | Proven+$6.67 per $100 · 342 bets |
| OneBadBet0x84f8…0ff2 | Yes | 500 | 88.4¢ | $442 | Losing−$1.89 per $100 · 1,486 bets |
| Mst-br0xdda5…c82a | Yes | 450 | 85.7¢ | $398 | — |
| Majas0x4959…a6f5 | Yes | 400 | 89.0¢ | $354 | — |
| ArmageddonRewardsBilly0xc8ab…6418 | Yes | 368 | 88.0¢ | $326 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 65,044 bets |
| PeterStuyvesant0xe476…30ee | Yes | 350 | 90.4¢ | $310 | New62 settled bets |
| Pondermint0x8633…a08d | Yes | 300 | 89.9¢ | $266 | Proven+$3.85 per $100 · 680 bets |
| 5tghfh67fghfsdt4356g0x83c5…e193 | Yes | 300 | 86.4¢ | $265 | Proven+$6.67 per $100 · 2,764 bets |
| doBRO110xb816…fab9 | Yes | 282 | 84.1¢ | $250 | — |
| Giorgio20x9cb9…7b80 | Yes | 250 | 82.6¢ | $221 | Proven+$3.61 per $100 · 1,037 bets |
| claudeagent870xd65c…502f | Yes | 247 | 81.6¢ | $219 | — |
| pykue0xa45f…d6cb | Yes | 244 | 86.5¢ | $216 | — |
| Cohven0x3dab…e5d0 | Yes | 214 | 84.5¢ | $189 | Break-even+$0.03 per $100 · 1,527 bets |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | No | 1,639 | 11.8¢ | $188 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,797 bets |
| FastPaws0x0548…d852 | Yes | 200 | 80.0¢ | $177 | New39 settled bets |
| 0xa2cd…2e8c | Yes | 189 | 90.4¢ | $167 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 921 bets |
| PROPHET.NOTES0xcb11…0d5e | Yes | 180 | 89.0¢ | $159 | Positive+$1.10 per $100 · 543 bets |
| JohnnyBlaze10xbccb…31e2 | No | 1,000 | 12.0¢ | $115 | — |
| 0xfe5b…babf | Yes | 115 | 87.5¢ | $102 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 685 | 11.1¢ | $79 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| wokerjoesleeper0x63d4…a2f1 | No | 606 | 17.0¢ | $70 | Break-even+$0.48 per $100 · 31,278+ bets · updating |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 600 | 18.0¢ | $69 | Losing−$10.54 per $100 · 33,629+ bets · updating |
| Hans3230x0f37…1410 | No | 567 | 18.6¢ | $65 | Break-even+$0.60 per $100 · 4,874 bets |
| ItsRigg3d0x6d04…0e1b | No | 487 | 12.8¢ | $56 | — |
| Gatito0xc970…b063 | No | 390 | 14.5¢ | $45 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 361 | 12.7¢ | $42 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| COCOA0xd975…c6d6 | No | 325 | 14.1¢ | $37 | — |
| 0xfb9d…d78e | No | 207 | 17.0¢ | $24 | Losing−$4.94 per $100 · 1,190 bets |
| ox825C9a38d7033Fc2f9d82432d3A1742C38EAdfa00x825c…dfa0 | No | 205 | 19.7¢ | $24 | — |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 200 | 21.5¢ | $23 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 187 | 17.0¢ | $21 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| POB-T0x41e6…66b7 | No | 148 | 12.0¢ | $17 | Losing−$4.82 per $100 · 8,567 bets |
| 0x96ef…d98a | No | 137 | 16.5¢ | $16 | — |
| JAMJAMJAM40xe8c4…395d | No | 114 | 11.4¢ | $13 | Break-even+$0.45 per $100 · 7,027 bets |
| ProudVirgin0xafe4…d91e | No | 110 | 16.0¢ | $13 | — |
| PK1230x6d65…3781 | No | 100 | 20.6¢ | $12 | Losing−$5.68 per $100 · 1,488 bets |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 93 | 11.6¢ | $11 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| SenatorPalpatine0x7ab8…eb56 | No | 90 | 17.6¢ | $10 | — |
| just-bettor0xa742…9856 | No | 75 | 13.0¢ | $9 | — |
| 0xc24f…220b | No | 65 | 13.5¢ | $7 | — |
| destropyer0x363c…4463 | No | 65 | 18.0¢ | $7 | — |
| G7-Lee0xb8b6…7fc8 | No | 64 | 16.9¢ | $7 | — |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 57 | 21.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 57 | 15.0¢ | $7 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| 2025alfonsoreyes20260x6cb6…fa76 | No | 49 | 21.2¢ | $6 | — |
| Sui0070xce62…cee0 | No | 45 | 11.4¢ | $5 | — |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | No | 42 | 15.0¢ | $5 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| LR10xad28…1601 | No | 40 | 15.0¢ | $5 | Positive+$2.84 per $100 · 1,226 bets |
| Poivre0x714f…66d5 | No | 36 | 19.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.55 per $100 · 1,432 bets |
| 0x8801…60b7 | No | 36 | 17.2¢ | $4 | — |
| 0x9992…79f7 | No | 35 | 18.7¢ | $4 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 30 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| hommy.zhang0xa7f9…b724 | No | 28 | 18.6¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x6f99…abc7 | No | 24 | 21.8¢ | $3 | — |
| sweise0xb8f6…4f7f | No | 20 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| Slackjaw0x6236…6881 | No | 20 | 20.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 18 | 11.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x19e5…d7cd | No | 17 | 17.0¢ | $2 | Positive+$5.87 per $100 · 217 bets |
| 0xf24f…80e3 | No | 15 | 15.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Cyruschu0xa24f…55e6 | No | 14 | 14.5¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xb52e…d0f2 | No | 14 | 14.0¢ | $2 | — |
1 account bets both sides equally · 100 shares each side · Show
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Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 655 events · $32.2M in play