Market · 1 of 2 outcomes
Will the Democrats win the Massachusetts governor race in 2026?
Live Polymarket data as of Oct 12, 2026, 08:37 UTC. Not financial advice.
None of the biggest holders bet both sides equally, so every account below is taking a side.
5 proven traders are on Yes, 3 on No. Proven = 100+ settled bets, makes $2+ per $100 bet, and beats the odds when holding to the end.
| Trader | Side | Shares | Bought at | Worth now | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| sogaeyng0x44f1…65c4 | Yes | 5,642 | 97.6¢ | $5.4K | — |
| QMG-CORE0xcaab…24dd | Yes | 4,243 | 95.5¢ | $4.06K | Positive+$1.20 per $100 · 2,408 bets |
| Kevindoto0xcd71…d127 | Yes | 1,674 | 97.0¢ | $1.6K | Proven+$4.55 per $100 · 728 bets |
| trampec0x588d…099a | Yes | 1,300 | 96.4¢ | $1.24K | — |
| 0x502b…3b15 | Yes | 1,000 | 95.0¢ | $958 | Break-even+$0.16 per $100 · 42,765+ bets · updating |
| 0xe41a…29bd | Yes | 989 | 95.9¢ | $947 | Break-even+$0.20 per $100 · 108 bets |
| bernardbulletin0x1c14…0869 | Yes | 713 | 95.8¢ | $683 | Proven+$11.17 per $100 · 2,364 bets |
| ImJustKen0x9d84…1344 | Yes | 615 | 93.4¢ | $589 | Proven+$2.12 per $100 · 17,781 bets |
| D8D5289c35124b5353f5A10A28B8cC29aEC389350xd8d5…8935 | Yes | 445 | 96.1¢ | $426 | Positive+$1.48 per $100 · 3,061 bets |
| i2dt0x5529…e5b9 | Yes | 434 | 94.5¢ | $415 | Proven+$3.88 per $100 · 2,165 bets |
| insidero0x3eae…5e6d | Yes | 400 | 96.2¢ | $383 | Proven+$4.05 per $100 · 514 bets |
| petruccci0x9370…9e88 | Yes | 400 | 95.9¢ | $383 | — |
| Elias.Thornwell0xa667…ceb3 | Yes | 278 | 96.1¢ | $266 | Break-even+$0.08 per $100 · 22,938 bets |
| charlatta0xb7b8…db31 | Yes | 200 | 94.7¢ | $192 | Break-even+$0.36 per $100 · 305 bets |
| polyproguy0xdcc9…4534 | Yes | 155 | 96.2¢ | $148 | Break-even+$0.49 per $100 · 2,183 bets |
| cowcat0x38e5…95e7 | No | 3,171 | 5.4¢ | $135 | Break-even+$0.38 per $100 · 6,726 bets |
| peanutboy0x1be4…80b2 | Yes | 92 | 95.9¢ | $88 | — |
| Shadursky0x63c6…3e53 | Yes | 82 | 97.3¢ | $79 | New86 settled bets |
| eleanorgarsia43670x92bc…5f95 | Yes | 63 | 97.0¢ | $60 | — |
| 0x66e7…8bcd | No | 1,372 | 4.1¢ | $58 | Break-even+$0.87 per $100 · 22,911 bets |
| cryptzilla0xe583…6ff7 | Yes | 57 | 95.9¢ | $55 | — |
| biggothgirlboots0xef5f…7334 | Yes | 55 | 97.0¢ | $52 | — |
| tudasudasina0x00ac…cf0d | Yes | 51 | 95.0¢ | $49 | — |
| 0xcbab…9a8a | Yes | 41 | 94.8¢ | $39 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 573 bets |
| Jpegpeddler0xe50b…8bde | Yes | 39 | 94.4¢ | $37 | — |
| daroghi0xf0b0…8cab | Yes | 30 | 95.5¢ | $29 | Break-even+$0.46 per $100 · 40,033+ bets · updating |
| ballsinyourjaw0x5d93…88a8 | Yes | 25 | 96.3¢ | $24 | — |
| 1239874560x0130…fb49 | No | 387 | 4.3¢ | $16 | Positive+$2.92 per $100 · 12,469 bets |
| wqeewqeadawfawfwa0xc4db…7e0c | Yes | 15 | 96.2¢ | $14 | — |
| cigarettes0xd218…b5c9 | No | 271 | 4.4¢ | $12 | Break-even−$0.15 per $100 · 193,396 bets |
| Vollhorst0xe3a6…8297 | Yes | 11 | 95.0¢ | $10 | — |
| 0xdef1…3783 | Yes | 10 | 94.6¢ | $9 | — |
| probability0x74f1…16a8 | No | 191 | 3.1¢ | $8 | Positive+$1.36 per $100 · 6,373 bets |
| 0x1acd…f535 | No | 180 | 5.5¢ | $8 | — |
| 0xf85f…9800 | Yes | 8 | 92.4¢ | $7 | Break-even+$0.53 per $100 · 919 bets |
| VioletTrunks0x92b0…7582 | Yes | 5 | 96.8¢ | $5 | — |
| 0x45e6…8fca | Yes | 5 | 97.0¢ | $5 | — |
| LornaPredicts0x7495…7fcf | No | 116 | 0.4¢ | $5 | Losing−$1.91 per $100 · 29,930+ bets · updating |
| oliman20xc684…2228 | No | 116 | 6.2¢ | $5 | Proven+$2.29 per $100 · 8,096 bets |
| lissartter0x1cfc…2111 | No | 104 | 4.0¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.27 per $100 · 27,816 bets |
| LBZero0xa9a1…c98a | No | 100 | 5.8¢ | $4 | Losing−$1.14 per $100 · 8,315 bets |
| 0xbdde…e54a | Yes | 4 | 93.7¢ | $4 | — |
| E.T0x6b60…4007 | Yes | 4 | 95.1¢ | $4 | — |
| ox9614b59508B11504bDA8Ac4FDFBEFc2f92d8D2170x9614…d217 | Yes | 4 | 96.1¢ | $4 | — |
| ffiru0x802d…70f0 | Yes | 3 | 96.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Vulgarise030xc558…1a12 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Home620xe79b…7f5f | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| peranakan0x5158…d089 | Yes | 3 | 97.1¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x4554…835f | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| directfunctionality0xb0b8…1a18 | Yes | 3 | 97.2¢ | $3 | — |
| Pfft60xa48c…533f | Yes | 3 | 97.2¢ | $3 | — |
| arrayMonitor50x3036…dd51 | Yes | 3 | 97.1¢ | $3 | — |
| Lemkeqawwali0x51ba…73ec | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0x85d2…2254 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| handcrafted30x60b1…7f38 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Salmon60x6119…06d8 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| Crocodile30x4baa…086d | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $3 | — |
| 0xc90d…1373 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| Godfather40xa29b…d8c1 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| baconprogram0xbf61…8768 | Yes | 3 | 97.0¢ | $2 | — |
| b41eAd279375742D6C2A1A2239Bdce56376411fD.0xb41e…11fd | No | 57 | 8.3¢ | $2 | — |
| JoeDirtBuffett0x0e93…0078 | No | 53 | 3.8¢ | $2 | Proven+$2.60 per $100 · 4,025 bets |
| planktonXD0x4ffe…9f71 | No | 45 | 4.5¢ | $2 | Positive+$7.11 per $100 · 30,000+ bets · updating |
| 0x4e72…ffb9 | No | 41 | 4.3¢ | $2 | — |
| Rain-Prob-010x57f5…c1c9 | No | 38 | 5.5¢ | $2 | — |
| y4rrow0xf29b…961e | No | 37 | 5.2¢ | $2 | — |
| 0x06af…1ad6 | No | 32 | 3.4¢ | $1 | — |
| rocky420220x08ce…f301 | No | 26 | 3.6¢ | $1 | Positive+$1.52 per $100 · 5,989 bets |
| LarBotPrime0x32fd…5c8b | No | 24 | 5.1¢ | $1 | — |
| mitamouse10x71b5…6ebe | No | 23 | 5.3¢ | $1 | — |
| Numitus19940xa815…9cbe | No | 20 | 5.9¢ | $1 | Losing−$9.80 per $100 · 16,815 bets |
| sirjhow010x764a…83d3 | No | 20 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| GuyFromTinder0x2b9d…95f4 | No | 20 | 5.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$8.76 per $100 · 12,660 bets |
| 0xed5b…8e60 | No | 15 | 6.5¢ | $1 | — |
| 0x96c4…8c13 | No | 15 | 6.6¢ | $1 | — |
| abc12311124410x5b29…e882 | No | 12 | 7.0¢ | $1 | Losing−$24.93 per $100 · 1,352 bets |
| Yamaraja20xf5dc…9afe | No | 10 | 5.1¢ | $0 | — |
| LBZbot20xdb6c…ee14 | No | 8 | 6.3¢ | $0 | — |
| PPMT0x510f…a43c | No | 5 | 3.7¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.31 per $100 · 49,109+ bets · updating |
| korda770xa328…4977 | No | 4 | 4.6¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.82 per $100 · 42,898 bets |
| 88mnm880x3b1a…4221 | No | 3 | 6.9¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.95 per $100 · 8,246 bets |
| 15rob0x2afd…deb4 | No | 3 | 8.6¢ | $0 | Proven+$2.28 per $100 · 9,823 bets |
| Colala0x9cb3…1367 | No | 2 | 4.7¢ | $0 | Break-even+$0.92 per $100 · 31,628 bets |
| E10ESpoascknasjdhajdDas12t0x6cfe…86a0 | No | 1 | 0.2¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xfbd8…4027 | No | 0 | 4.3¢ | $0 | Positive+$6.14 per $100 · 30,125+ bets · updating |
| 52adsa0x5146…ac5e | No | 0 | 9.1¢ | $0 | — |
| 0xa1c3…4c56 | No | 0 | 7.4¢ | $0 | — |
| macrosteaks0xefac…c9a1 | No | 0 | 3.8¢ | $0 | Break-even−$0.35 per $100 · 14,201 bets |
| ACara0x7ab6…fa77 | No | 0 | 5.2¢ | $0 | Positive+$4.47 per $100 · 6,514 bets |
Shares = Yes minus No for each trader. Record counts every settled bet, including losses never cashed in. Polymarket's own contracts are left out.
US 2026 midterms · 666 events · $32.3M in play