Market · 1 of 3 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Michigan governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 13, 2026, 06:20 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
8 proven traders are on Yes, 8 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SAPolitcsSeer0xa30e…49d5 | Yes | 15,862 | 93.1¢ | $14.9K | New84 settled bets |
| Rushwave0x5ca9…6ccf | Yes | 3,605 | 93.5¢ | $3.38K | Proven+$2.97 per $100 · 260 bets |
| WeJustBettin0xf6c6…7d80 | Yes | 1,793 | 74.5¢ | $1.68K | Break-even−$0.65 per $100 · 735 bets |
| 0x0da3…67fa | Yes | 1,087 | 69.4¢ | $1.02K | — |
| 0x096e…9c9c | Yes | 699 | 91.1¢ | $656 | New7 settled bets |
| trkbk20x09c0…305a | Yes | 539 | 84.5¢ | $505 | Positive+$1.14 per $100 · 124 bets |
| Gamble.and.bankurpt0x9fd4…325c | Yes | 533 | 94.1¢ | $500 | Losing−$4.63 per $100 · 595 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | No | 6,713 | 6.0¢ | $413 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| Skybark0xb071…15cb | Yes | 400 | 84.5¢ | $375 | — |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 357 | 57.5¢ | $335 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 352 | 93.6¢ | $330 | Break-even+$0.07 per $100 · 22,993 bets |
| danshanghai0x3ebd…5578 | Yes | 327 | 66.7¢ | $307 | — |
| Magician53420x4ae4…f84a | Yes | 265 | 92.3¢ | $249 | Proven+$2.26 per $100 · 319 bets |
| aviato0x2a01…6397 | Yes | 236 | 93.7¢ | $221 | Positive+$1.04 per $100 · 3,741 bets |
| variant1.meta0xdf59…deb0 | No | 3,246 | 7.3¢ | $200 | — |
| bigfunky0x1d5e…64dd | Yes | 200 | 65.0¢ | $188 | — |
| rjpoly0x21fe…da90 | Yes | 200 | 92.0¢ | $188 | Proven+$3.64 per $100 · 762 bets |
| qhome120x8287…f4a7 | Yes | 185 | 68.8¢ | $174 | — |
| JasonBrown0xbbc6…0c70 | Yes | 142 | 69.6¢ | $134 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 2,098 | 6.4¢ | $129 | Break-even+$0.83 per $100 · 22,975 bets |
| spaceskeleton0x79d2…61ce | Yes | 137 | 74.8¢ | $129 | Losing−$15.24 per $100 · 214 bets |
| 0x9dd9…08bd | No | 1,876 | 36.8¢ | $115 | Losing−$5.13 per $100 · 30,404+ bets · updating |
| tsnycpm10x5065…f4f7 | Yes | 122 | 93.8¢ | $114 | Losing−$3.08 per $100 · 354 bets |
| megadarkparticle0xa67d…c6f9 | Yes | 114 | 70.1¢ | $107 | — |
| iraa30xad60…97f4 | Yes | 114 | 90.4¢ | $107 | Break-even+$0.93 per $100 · 260 bets |
| SitsToPee0x6d57…bfc5 | No | 1,508 | 13.3¢ | $93 | Break-even−$0.23 per $100 · 2,029 bets |
| neskipa0xc289…04f1 | Yes | 96 | 94.2¢ | $90 | — |
| FrozenParasite0x1f9e…4f1a | Yes | 90 | 68.7¢ | $84 | Proven+$21.36 per $100 · 1,799 bets |
| TradeDeficitArchitect0x477f…19aa | Yes | 81 | 67.0¢ | $76 | Proven+$6.37 per $100 · 2,801 bets |
| Digital-Boy0xfe41…9f23 | No | 1,214 | 6.8¢ | $75 | Losing−$5.45 per $100 · 4,338 bets |
| tonyboy1080x6d1b…1bec | Yes | 76 | 94.5¢ | $72 | Break-even+$0.56 per $100 · 150 bets |
| Tony1080x7410…f96f | Yes | 66 | 94.5¢ | $62 | Break-even+$0.55 per $100 · 307 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 51 | 83.0¢ | $47 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,171 bets |
| pupu10x881a…9187 | Yes | 50 | 64.0¢ | $47 | — |
| Ryxon210x3dca…3c13 | Yes | 41 | 70.0¢ | $38 | Proven+$7.45 per $100 · 578 bets |
| AJSV0xad53…ef24 | No | 620 | 6.5¢ | $38 | Losing−$2.51 per $100 · 124,686+ bets · updating |
| 0x0649…e49b | Yes | 39 | 65.5¢ | $36 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 472 | 3.0¢ | $29 | Break-even−$0.76 per $100 · 88,011+ bets · updating |
| JessicaCollins49780x2604…13cc | Yes | 30 | 70.0¢ | $28 | — |
| GamGanapati0xbd8a…f9bd | Yes | 30 | 94.8¢ | $28 | Proven+$2.75 per $100 · 820 bets |
| 0x9cfb…78f9 | Yes | 24 | 85.5¢ | $22 | — |
| impact-edge-better0x6fc5…94ef | Yes | 23 | 66.0¢ | $22 | — |
| Lexington0xdebb…eedb | No | 341 | 5.7¢ | $21 | Proven+$2.85 per $100 · 8,308 bets |
| bigdihhh8880x1583…bdde | Yes | 22 | 94.1¢ | $20 | Losing−$3.30 per $100 · 5,059 bets |
| 0xfc8e…7cbd | Yes | 21 | 68.0¢ | $20 | — |
| Dr.PNL0xc602…7fc1 | No | 317 | 6.2¢ | $19 | Losing−$6.99 per $100 · 50,820 bets |
| ABC123456543210x852e…ca77 | No | 250 | 6.4¢ | $15 | Break-even−$0.90 per $100 · 12,178 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 242 | 34.5¢ | $15 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| donthackme0x0380…073d | No | 229 | 7.0¢ | $14 | Positive+$3.79 per $100 · 101,968 bets |
| 0x530c…529f | Yes | 15 | 70.0¢ | $14 | Losing−$7.41 per $100 · 243 bets |
| SpartanWarrior0x1bd2…6f7c | Yes | 14 | 70.0¢ | $13 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 195 | 4.3¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,246 bets |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 12 | 65.0¢ | $11 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| RepublicOfChina0xe947…7a45 | Yes | 11 | 60.0¢ | $11 | — |
| Oklmntrader0x6f67…102c | No | 163 | 32.0¢ | $10 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 162 | 6.8¢ | $10 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| 0x5fe0…0f81 | Yes | 10 | 74.0¢ | $9 | — |
| HankS0xc877…05b4 | Yes | 10 | 72.0¢ | $9 | — |
| mwenya0xde04…fa37 | Yes | 10 | 72.8¢ | $9 | Break-even+$0.26 per $100 · 45,035 bets |
| Kastellvalen0xe5c2…6b76 | Yes | 10 | 95.4¢ | $9 | — |
| yukonboi0x250e…e864 | No | 141 | 33.3¢ | $9 | Proven+$3.51 per $100 · 568 bets |
| Mr.Dink0x0ba1…cf36 | Yes | 9 | 84.5¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.79 per $100 · 133 bets |
| 5atka0x1c26…6e31 | No | 131 | 34.4¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.16 per $100 · 6,495 bets |
| rocky420170xf16d…b7f9 | Yes | 8 | 95.0¢ | $8 | — |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 126 | 37.3¢ | $8 | Losing−$1.28 per $100 · 27,870 bets |
| strawberrypig0xff92…d07c | Yes | 8 | 81.4¢ | $8 | — |
| ghorrock0xd9fe…db0d | No | 122 | 6.2¢ | $8 | Break-even−$0.84 per $100 · 38,339+ bets · updating |
| predictdogepepewif0xf524…8178 | No | 120 | 6.6¢ | $7 | Losing−$5.59 per $100 · 11,425 bets |
| TooYoungToWin0x28ab…2048 | Yes | 8 | 64.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x7ce8…07f5 | Yes | 8 | 69.0¢ | $7 | — |
| 0x989b…ebf6 | Yes | 7 | 66.0¢ | $7 | — |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | No | 100 | 33.0¢ | $6 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| CuteEmmy0x6435…f42d | No | 100 | 15.0¢ | $6 | New34 settled bets |
| tedward1110xa218…94cd | No | 100 | 27.5¢ | $6 | Positive+$1.99 per $100 · 263 bets |
| SeanEleven0x03ed…c077 | No | 80 | 30.8¢ | $5 | Break-even−$0.43 per $100 · 2,635 bets |
| aLomorah0xaa05…fed7 | No | 80 | 35.0¢ | $5 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 73 | 6.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$8.67 per $100 · 13,185 bets |
| Hjklm0xff4b…d019 | No | 69 | 6.4¢ | $4 | Positive+$4.15 per $100 · 11,945 bets |
| 0xe004…7849 | No | 69 | 32.2¢ | $4 | — |
| amazingfrog0x5927…672b | No | 59 | 28.8¢ | $4 | Proven+$7.71 per $100 · 509 bets |
| e46m30x4f1d…8de2 | No | 54 | 6.5¢ | $3 | Positive+$5.55 per $100 · 87,630 bets |
| 0x5317…9a3b | No | 50 | 4.5¢ | $3 | Break-even+$0.52 per $100 · 9,833 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | No | 50 | 11.0¢ | $3 | — |
| JimboFisher10xc0ce…e3aa | No | 50 | 38.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x312d…6814 | No | 45 | 29.8¢ | $3 | Proven+$2.03 per $100 · 7,326 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 44 | 18.0¢ | $3 | Positive+$4.52 per $100 · 88,243+ bets · updating |
| dropmeplease0x758b…0a1c | No | 40 | 17.5¢ | $2 | — |
| conherence0xfd59…0231 | No | 36 | 9.3¢ | $2 | — |
| gonnakilmyslf0x5a7f…6413 | No | 29 | 13.0¢ | $2 | Losing−$2.96 per $100 · 4,379 bets |
| GayPride0x551e…b0e0 | No | 27 | 18.0¢ | $2 | Proven+$6.82 per $100 · 967 bets |
| 0xe239…14ea | No | 26 | 32.6¢ | $2 | — |
| frostyhopper0xef4a…5eeb | No | 25 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 21 | 32.9¢ | $1 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 8,097 bets |
| BobbyBakedBeans0x8728…0882 | No | 21 | 7.9¢ | $1 | — |
| andy290xa75c…895e | No | 20 | 32.0¢ | $1 | — |
| 0xedb9…582c | No | 19 | 39.0¢ | $1 | — |
| Lavincey0x1cdd…e595 | No | 18 | 17.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$7.89 per $100 · 44,077+ bets · updating |
| vo2LCcPrd1x8Qa0x4383…170c | No | 18 | 12.0¢ | $1 | New45 settled bets |
| qcp10x9f44…7470 | No | 17 | 17.6¢ | $1 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 17 | 12.4¢ | $1 | — |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 738 events · $33.3M in play
Exactly one of this event's 3 outcomes pays $1. Their prices add up to right now.