Market · 2 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 17:10 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
12 proven traders are on Yes, 5 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AngryRhino0xdf70…5e92 | No | 12,426 | 92.8¢ | $11.6K | Break-even+$0.12 per $100 · 260 bets |
| SlavaUkraini0xe899…0899 | No | 10,000 | 90.0¢ | $9.35K | Proven+$4.28 per $100 · 296 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 7,782 | 90.0¢ | $7.28K | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| 0x6c10…df5c | No | 3,114 | 91.7¢ | $2.91K | Losing−$7.13 per $100 · 1,041 bets |
| HotDogs0x5c60…67c1 | No | 1,644 | 89.0¢ | $1.54K | Proven+$2.73 per $100 · 613 bets |
| BigRabbit0xeb22…808a | Yes | 20,370 | 10.0¢ | $1.32K | Positive+$4.46 per $100 · 2,227 bets |
| 0x4bd8…5c53 | No | 1,000 | 94.6¢ | $935 | Break-even+$0.17 per $100 · 437 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 682 | 92.0¢ | $637 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,730 bets |
| Chungvicular0x41ea…7a3d | Yes | 7,095 | 7.0¢ | $461 | Proven+$6.94 per $100 · 188 bets |
| immanuelcan0x04b9…79e0 | No | 396 | 85.5¢ | $370 | Positive+$1.13 per $100 · 2,550 bets |
| 0xfbdf…3256 | No | 300 | 89.3¢ | $281 | — |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 4,241 | 9.5¢ | $276 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| IOrizen0x3dcb…324d | No | 287 | 87.5¢ | $269 | Losing−$2.47 per $100 · 274 bets |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | No | 215 | 94.2¢ | $201 | — |
| RadioCCOD0x66f9…adb9 | Yes | 3,012 | 9.6¢ | $196 | Proven+$94.70 per $100 · 198 bets |
| 0xe41a…29bd | No | 190 | 90.0¢ | $178 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| briar26820xe944…0837 | No | 150 | 90.7¢ | $140 | — |
| trerira0x18ab…bae4 | No | 100 | 92.0¢ | $94 | Positive+$1.77 per $100 · 179 bets |
| Valen90x162f…798d | No | 92 | 92.3¢ | $86 | Proven+$2.48 per $100 · 882 bets |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | No | 87 | 92.1¢ | $82 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,955 bets |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | No | 79 | 91.3¢ | $74 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 150 bets |
| 0x9297…358b | No | 74 | 92.1¢ | $69 | — |
| supersmard0xe3f2…e1c1 | Yes | 1,045 | 8.2¢ | $68 | Proven+$18.23 per $100 · 164 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 72 | 92.4¢ | $67 | Positive+$5.62 per $100 · 87,395 bets |
| 0x225b…422a | Yes | 1,000 | 6.2¢ | $65 | Proven+$9.52 per $100 · 303 bets |
| G.Hchen0xdb97…eee8 | Yes | 1,000 | 9.3¢ | $65 | Proven+$9.18 per $100 · 691 bets |
| fanmt0x6bad…4d53 | Yes | 1,000 | 7.0¢ | $65 | Losing−$21.30 per $100 · 801 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | No | 68 | 92.3¢ | $63 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 307 bets |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | Yes | 813 | 7.3¢ | $53 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 194,106 bets |
| HuntersMethDealer0x3989…27b1 | Yes | 786 | 10.4¢ | $51 | Positive+$7.46 per $100 · 1,695 bets |
| purplegatto0x032e…2a9e | Yes | 702 | 8.3¢ | $46 | Losing−$7.02 per $100 · 15,941 bets |
| MispricedPaladin0xde88…144c | Yes | 400 | 7.3¢ | $26 | — |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 352 | 7.3¢ | $23 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | No | 23 | 92.3¢ | $21 | New45 settled bets |
| FrankGrimes0x4458…1ab8 | No | 22 | 92.3¢ | $20 | — |
| dedidanc0x11f8…ed31 | No | 20 | 89.4¢ | $19 | Proven+$11.21 per $100 · 235 bets |
| -metabaron-0x0ab6…8eef | No | 20 | 94.0¢ | $19 | Break-even+$0.04 per $100 · 1,332 bets |
| Pitchforkk0x0a53…7a6f | Yes | 247 | 6.0¢ | $16 | Proven+$4.40 per $100 · 878 bets |
| 0x4049…4db4 | Yes | 243 | 9.3¢ | $16 | New19 settled bets |
| greylabel0xb7a9…715d | Yes | 222 | 5.4¢ | $14 | — |
| Cb94C437EA5e6f088c6c0C143c592ab8EFBed0x122c…fbed | Yes | 206 | 10.4¢ | $13 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 19,896 bets |
| balthazar0x5a21…9318 | No | 13 | 92.0¢ | $12 | Positive+$8.64 per $100 · 127,847 bets |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | Yes | 166 | 6.0¢ | $11 | Positive+$1.37 per $100 · 6,639 bets |
| oneoftheppl0x4d1d…01ac | Yes | 150 | 7.3¢ | $10 | Proven+$2.13 per $100 · 7,403 bets |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 10 | 90.4¢ | $9 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| qizhan0xac38…c04f | Yes | 109 | 8.3¢ | $7 | New60 settled bets |
| title10xbe74…a70e | Yes | 100 | 8.0¢ | $7 | Positive+$1.90 per $100 · 7,501 bets |
| JoachimMarnitzMARW20260xd95f…651a | Yes | 100 | 11.0¢ | $6 | — |
| 0x8996…1d00 | No | 7 | 92.3¢ | $6 | — |
| Rabbit9290xfd8b…d50f | Yes | 83 | 6.2¢ | $5 | — |
| 0xf600…8836 | No | 6 | 91.3¢ | $5 | — |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | Yes | 81 | 6.0¢ | $5 | Losing−$2.61 per $100 · 123,902+ bets · updating |
| 0xf85f…9800 | No | 5 | 91.0¢ | $5 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| algo1680x2cfe…e4de | Yes | 75 | 8.3¢ | $5 | Losing−$3.01 per $100 · 5,266 bets |
| trzorira20x6d71…82e5 | No | 5 | 94.2¢ | $5 | New98 settled bets |
| 0x04b3…1b7e | Yes | 71 | 14.0¢ | $5 | — |
| awgraewrfa0x699e…a7ec | Yes | 64 | 4.2¢ | $4 | New0 settled bets |
| 0xec8d…453d | No | 4 | 91.8¢ | $4 | — |
| andy-trading-bot10x4329…8867 | No | 4 | 92.3¢ | $4 | — |
| SaucePolly10x2869…527d | Yes | 60 | 15.5¢ | $4 | — |
| Formula-26.F0x6606…fa0e | Yes | 50 | 15.0¢ | $3 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | Yes | 50 | 9.0¢ | $3 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 58,970+ bets · updating |
| family-fund0xe487…384e | Yes | 49 | 8.3¢ | $3 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | Yes | 49 | 7.3¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| 7576770x7b98…5cfa | Yes | 47 | 7.0¢ | $3 | Break-even−$0.20 per $100 · 1,528 bets |
| Scuzzlebud0x51ad…4c64 | Yes | 44 | 9.3¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xe252…a642 | Yes | 38 | 12.4¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x47fa…150e | No | 2 | 91.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xa976…8401 | No | 2 | 91.0¢ | $2 | — |
| 0xcee5axp0xec18…8eb4 | Yes | 27 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | Yes | 27 | 7.3¢ | $2 | — |
| p271rpqc8e4w0xa075…ee53 | No | 2 | 92.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Cyber7770x10fe…3053 | Yes | 21 | 7.3¢ | $1 | — |
| MarkToMkt0xc7f2…3501 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | Yes | 20 | 6.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| 0x2b7f…1cb6 | No | 1 | 92.3¢ | $1 | Losing−$1.11 per $100 · 1,185 bets |
| berrari0x572c…cdbd | No | 1 | 93.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 1 | 90.0¢ | $1 | — |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | Yes | 12 | 7.3¢ | $1 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| 0xbeff…08e4 | Yes | 11 | 9.3¢ | $1 | — |
| mvmca16110x3744…d422 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| viva.mexico0x40ed…3832 | Yes | 10 | 11.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xed5b…8e60 | Yes | 10 | 10.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xd81e…0fe5 | Yes | 7 | 9.0¢ | $0 | — |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | No | 0 | 94.2¢ | $0 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| EliteBetter0x81c9…4a47 | Yes | 5 | 8.0¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.39 per $100 · 1,132 bets |
| anciente0xb6fa…abcf | No | 0 | 82.5¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.21 per $100 · 39,443 bets |
| 0x238f…3015 | Yes | 2 | 18.0¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 6,968 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | Yes | 2 | 15.8¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| humbleBaker0x1237…06af | No | 0 | 86.6¢ | $0 | — |
| Haradwaith0x21ff…0d71 | No | 0 | 92.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.88 per $100 · 130,993 bets |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 0 | 84.0¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| iclickfast0xb7d4…6a1d | No | 0 | 82.6¢ | $0 | — |
| FrankyFourFingers0xcdbf…1926 | Yes | 0 | 8.0¢ | $0 | — |
| Somnix0x5298…b8a2 | No | 0 | 93.0¢ | $0 | — |
| anubrataray0x8715…e691 | No | 0 | 95.2¢ | $0 | — |
| ViscaElBarca0xe457…5ab3 | Yes | 0 | 7.0¢ | $0 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 713 events · $33.3M in play